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钢悬链线立管强度可靠性计算研究
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作者 张萌 李智博 +2 位作者 吴剑国 张国进 孙政策 《海洋工程》 CSCD 北大核心 2018年第5期121-127,共7页
在钢悬链线立管分析中,材料性能、载荷参数、计算方法等都存在着大量不确定性。为考虑不确定性因素造成的影响,采用作用效应-抗力半随机过程构建可靠性模型,并采用极小化变换转化为静态可靠性问题。选用物理含义较为明确的屈服判定准则... 在钢悬链线立管分析中,材料性能、载荷参数、计算方法等都存在着大量不确定性。为考虑不确定性因素造成的影响,采用作用效应-抗力半随机过程构建可靠性模型,并采用极小化变换转化为静态可靠性问题。选用物理含义较为明确的屈服判定准则建立功能函数,通过单样本K-S检验对载荷随机过程的概率特性进行极值统计,提出载荷转化的方法以实现与目标可靠性指标的比对,并引入模型和主观不确定性随机变量。在此基础上采用改进的一次二阶矩法,对立管的强度可靠性进行了计算。结果表明此方法与利用系数方法能够相互印证,可以为立管的可靠性计算提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 钢悬链线立管 可靠性 作用效应-抗力半随机过程 极值统计 不确定性随机变量
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Response-surface-based structural reliability analysis with random and interval mixed uncertainties 被引量:14
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作者 HAN Xu JIANG Chao +2 位作者 LIU LiXin LIU Jie LONG XiangYun 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第7期1322-1334,共13页
Traditional reliability analysis requires probability distributions of all the uncertain parameters.However,in many practical applications,the variation bounds can be only determined for the parameters with limited in... Traditional reliability analysis requires probability distributions of all the uncertain parameters.However,in many practical applications,the variation bounds can be only determined for the parameters with limited information.A complex hybrid reliability problem then will be caused when the random and interval variables coexist in a same structure.In this paper,by introducing the response surface technique,we develop a new hybrid reliability method to efficiently compute the interval of the failure probability of the structure due to the probability-interval hybrid uncertainty.The present method consists of a sequence of iterations.At each step,a response surface model is constructed for the limit-state function by using a quadratic polynomial and a modified axial experimental design method.An approximate hybrid reliability problem is created based on the response surface model,which is subsequently solved by an efficient decoupling approach.An updating strategy is suggested to improve the quality of the response surface and whereby ensure the reliability analysis precision.A computational procedure is then summarized for the whole iterations.Four numerical examples and also a practical application are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the present method. 展开更多
关键词 structural reliability response surface mixed uncertainty model PROBABILITY INTERVAL uncertain structure
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