We establish an exchange rate determination model for central banks' interventions in financial markets. The model shows that central banks can adjust exchange rate by several policy instruments and that different...We establish an exchange rate determination model for central banks' interventions in financial markets. The model shows that central banks can adjust exchange rate by several policy instruments and that different instruments may have different effects on exchange rate determination. It specifies potential policy instruments for central banks as well as their policy effects. Based on these effects, feasible matches of policy instruments in contingent intervention are put forth.展开更多
Sovereign Wealth Funds （SWFs） are generally known as investment funds owned by national governments and financed by the country＇s foreign currency reserves （dollar, euro, and yen）, often through their central ban...Sovereign Wealth Funds （SWFs） are generally known as investment funds owned by national governments and financed by the country＇s foreign currency reserves （dollar, euro, and yen）, often through their central banks or via direct investments. The study investigated the investment strategy of the Temasek Holdings as one of the most successful SWFs which is owned by the government of Singapore. Temasek Holdings was founded in 1974 to manage part of the government＇s revenues. Present turbulent times create a big pressure on healthy investment strategy of the SWFs. But total shareholder return for Temasek since its inception in 1974 has been a healthy 17% compounded annually. The main objective of the paper is to focus on the role of the Temasek Holdings as a company managed on commercial principles with an aim to achieve long-term sustainable returns. The study also analyzed Temasek Holdings＇investment strategy. The study provides answers to questions like： why Temasek is of the most successful SWFs and what is the fund risk management？ Another part of the paper compares investment strategy of the Temasek Holdings with other SWFs. The study has been conducted mainly on the basis of literature survey, secondary information and with using various web sites and research paper. The analysis has been also based on disclosures appearing in the Temasek annual reports over the period from 2008 to 2010.展开更多
This paper examines the appropriateness of the adoption of Anglo-American type of reorganization provisions into national bankruptcy law using Thailand as a sample. It argues that such adoption shall be cautious. Sinc...This paper examines the appropriateness of the adoption of Anglo-American type of reorganization provisions into national bankruptcy law using Thailand as a sample. It argues that such adoption shall be cautious. Since Thailand started to accommodate such provisions, reorganization, apparently, has limited usefulness--benefitting only large-scale debtors because it does not fit with the nature of Thai business culture, i.e., the borrowing-lending relationship and less-than-arm＇s length business connections. On average, only every one in 200 bankruptcy cases employs reorganization; the rest goes for liquidation but the average outstanding debt in reorganization is over 30 times higher than liquidation. Interestingly, the adjudication rate of reorganization is faster than those of liquidation. Debtors＇ strategic use of the law and the procedural bias are suspected. Debt restructuring led by the central bank in cooperation with commercial banks, instead, is overwhelmingly more successful, equally efficient, and effective because any ailing firm can renegotiate its borrowing contract rather easily in the low transaction cost environment. Debt restructuring outperformed reorganization roughly 800 and two times in terms of cases and debt amount respectively. Thus, the adoption of non-indigenous provisions shall be made prudently. This argument applies towards the standardization of insolvency legislation. Standardizing bankruptcy procedures shall be made carefully and national economic conditions including local business nature and uniqueness are worth examined before any enactment or amendment. Otherwise, benefits of international trade and investment would be achieved at the expense of economic efficiency.展开更多
This text evaluates the convergence among the main targets of a Central Bank, like the Brazilian Central Bank, with that deals with objectives such as inflation targeting, bank regulation, and financial inclusion, whe...This text evaluates the convergence among the main targets of a Central Bank, like the Brazilian Central Bank, with that deals with objectives such as inflation targeting, bank regulation, and financial inclusion, when it operates subject to the Bank for International Settlements （BIS） recommendations gathered in the recent Basel III agreement. A Brazilian conjuncture analysis starts with the economic stabilization plan known as Piano Real （July, 1994） and takes account that, from 2007 onwards, the world economy is going through troubled times unchained by the international financial crisis that motivated the recent Basel Agreement （Basel III）. There are two lines of analysis： macroeconomic and marketing. From the macroeconomic approach, there are plenty models to predict money supply and monetary aggregates. From a marketing perspective, it can be inferred that technologies potentially innovatives may alter the current scenario. The financial time series chosen are： daily money supply, banking reserves, and annual inflation （monthly announced）. The first statistical and empirical evidences from the period （July, 1994 to December, 2011） show that the management of banking reserves does not interfere with the continuous growth of the monetary base plus demand deposits （M1） and cash in circulation, which possibly indicates an increasing financial inclusion. Moreover, there is no evidence that it creates inflationary pressures. The future works may require competencies pertinent to prospective finance and consumer behavior （marketing）.展开更多
The growth in shadow banking system over the past few years is acknowledged as the key risk to Malaysia＇s financial stability. This is because that it is associated with growth in the household debts extended by the ...The growth in shadow banking system over the past few years is acknowledged as the key risk to Malaysia＇s financial stability. This is because that it is associated with growth in the household debts extended by the shadow banks. In line with initiatives by the Bank Negara Malaysia （the Central Bank of Malaysia） to enhance surveillance on the activities of the shadow banks in Malaysia, this study attempts to examine the determinants of default risks of shadow banks restricting to focus on their two main activities： securitization and collateralization. The results provide empirical evidence that future methodology to examine the systemic risks in the shadow banking system may need to account for additional explanatory variables that measure collateralized assets that are being intermediated.展开更多
Future need of globalization in business is no longer focused on the local transaction; instead, it has involved many countries so as to affect the exchange rate of rupiah against foreign currencies. As a result, diff...Future need of globalization in business is no longer focused on the local transaction; instead, it has involved many countries so as to affect the exchange rate of rupiah against foreign currencies. As a result, differences in the exchange rate will lead to foreign exchange, be it a foreign exchange gain or foreign exchange losses. Exchange rate used at the beginning of the transaction is the exchange rate on the transaction, but in Indonesian currency transactions, what is often used is the exchange rate issued by the Directorate General of Taxation （DGT）. If at the end of the period, a balance of foreign currency still exists, then it will be adjusted using a fixed rate or an exchange rate of Central Bank of Indonesia. The results showed that the treatment of foreign exchange at the fishery company was using both the exchange rate allowed in the accounting and taxation regulations in Indonesia. The balance of transactions is related to export, be it a balance of accounts receivable on the sale of the outstanding balance of exports and export freight carried at the exchange rate adjustment of Central Bank of Indonesia, subsequent transactions relating to the purchase of imports were adjusted to a fixed exchange rate, which means that the balance payable on imports will continue to use the exchange rate at the beginning of the transaction展开更多
Data are critically important to good decision-making. In an increasingly complex economy, conventional data collecting schemes are no longer sufficient. To deal with the challenge of maintaining its statistics releva...Data are critically important to good decision-making. In an increasingly complex economy, conventional data collecting schemes are no longer sufficient. To deal with the challenge of maintaining its statistics relevant to the users in an ever-shifting environment, the Banco de Portugal decided to explore the largely unused statistical potential of the available micro-databases and to integrate the existing administrative and survey data, thus enhancing the basic information infrastructure while protecting confidentiality. This presentation will address the benefits and problems to be dealt with when two or more data-sources are to be integrated.展开更多
This paper describes the methodology of singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and demonstratethat it is a powerful method of time series analysis and forecasting,particulary for economic time series.The authors consider th...This paper describes the methodology of singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and demonstratethat it is a powerful method of time series analysis and forecasting,particulary for economic time series.The authors consider the application of SSA to the analysis and forecasting of the Iranian nationalaccounts data as provided by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran.展开更多
Mathematical modelling of cellular metabolism plays an important role in understandingbiological functions and providing identification of targets for biotechnological modification.This paperproposes a nonlinear bilev...Mathematical modelling of cellular metabolism plays an important role in understandingbiological functions and providing identification of targets for biotechnological modification.This paperproposes a nonlinear bilevel programming(NBP)model to infer the objective function of anaerobicglycerol metabolism in Klebsiella Pneumoniae(K.Pneumoniae)for 1,3-propanediol(1,3-PD)production.Based on the Kuhn-Tucker optimality condition of the lower level problem,NBP is transformedinto a nonlinear programming with complementary and slackness conditions.The authors give the existencetheorem of solutions to NBP.An efficient algorithm is proposed to solve NBP and its convergenceis also simply analyzed.Numerical results reveal some interesting conclusions,e.g.,biomass productionis the main force to drive glycerol metabolism,and the objective functions,which are obtained in termof several different groups of flux distributions,are similar.展开更多
We are living in an era in which monetary policies are needed in order to drive away economic crises.On January 29 the Bank of Japan（BOJ）,the country’s central bank,said that it would apply a0.1-percent fee on new ...We are living in an era in which monetary policies are needed in order to drive away economic crises.On January 29 the Bank of Japan（BOJ）,the country’s central bank,said that it would apply a0.1-percent fee on new deposits held by commercial banks at the BOJ—in essence adopting a negative interest rate.展开更多
Entering the first year of the 13th FiveYear Plan（2016-20）period,the Central Government has laid a focus on pushing forward supply-side structural reform,promoting new breakthroughs in green development and speeding...Entering the first year of the 13th FiveYear Plan（2016-20）period,the Central Government has laid a focus on pushing forward supply-side structural reform,promoting new breakthroughs in green development and speeding up the expansion of green finance.In other words,展开更多
文摘We establish an exchange rate determination model for central banks' interventions in financial markets. The model shows that central banks can adjust exchange rate by several policy instruments and that different instruments may have different effects on exchange rate determination. It specifies potential policy instruments for central banks as well as their policy effects. Based on these effects, feasible matches of policy instruments in contingent intervention are put forth.
文摘Sovereign Wealth Funds （SWFs） are generally known as investment funds owned by national governments and financed by the country＇s foreign currency reserves （dollar, euro, and yen）, often through their central banks or via direct investments. The study investigated the investment strategy of the Temasek Holdings as one of the most successful SWFs which is owned by the government of Singapore. Temasek Holdings was founded in 1974 to manage part of the government＇s revenues. Present turbulent times create a big pressure on healthy investment strategy of the SWFs. But total shareholder return for Temasek since its inception in 1974 has been a healthy 17% compounded annually. The main objective of the paper is to focus on the role of the Temasek Holdings as a company managed on commercial principles with an aim to achieve long-term sustainable returns. The study also analyzed Temasek Holdings＇investment strategy. The study provides answers to questions like： why Temasek is of the most successful SWFs and what is the fund risk management？ Another part of the paper compares investment strategy of the Temasek Holdings with other SWFs. The study has been conducted mainly on the basis of literature survey, secondary information and with using various web sites and research paper. The analysis has been also based on disclosures appearing in the Temasek annual reports over the period from 2008 to 2010.
文摘This paper examines the appropriateness of the adoption of Anglo-American type of reorganization provisions into national bankruptcy law using Thailand as a sample. It argues that such adoption shall be cautious. Since Thailand started to accommodate such provisions, reorganization, apparently, has limited usefulness--benefitting only large-scale debtors because it does not fit with the nature of Thai business culture, i.e., the borrowing-lending relationship and less-than-arm＇s length business connections. On average, only every one in 200 bankruptcy cases employs reorganization; the rest goes for liquidation but the average outstanding debt in reorganization is over 30 times higher than liquidation. Interestingly, the adjudication rate of reorganization is faster than those of liquidation. Debtors＇ strategic use of the law and the procedural bias are suspected. Debt restructuring led by the central bank in cooperation with commercial banks, instead, is overwhelmingly more successful, equally efficient, and effective because any ailing firm can renegotiate its borrowing contract rather easily in the low transaction cost environment. Debt restructuring outperformed reorganization roughly 800 and two times in terms of cases and debt amount respectively. Thus, the adoption of non-indigenous provisions shall be made prudently. This argument applies towards the standardization of insolvency legislation. Standardizing bankruptcy procedures shall be made carefully and national economic conditions including local business nature and uniqueness are worth examined before any enactment or amendment. Otherwise, benefits of international trade and investment would be achieved at the expense of economic efficiency.
文摘This text evaluates the convergence among the main targets of a Central Bank, like the Brazilian Central Bank, with that deals with objectives such as inflation targeting, bank regulation, and financial inclusion, when it operates subject to the Bank for International Settlements （BIS） recommendations gathered in the recent Basel III agreement. A Brazilian conjuncture analysis starts with the economic stabilization plan known as Piano Real （July, 1994） and takes account that, from 2007 onwards, the world economy is going through troubled times unchained by the international financial crisis that motivated the recent Basel Agreement （Basel III）. There are two lines of analysis： macroeconomic and marketing. From the macroeconomic approach, there are plenty models to predict money supply and monetary aggregates. From a marketing perspective, it can be inferred that technologies potentially innovatives may alter the current scenario. The financial time series chosen are： daily money supply, banking reserves, and annual inflation （monthly announced）. The first statistical and empirical evidences from the period （July, 1994 to December, 2011） show that the management of banking reserves does not interfere with the continuous growth of the monetary base plus demand deposits （M1） and cash in circulation, which possibly indicates an increasing financial inclusion. Moreover, there is no evidence that it creates inflationary pressures. The future works may require competencies pertinent to prospective finance and consumer behavior （marketing）.
文摘The growth in shadow banking system over the past few years is acknowledged as the key risk to Malaysia＇s financial stability. This is because that it is associated with growth in the household debts extended by the shadow banks. In line with initiatives by the Bank Negara Malaysia （the Central Bank of Malaysia） to enhance surveillance on the activities of the shadow banks in Malaysia, this study attempts to examine the determinants of default risks of shadow banks restricting to focus on their two main activities： securitization and collateralization. The results provide empirical evidence that future methodology to examine the systemic risks in the shadow banking system may need to account for additional explanatory variables that measure collateralized assets that are being intermediated.
文摘Future need of globalization in business is no longer focused on the local transaction; instead, it has involved many countries so as to affect the exchange rate of rupiah against foreign currencies. As a result, differences in the exchange rate will lead to foreign exchange, be it a foreign exchange gain or foreign exchange losses. Exchange rate used at the beginning of the transaction is the exchange rate on the transaction, but in Indonesian currency transactions, what is often used is the exchange rate issued by the Directorate General of Taxation （DGT）. If at the end of the period, a balance of foreign currency still exists, then it will be adjusted using a fixed rate or an exchange rate of Central Bank of Indonesia. The results showed that the treatment of foreign exchange at the fishery company was using both the exchange rate allowed in the accounting and taxation regulations in Indonesia. The balance of transactions is related to export, be it a balance of accounts receivable on the sale of the outstanding balance of exports and export freight carried at the exchange rate adjustment of Central Bank of Indonesia, subsequent transactions relating to the purchase of imports were adjusted to a fixed exchange rate, which means that the balance payable on imports will continue to use the exchange rate at the beginning of the transaction
文摘Data are critically important to good decision-making. In an increasingly complex economy, conventional data collecting schemes are no longer sufficient. To deal with the challenge of maintaining its statistics relevant to the users in an ever-shifting environment, the Banco de Portugal decided to explore the largely unused statistical potential of the available micro-databases and to integrate the existing administrative and survey data, thus enhancing the basic information infrastructure while protecting confidentiality. This presentation will address the benefits and problems to be dealt with when two or more data-sources are to be integrated.
基金supported by a grant (No. 88/121230) from Institute for Trade StudiesResearch (ITSR), Tehran, Iran
文摘This paper describes the methodology of singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and demonstratethat it is a powerful method of time series analysis and forecasting,particulary for economic time series.The authors consider the application of SSA to the analysis and forecasting of the Iranian nationalaccounts data as provided by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.10871033 and 10671126
文摘Mathematical modelling of cellular metabolism plays an important role in understandingbiological functions and providing identification of targets for biotechnological modification.This paperproposes a nonlinear bilevel programming(NBP)model to infer the objective function of anaerobicglycerol metabolism in Klebsiella Pneumoniae(K.Pneumoniae)for 1,3-propanediol(1,3-PD)production.Based on the Kuhn-Tucker optimality condition of the lower level problem,NBP is transformedinto a nonlinear programming with complementary and slackness conditions.The authors give the existencetheorem of solutions to NBP.An efficient algorithm is proposed to solve NBP and its convergenceis also simply analyzed.Numerical results reveal some interesting conclusions,e.g.,biomass productionis the main force to drive glycerol metabolism,and the objective functions,which are obtained in termof several different groups of flux distributions,are similar.
文摘We are living in an era in which monetary policies are needed in order to drive away economic crises.On January 29 the Bank of Japan（BOJ）,the country’s central bank,said that it would apply a0.1-percent fee on new deposits held by commercial banks at the BOJ—in essence adopting a negative interest rate.
文摘Entering the first year of the 13th FiveYear Plan（2016-20）period,the Central Government has laid a focus on pushing forward supply-side structural reform,promoting new breakthroughs in green development and speeding up the expansion of green finance.In other words,
