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义乌·中国小商品指数与中国宏观经济指数的关系研究 被引量:1
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作者 丁仙 易荣华 +1 位作者 费越 张玉蓉 《中国商论》 2022年第14期1-8,共8页
本文探究义乌·中国小商品指数与中国宏观经济指数之间的关系,选取义乌小商品月价格指数、义乌小商品月景气指数、居民消费价格指数、消费者信心指数和宏观经济景气指数作为研究对象,构建VAR模型,并运用最小二乘回归方法估计变量间... 本文探究义乌·中国小商品指数与中国宏观经济指数之间的关系,选取义乌小商品月价格指数、义乌小商品月景气指数、居民消费价格指数、消费者信心指数和宏观经济景气指数作为研究对象,构建VAR模型,并运用最小二乘回归方法估计变量间的领先滞后关系。结果表明:义乌小商品月价格指数对居民消费价格指数和消费者信心指数短期内有正向影响,长期来看有负向影响,而且具有预测作用;义乌小商品月景气指数对宏观先行合成指数和宏观滞后合成指数分别产生负向和正向影响,而且具有预测作用。 展开更多
关键词 义乌·中国小商品指数 中国宏观经济指数 VAR模型 领先滞后关系
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The Causality and Relation of Corruption With Basic Macro-economic Tables (Charts)
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作者 Bulent Ozkan Birol Erkan 《Chinese Business Review》 2011年第8期665-676,共12页
Corruption which means the use of public power for private interests is one of the most important problems either in less developed and developing countries or developed countries. Especially in less developed and dev... Corruption which means the use of public power for private interests is one of the most important problems either in less developed and developing countries or developed countries. Especially in less developed and developing countries, corruption is a serious obstacle in front of economic development. Corruption is raised from deficiency in democracy, deficient judgement, unfair elections and dependent media sector includes bribery, embezzlement, forgery, fraud, favouritism, nepotism and illegal beneficial use of public authority. The aim of the paper is to determine the causal relationship between corruption and basic macro-economic indicators. For this purpose, in this study, the basic mic indications such as import, export, budget deficit, manufacturer price index are taken into account as variables to examine their relation with corruption. By getting use of the data obtained from CPI index, the relation between the variables is examined using the T-Test. Furthermore, to determine the causality among all the variables, correllation analysis is applied to present causal relations between the corruption and macro-economic variables. The findings concluded that there is a significant correlation among corruption, manufacturer price index and export-import. However, there is no significant correlation with budget deficit. 展开更多
关键词 CORRUPTION IMPORT EXPORT BUDGET
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