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一种不稳定环境下的策略搜索及迁移方法 被引量:3
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作者 朱斐 刘全 +3 位作者 傅启明 陈冬火 王辉 伏玉琛 《电子学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第2期257-266,共10页
强化学习是一种Agent在与环境交互过程中,通过累计奖赏最大化来寻求最优策略的在线学习方法.由于在不稳定环境中,某一时刻的MDP模型在与Agent交互之后就发生了变化,导致基于稳定MDP模型传统的强化学习方法无法完成不稳定环境下的最优策... 强化学习是一种Agent在与环境交互过程中,通过累计奖赏最大化来寻求最优策略的在线学习方法.由于在不稳定环境中,某一时刻的MDP模型在与Agent交互之后就发生了变化,导致基于稳定MDP模型传统的强化学习方法无法完成不稳定环境下的最优策略求解问题.针对不稳定环境下的策略求解问题,利用MDP分布对不稳定环境进行建模,提出一种基于公式集的策略搜索算法——FSPS.FSPS算法在学习过程中搜集所获得的历史样本信息,并对其进行特征信息的提取,利用这些特征信息来构造不同的用于动作选择的公式,采取策略搜索算法求解最优公式.在此基础之上,给出所求解策略的最优性边界,并从理论上证明了迁移到新MDP分布中策略的最优性主要依赖于MDP分布之间的距离以及所求解策略在原始MDP分布中的性能.最后,将FSPS算法用于经典的Markov Chain问题,实验结果表明,所求解的策略具有较好的性能. 展开更多
关键词 强化学习 策略搜索 策略迁移 不稳定环境 公式集
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中国企业不稳定环境分析
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作者 江谭 《大众商务(下半月)》 2009年第9期66-66,共1页
中国改革改革开放30多年来,中国经济由计划经济向市场经济实现成功转型,中国企业依靠低成本优势、广阔的国内市场、政府的政策支持等优势条件不论是在市场份额还是在获利能力上均取得不俗的成绩。但我们更要看到,世界经济前所未有的面... 中国改革改革开放30多年来,中国经济由计划经济向市场经济实现成功转型,中国企业依靠低成本优势、广阔的国内市场、政府的政策支持等优势条件不论是在市场份额还是在获利能力上均取得不俗的成绩。但我们更要看到,世界经济前所未有的面临着艰巨的挑战,世界商务环境正在发生深刻的变化,中国的市场也发生了翻天覆地的变化,中国国企面临着前所未有的复杂的不稳定的环境。 展开更多
关键词 中国企业 不稳定环境 分析
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边境跨国企业应对不稳定制度环境的非对称突破机制——事件路径分析方法
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作者 陈其齐 杜义飞 +1 位作者 史轩亚 寇亮亮 《研究与发展管理》 北大核心 2023年第6期168-183,共16页
在深耕周边东道国市场过程中,边境跨国企业面临常态化的不稳定制度环境,亟须捕获有效的应对机制和过程。本文基于网络动态视角,选取云南机械设备进出口公司长期深耕与突破缅甸市场的典型事件,开展关键事件路径分析,探索应对不稳定制度... 在深耕周边东道国市场过程中,边境跨国企业面临常态化的不稳定制度环境,亟须捕获有效的应对机制和过程。本文基于网络动态视角,选取云南机械设备进出口公司长期深耕与突破缅甸市场的典型事件,开展关键事件路径分析,探索应对不稳定制度环境的机制与过程规律。研究发现:边境跨国企业通过跨国别的经济与社会连带联动,实现“非对称突破”,克服不稳定制度环境危机;“非对称突破”促进边境跨国企业的具有嵌入性的网络连带形成,以获取长期的外部支持进而承载危机;“非对称突破”促进边境跨国企业不断更新网络连带的联动模式,将环境的冲击转化为发展动能;凝练了边境跨国企业通过跨国别的经济、社会连带联动的“非对称突破”机制,与“克服—承载—转化”不稳定制度环境影响的过程。研究结论推动了不稳定制度环境应对过程的研究,拓展了网络连带联动的应用范围,对中国企业在制度不稳定地区的国际化具有启发意义。 展开更多
关键词 不稳定制度环境 周边东道国 经济连带 社会连带 非对称突破
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Directional drilling in unstable environments 被引量:2
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作者 Hungerford Frank Ren Ting 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI 2014年第3期397-402,共6页
Directional drilling has been established in the coal industry as a viable means of gas drainage, exploration and water management. But the environment in and around coal seams is not always conducive to stable condit... Directional drilling has been established in the coal industry as a viable means of gas drainage, exploration and water management. But the environment in and around coal seams is not always conducive to stable conditions while drilling and borehole stability after the drilling has been completed. This paper identifies the conditions which cause unstable drilling conditions and the various means which are used to attempt to manage or bypass those conditions. Ultimately, equipment does become bogged in these adverse environments and requires recovery by over-coring. 展开更多
关键词 Directional dril ing Borehole Stability Unstable dril ing conditions Over-coring
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Phenotypic plasticity of labile traits in the wild 被引量:1
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作者 Jon E. BROMMER 《Current Zoology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2013年第4期485-505,共21页
Individual-based studies allow quantification ofphenotypic plasticity in behavioural, life-history and other labile traits The study of phenotypic plasticity in the wild can shed new light on the ultimate objectives ... Individual-based studies allow quantification ofphenotypic plasticity in behavioural, life-history and other labile traits The study of phenotypic plasticity in the wild can shed new light on the ultimate objectives (1) whether plasticity itself can evolve or is constrained by its genetic architecture, and (2) whether plasticity is associated to other traits, including fitness (selection). I describe the main statistical approach for how repeated records of individuals and a description of the environment (E) allow quantification of variation in plasticity across individuals (IxE) and genotypes (GxE) in wild populations. Based on a literature review of life-history and behavioural studies on plasticity in the wild, I discuss the present state of the two objectives listed above. Few studies have quantified GxE of labile traits in wild populations, and it is likely that power to detect statistically sig- nificant GxE is lacking. Apart from the issue of whether it is heritable, plasticity tends to correlate with average trait expression (not fully supported by the few genetic estimates available) and may thus be evolutionary constrained in this way. Individ- ual-specific estimates of plasticity tend to be related to other traits of the individual (including fitness), but these analyses may be anti-conservative because they predominantly concern stats-on-stats. Despite the increased interest in plasticity in wild popula- tions, the putative lack of power to detect GxE in such populations hinders achieving general insights. I discuss possible steps to invigorate the field by moving away from simply testing for presence of GxE to analyses that 'scale up' to population level proce-sses and by the development of new behavioural theory to identify quantitative genetic parameters which can be estimated 展开更多
关键词 Individual-level plasticity Life history Animal personality Linear mixed model Animal model Wild population Longitudinal study
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Prediction of permafrost changes in Northeastern China under a changing climate 被引量:19
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作者 WEI Zhi JIN HuiJun +5 位作者 ZHANG JianMing YU ShaoPeng HAN XuJun JI YanJun HE RuiXia CHANG XiaoLi 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第6期924-935,共12页
Northeastern China has the second largest expanse of permafrost in China,primarily known as Xing'an-Baikal permafrost.Located on the southeastern edges of the Eurasian cryolithozone,the permafrost is thermally uns... Northeastern China has the second largest expanse of permafrost in China,primarily known as Xing'an-Baikal permafrost.Located on the southeastern edges of the Eurasian cryolithozone,the permafrost is thermally unstable and ecologically sensitive to external changes.The combined impacts of climatic,environmental,and anthropogenic changes cause 3-dimensional degradation of the permafrost.To predict these changes on the southern limit and ground temperature of permafrost in Northeastern China,an equivalent latitude model (ELM) for the mean annual ground surface temperature (MAGSTs) was proposed,and further improved to take into account of the influences of vegetation and snow-cover based on observational data and using the SHAW model.Using the finite element method and assuming a climate warming rate of 0.048°C a-1,the ELM was combined with the unsteady-state heat conduction model to simulate permafrost temperatures at present,and to predict those after 50 and 100 a.The results indicate that at present,sporadic permafrost occurs in the zones with MAGSTs of 1.5°C or colder,and there would still be a significant presence of permafrost in the zones with the present MAGSTs of 0.5°C or colder after 50 a,and in those of-0.5°C or colder after 100 a.Furthermore,the total areal extent of permafrost would decrease from 2.57×105 km2 at present to 1.84×105 km2 after 50 a and to 1.29×105 km2 after 100 a,i.e.,a reduction of 28.4% and 49.8% in the permafrost area,respectively.Also the permafrost would degrade more substantially in the east than in the west.Regional warming and thinning of permafrost would also occur.The area of stable permafrost (mean annual ground temperature,or MAGT≤-1.0°C) would decrease from present 1.07×105 to 8.8×104 km2 after 50 a,and further decrease to 5.6×104 km2 after 100 a.As a result,the unstable permafrost and seasonally frozen ground would expand,and the southern limit of permafrost would shift significantly northwards.The changes in the permafrost environment may adversely affect on ecological environments and engineering infrastructures in cold regions.Avoidance of unnecessary anthropogenic changes in permafrost conditions is a practical approach to protect the permafrost environment. 展开更多
关键词 PERMAFROST Northeastern China climate change equivalent latitude model (ELM) PREDICTION
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Managing Depreciation Expectations
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作者 Sun Jie 《Beijing Review》 2016年第50期32-33,共2页
The stability of China’s currency is dependent on a number of factors For the last two years the renminbi has been plagued by depreciation pressure.It has,once again,become a hot topic since October.Although the renm... The stability of China’s currency is dependent on a number of factors For the last two years the renminbi has been plagued by depreciation pressure.It has,once again,become a hot topic since October.Although the renminbi’s depreciation has not roused market panic,the instability of the current international political and economic environment signals the need for caution when dealing with the depreciation. 展开更多
关键词 currency political panic dealing instability appreciation dollar trading turmoil expectations
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