乐山市经济税源调查与国税收入预测分析

本文对"十五"以来乐山经济税源和国税收入变动的相关性进行分析,判明今后一段时间内经济税源变化趋势仍然是:投资拉动和规模加大带来的外延型增长。通过对主要产业集群发展、宏观调控等因素分析,对未来三年的地区国税收入作出预期。

Effects of Urbanization and Industrialization on Farmland System in Shandong Peninsula

[Objective] The aim was to study the effects of urbanization and industrialization on farmland system in Shandong Peninsula. [Method] In Shandong Peninsula, the effects were studied and analyzed using remote sensing and image interpretation with spatial data analysis and statistic data analysis. [Result] During researching periods in Shandong Peninsula, wasteland area changed from decreasing to increasing; farmland area was declining; orchard and forestry areas were increasing, mainly resulting from political policies and benefits maximization of farmers. Meanwhile, chemical fertilizers and agricultural mechanization are more frequently applied with industrialization and urbanization, leading significant effects on environment, industry and urban. [Conclusion] More policies should be formulated to promote harmonious development of society, economy and environment.

Characters of Temperature Variation and Minimal Temperature Forecast inside of Solar Greenhouse in Winter in Shouguang City of Shandong Province

[Objective] The aim was to improve meteorological service of protected agriculture and to reduce effects of meteorological disasters. [Method] Characters of temperature variation in solar greenhouse and minimal temperature forecast models in winter were analyzed based on meteorological data inside and outside of solar greenhouse in winter during 2008-2011, as per correlation and stepwise regression method. [Result] Temperature was of significant changes in solar greenhouse in sunny and cloudy days and the change was higher in sunny days. In overcast days, temperature in solar greenhouse was lower and plants were affected seriously. In addition, the minimal temperature was of good correlation with outside temperature and humidity, temperature and soil temperature in greenhouse. [Conclusion] The minimal temperature forecast model of solar greenhouse is established and the average absolute error of the forecasted minimums in different types of weather was less than 1 ℃ and the average relative error was lower than 10%.

STUDY ON FUNCTION OF COMPONENTS OF DY NAMIC SYSTEM OF TOURISM DEVELOPMENT IN DEVELOPED REGION---A Case Study of Foshan in Guangdong Province

In the forming of the Dynamic System of Tourism Development (DSTD)in developed regions from the view of supply side,the Delphi Method and the Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP)are used to count the weight of each component of the DSTD.It has been fou nd that the attraction subsystem is t he most important one of the three subsystems at the first hierarchical level of DSTD,which means that tourist attractions are always the principal factors for regional tourism development,even in develo ped regions.But it is also noteworth y that the significance of the attraction subsystem is not dominant in the DSTD.At the sec ond hierarchical level,the physica l attraction subsystem rank No.1,while the weight of the non-physical attraction subsystem is just a little larger t han the weight of the hardware subsystem and that of software subsystem.And the weights of the three components in the medium subsystem are similar.The top 3factors at the third hierarchical level are scenic spot,location and regional econ omic impact.The result verifies the conclusions of qualitative analysis,which depends on the market research and the study of historical date,that the most imp ortant compo-nent of the DSTD in Foshan is the impact of the developed economy.Knowing t he weight of each component of the DST D can be helpful to make out the most use ful force,furthermore to determine the future orientation for regional tourismdevelop-ment.

SPATIAL GRADIENT ANALYSIS OF URBAN GREEN SPACES COMBINED WITH LANDSCAPE METRICS IN JINAN CITY OF CHINA

Urban green spaces have been arisen growing concern responded to the social and environmental costs of urban sprawl. A wide range of planning and policies has been and/or will be designed to protect urban green spaces and optimize their spatial pattern. A better design or planning of urban green space can make a major contribution to quality of environment and urban life, and furthermore can decide whether we can have a sustainable development in the urban area. Information about the status quo of urban green spaces can help planners design more effectively. However, how to quantify and capture such information will be the essential question we face. In this paper, to quantify the urban green space, a new method comprising gradient analysis, landscape metrics and GIS was developed through a case of Jinan City. The results demonstrate: 1) the gradient analysis is a valid and reliable instrument to quantify the urban green space spatial pattern precisely; 2) using moving window, explicit landscape metrics were spatially realized. Compared with quantifying metrics in the entire landscape, it would be better to link pattern with process and establish an important basis for analyzing the ecological and socioeconomic functions of green spaces.

Characteristics and Mechanism of Agricultural Transformation in Typical Rural Areas of Eastern China:A Case Study of Yucheng City,Shandong Province

Rural off-farm employment,rapid loss of agricultural land,and advanced technology popularization had led agricultural production in Chinese typical rural areas come at a critical transformation and upgrade stage.Based on sample survey data gathered from 401 households in Yucheng City,Shandong Province,this paper focuses on the characteristics and mechanism of agricultural transformation in typical rural areas of the eastern China.It was found that 74.3% of households surveyed kept at least one member engaging in off-farm employment,and 57.1% looked forward to expanding the operational scale of arable land,while just 13.7% had actually transferred their agricultural land.Since growing off-farm employment does not result in the collapse of traditional subsistence agriculture,therefore,agricultural production in Yucheng City is at an incomplete transformation phase from traditional small-holder farming to modern scale economy.It is caused by both macro environments and family characteristics,while urban-rural dual structure,imperfect rural development policy and agricultural technology popularization make peasant economy strengthen upon maintenance,and small-holder farming becomes peasant's natural response owing to pluriactivity,local off-farm employment,reverse elimination,etc.In order to achieve smooth agricultural transformation of typical rural areas in the eastern China,it needs to promote professional differentiation among peasants,under clear policies adopted by central government.Providing comprehensive services for agricultural production and improving production skills and knowledge of farmers who are still living in the countryside will effectively stimulate the process of agricultural transformation.

Petrology,Geochemistry and Nd-Sr-Pb Isotopic Properties of Volcanic Rocks in Daheishan Island,Penglai,Shandong Province

The major elements, trace elements. K-Ar age and Sr-Nd-Pb isotopie systems ofthe Cenozoic volcanic rocks in Daheishan Island and Cishan, Penglai, Shandong Province aremeasured. The volcanic rocks ( olivine-nephelinite and nephcline-basanite ) in Daheishan Islanderupted periodically in an interval of 0.32 Ma, from 8.72 Ma. 8.39 Ma. 8.08 Ma to 7.73 Ma. Thevolcanic rocks arc all rich in light REEs. They are similar to the OIB-type alkali basalt in thetrace elements normalized model by primordial mantle: rich in high field elements such as Nb and Ta,and imcompatible elements such as Cs. Rb, Ba, Th. U. The volcanic rocks show a depletion of K andRb elements. It is suggested by the trace elements that the olivine-nephelinite in Daheishan Islandis originated from deep resources under the continental mantle. ε Nd (0) values of the volcanicrocks in Daheishan Island and Cishan are 5.31～8.51 and 7.33 respectively, suggesting that thevolcanic rocks are from the depleted mantle resources, which have higher Sm/Nd ratios than the CHUR.^(143)Nd /^(144)Nd ratios ot Daheishan Island olivine-nephelinite and Cishan alkali basalts are0.512 910～0.513 074 and 0.513 014 respectively. The ^(87)Sr /^(86)Sr of Daheishan Island volcanicrocks are lower than that of Cishan, 0.703 427 ～0.703 482 and 0.703 895 respectively. The DaheishanIsland olivine-nephelinite has the Pb isotopie values as follows: ^(206)Pb/^(204)Pb= 18.028 9～17.972 8. ^(207)Pb / ^(204)Pb = 15.435 8 ～15.402 2 and ^(208)Pb /^(204)Pb = 38.087 6～37.997 5.lower than those of Cishan basanite. The Cishan basanite has ^(206)Pb/^(204)Pb= 18.240 1. ^(207)Pb/^(204)Pb= 15.564 5 and ^(208)Pb /^(204)Pb = 38.535. The authors suggest that theolivine-nephelinite in Daheishan Island is similar to the E-type MORB or Hawaii OIB, and the alkalibasalts in Cishan similar to the Kerguelen OIB. The dominant mantle components of DM+PREMA andperhaps DM ( Dupal type ) are the dominant mantle components for volcanic rocks in Daheishan Islandand Cishan. The PREMA component plays an important role.

Hollow Villages and Rural Restructuring in Major Rural Regions of China: A Case Study of Yucheng City, Shandong Province

The agricultural land resources of China are relatively limited because of its large population.Therefore,balancing the land use for industrialization,urbanization,and food security is a big challenge.In recent years,rural hollowing in China has resulted in numerous of abandoned rural houses,and the areas with abandoned houses need to be restored into agricultural land with effective land consolidation techniques.This study used the method of benefit-cost analysis and the data collected through field surveys conducted in Yucheng City in the northwest of Shandong Province in March 2009,to examine how hollow villages (HVs) to be created and how to solve the problem.The qualitative and quantitative analyses indicate following results.1) The situation of HVs is becoming increasingly severe under rapid industrialization and urbanization in Yucheng City.2) Poor infrastructure in rural areas and incomplete urbanization are the main factors that have led to the rural hollowing in many major rural regions of China.3) In order to resolve the problem caused by HVs and increase agricultural land,reconstructing rural communities in the countryside is necessary.4) A new mechanism in the provision of compensation funds by developed regions to the villages in less-developed regions must be established.

ANALYSIS OF SURFACE SINK OF EXPLORATION VACANCY IN GOLD MINING AREA OF ZHAOYUAN CTIY BASED ON RS AND GIS

Surface sink is a main geological calamity of gold mining areas and a main factor to restrict economic sustainable development of mining zone. Based on former investigations, this article draws the environment information of surface sink of exploration vacancy in gold mining area of Zhaoyuan City, Shangdong Province by RS technology. Through spatial simulation analysis and expert diagnoses on the basis of GIS technology, the article affirms the inducement factors of the surface sink. Then using these factors as distinguishing ones the authors prognosticate the criticality of other exploration vacancies. The results indicate that the surface sink area of study area in Zhaoyuan City, has already come to 0.78km2 and it is forecasted that 0.97km2 of the exploration vacancy belongs to high danger area. Decisive measures need taking in order to prevent this crucial problem. Another 1.57km2 of the exploration vacancies belongs to middle danger area, which will sink when meeting some inducing factors, such as earthquake. Still another 1.53km2 of the exploration vacancies belongs to low danger area that can not lead to surface sink when meeting common inducing factors.

Dynamic Evaluation on Regional Tourism Competitiveness:Urban Agglomeration of Shandong Peninsula,Eastern China

The article establishes the appraisal index system for entire urban agglomeration and its interior cities individually,concretely including five aspects:driving forces for tourism development,the level of tourism development,tourism impacts,tourism economic connection and tourism contributions of different cities to the whole urban agglomeration.As tourism competitiveness has the characteristics of comprehensiveness,systematicness and dynamicness,the article attempts to apply the structural prediction means of system dynamics to evaluating tourism competitiveness,aiming to provide some research methods and analysis ideas for tourism competitiveness measurement and trends analysis in urban agglomeration.Taking Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration as the study area,the article simulates and analyzes the tourism competitiveness trend of the whole region and its interior cities from 2005 to 2020,and the result reflects that integrated development and regional combination of tourism are important means to upgrade tourism competitiveness in this region.

Suitability evaluation of regional coastal ecotourism based on SOM neural network model: a case study of Qingdao, Yantai, Weihai and Rizhao of Shandong Province

Development of coastal ecotourism has been a,focus of Shandong government, and the suitability evaluation of regional eoastai ecotourism is crucial for the reasonable plan and sustainable development of Shandong coastal ecotourism. By using MATLAB language to establish a SOM neural network model, this＇ paper evaluates the eoastal ecotourism suitability of four regions, Qingdao. Yantai, Weihai and Rizhao of Shandong Province and divides 33 subordinate regions of those four cities into four categories, i.e. regions poorly suitable for ecotourism resources, regions highly suitable for coastal ecotourism, regions secondly suitable for coastal ecotourism, regions ordinarily suitable.for coastal ecotourism, Related suggestions on development of regional coastal ecotourism have been given in the final conclusions.

Annual Arts Gala Highlights Asian Arts

The magnificent closing evening show entitled 'Blessing I for Asia', held In Thousand Lantern Lake Park in November 17, 2005, brought a successful conclusion to the seventh Asia Arts Festival and the inaugural Asia Cultural Ministers' Forum (ACMF) which took place in Foshan, Guangdong Province, China, The seventh session of this annual arts gala has seen 48 performances and 13 exhibitions

Geological and geochemical indicators and prediction of deep-seated ore bodies in Jiudian gold deposit of Pingdu,Shandong Province

Based on the geology and geochemistry of gold-bearing quartz veins in the Jiudian gold deposit of Pingdu,Shandong Province,the geological and geochemical indicators of occurrence of deep-seated ore bodies in the Jiudian gold deposit have been summarized.Extent occurrence of wide,intensive,varied alteration zones around the gold-bearing quartz veins and continual presence of diorite porphyrite and lamprophyry indicate the probable occurrence of deep-seated ore bodies at depth of gold lodes.As,Sb and Hg belong to the head halo elements, and their anomalies could reveal the probable occurrence of the deep-seated ore bodies below.

Geology and fluid inclusion characteristics of Qilishan gold deposit in Zhaoyuan of Shandong,China

The Qilishan gold deposit is located in the southern Zhaolai gold ore belt in the northwestern Jiaodong region.A total of seven gold ore bodies have been found in the mining area.Linglong gneissic biotite granite and the NE trending Lingbei fracture control the output and distribution of the gold deposit.The ore bodies with veined or irregular shape occur in the structural alteration zone.The ore bodies of different sizes are NE trending and SE dipping.The constituent minerals of the ores mainly include pyrite,chalcopyrite,native gold,electrum,argentite,matildite,hematite,quartz and calcite.The ores are characterized by metasomatic dissolution structure,as well as veined and brecciated structures.The ore-forming process is divided into four stages,namely quartz-,pyrite-,polymetallic-and carbonate stages.Study on fluid inclusion shows that the deposit is composed of gas-liquid two-phase inclusions （Ⅰ） and three-phase inclusions containing CO2 （Ⅱ）,and that the former dominates.The homogenization temperature is 259.6℃-373.7℃ ; the salinity of three-phase inclusions containing CO2is 5.77%-9.84% （NaCl） ; the salinity of gas-liquid two-phase inclusions is 6.58%-8.54% （NaCl） ; and the estimated ore-forming pressure is 55.2-82.2 MPa.According to the nonlinear relationship between the depth and pressure of the fluid in the fracture zone,the ore-forming depth of the Qilishan gold deposit is calculated as 5.95-7.14 km.It is preliminarily determined that the deposit is a mesophilic and hypothermal gold deposit.

Study on Dynamic Mechanism of Urban Expansion: A Case Study of Shandong Province

This paper aims at studying the dynamic mechanism of urban expansion and its role. Based on the economic model of urban spatial structure and applying panel data in Shandong Province, the paper concludes. Economic growth and transition of economic structure have played the most powerful role in urban expansion. An increase in population helps the core to extend. Increasing agricultural productivity can provide a countervailing force. An increase in transportation costs will limit urban expan- sion. An increase in the marginal productivity of land in housing production will increase urban expansion. Fiscal and taxation policies also have encouraged the extensive shift of cultivated land into build-up area. This paper also suggests that if high rate increasing GDP is needed, the urban core will continue to expand. The government should take measures to improve the rapid growth of the city.

Economic Periodicity Analysis of Shandong Province

The paper analyses the periodical characteristics of the economic development of Shandong Province by using the mini- mum variation analysis model.The analysis shows that the eco- nomic development process of Shandong Province has short, medium and long cycles respectively for 6,12,19 years,and the fluctuation of the economic development becomes gentler with time passing by.The fluctuation of macro-control policy,invest- ment and consumption are the main reasons of the economic fluc- tuation.

Ancient Canal Town——Tai’erzhuang

IN June 2014,the 2,500-year-old Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal,running a length of 1,797 kilometers,made the World Cultural Heritage list.The 42.5-kilometer-long stretch at Tai’erzhuang（now a district of Zaozhuang City,Shandong Province）,at the junction of the upper and middle sections,is widely known as the sole east-west waterway of the Grand Canal.