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中国耕地资源数量变化的趋势分析与数据重建:1949~2003 被引量:205
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作者 封志明 刘宝勤 杨艳昭 《自然资源学报》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2005年第1期35-43,共9页
由于统计方面的原因,1949年以来中国耕地资源数量变化至今尚没有一个客观的描述。针对该问题,论文对1949~2003年不同时期不同来源的耕地数据系列进行分析,认为统计数据存在问题较多的时期为1960~1985年,并采用粮食产量对耕地面积进行... 由于统计方面的原因,1949年以来中国耕地资源数量变化至今尚没有一个客观的描述。针对该问题,论文对1949~2003年不同时期不同来源的耕地数据系列进行分析,认为统计数据存在问题较多的时期为1960~1985年,并采用粮食产量对耕地面积进行了分时期的反演,对于1986~1996年间的耕地数量则按照全国土地利用详查统一到1996年的结果再进行反推,由此重新刻画建国以来中国耕地资源数量变化的趋势和特征,并结合不同时段耕地相关政策对耕地数量变化的驱动作用进行分析。结果表明,1949年以来中国耕地资源数量呈现波动性变化,但在1979年之前总体上是增加的,自20世纪80年代起呈现缓慢下滑,1999年后由于生态退耕等原因引起耕地数量迅速减少,由此导致的中国粮食安全问题与耕地安全问题值得关注。在经过一段快速的大规模生态退耕时期后,中国生态退耕速度将逐步趋缓,耕地安全与粮食安全将会成为影响中国耕地数量变化的主要问题,严格的耕地保护政策势必将贯彻下去,预计2010年后中国的耕地资源数量将趋于稳定。 展开更多
关键词 土地利用 中国耕地资源 趋势分析 数据重建
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中国土地能养活多少人
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作者 马杰 《中州统战》 1996年第7期44-44,共1页
中国土地能养活多少人有关部门研究结果表明,根据中国耕地资源以及粮食的最大可能生产力计算,中国人口承载量最高应控制在16亿左右,绝不能超过17亿。而据中国人口增长预测,到2000年将达12.8亿人,到2025年将达15... 中国土地能养活多少人有关部门研究结果表明,根据中国耕地资源以及粮食的最大可能生产力计算,中国人口承载量最高应控制在16亿左右,绝不能超过17亿。而据中国人口增长预测,到2000年将达12.8亿人,到2025年将达15.7亿人。在高投入的条件下,且人口... 展开更多
关键词 中国土地 中国耕地资源 人口控制 中国人口 增长预测 供需前景 中国粮食 承载量 最大可能 高投入
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Effect of Cropland Occupation and Supplement on Light-temperature Potential Productivity in China from 2000 to 2008 被引量:7
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作者 YANG Xiaohuan CHENG Chuanzhou LI Yuejiao 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第6期536-544,共9页
There are more people but less land in China,so food safety has always been a most important issue government concerned.With continuous population increase,economic development and environment protection,cropland occu... There are more people but less land in China,so food safety has always been a most important issue government concerned.With continuous population increase,economic development and environment protection,cropland occupation and supplement are unavoidable.It not only leads to the variation of cropland area,but also makes the light-temperature potential productivity per unit area different due to regional climate differentiation,therefore impacts the total potential productivity and food output eventually.So,it is necessary to analyze the climate differentiation between occupation and supplement cropland areas and to study its impact on total potential productivity,which is significant to reasonably develop natural resources and instruct agricultural arrangement.This study firstly discussed the variation and distribution of occupation and supplement croplands in China from 2000 to 2008,then analyzed the climate differentiation between occupation and supplement cropland areas and its effect on light-temperature potential productivity.The results demonstrate:1) From 2000 to 2008,the cropland variation presented occupation in the south and supplement in the north,but overall decreased.Supplement cropland was mainly from ecological reclamation(77.78%) and was mainly distributed in Northeast China and Northwest China with poor climatic and natural conditions.Occupation cropland was mainly used for construction(52.88%) and ecological restoration(44.78%) purposes,and was mainly distributed in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain,and the middle and lower reaches of the Changjiang(Yangtze) River with better climatic and natural conditions.2) The climate conditions were quite different in supplement and occupation cropland areas.The annual precipitation,annual accumulated temperature and average annual temperature were lower in the supplement cropland area,and its average po-tential productivity per unit was only 62% of occupation cropland area,which was the main reason for the decrease of total potential productivity.3) Cropland occupation and supplement led to the variation of total potential productivity and its spatial distribution.The productivity decreased in the south and increased in the north,but had a net loss of 4.38315×107 t in the whole country.The increase of cropland area was at the cost of reclaiming natural forest and grassland resources,and destroying natural ecological environment,while the decrease of cropland area was mainly due to a lot of cropland occupied by urban-rural construction,which threatened the sustainable use of cropland resources. 展开更多
关键词 CROPLAND cropland occupation cropland supplement climate condition light-temperature potential productivity China
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