Based on 18 global climate models' simulations of the 20th century climate, a set of experiments within phase five of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5), the performances of simulating the present ...Based on 18 global climate models' simulations of the 20th century climate, a set of experiments within phase five of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5), the performances of simulating the present climate over China are assessed. Compared with observations, models can capture the dominant features of the geographic distributions of temperature and precipitation during 1961-2005. For the temporal changes of temperature, models appear to have a good performance on reproducing the warming tendency but show limited skills for precipitation. For the regional mean temperature and precipitation over the whole of China, most models underestimate the actual temperature and overestimate precipitation. Concerning the standard deviations of simulations by the 18 models, they are larger for temperature in the western part of China, while the standard deviations are larger for precipitation in the South.展开更多
China＇s immense achievements over the sixty years since the founding of New China, especially in the last thirty years since the institution of reform and opening up, have inspired heated debate on whether there exis...China＇s immense achievements over the sixty years since the founding of New China, especially in the last thirty years since the institution of reform and opening up, have inspired heated debate on whether there exists a ＂Chinese model of development＂ or a ＂Beijing consensus.＂ The term ＂model＂ has two layers of meaning： one refers to the uniqueness of China＇s development road, the other to its exportability and imitability. In terms of the former, China has indeed created a unique developmental model. China＇s development path was arrived at when the Chinese people finally chose Marxism in the course of their pursuit of national independence and modernization. Its essential character is the choice to follow the socialist road and reject capitalist expansion and enslavement. Globalization follows the unbounded aggrandizement of capital, which brings world politics and economy under the domination of world capitalism. It is against such a background that the uniqueness of the Chinese road of development stands out. At the same time China has no intention of exporting its own model of development. Rather, China＇s pursuit of harmony, equality and diversity among nations will allow the success of the Chinese road to change current international rules and concepts of global development. In this era of globalization, the Chinese road is of world significance.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(2009CB421407 and 2010CB950501)
文摘Based on 18 global climate models' simulations of the 20th century climate, a set of experiments within phase five of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5), the performances of simulating the present climate over China are assessed. Compared with observations, models can capture the dominant features of the geographic distributions of temperature and precipitation during 1961-2005. For the temporal changes of temperature, models appear to have a good performance on reproducing the warming tendency but show limited skills for precipitation. For the regional mean temperature and precipitation over the whole of China, most models underestimate the actual temperature and overestimate precipitation. Concerning the standard deviations of simulations by the 18 models, they are larger for temperature in the western part of China, while the standard deviations are larger for precipitation in the South.
文摘China＇s immense achievements over the sixty years since the founding of New China, especially in the last thirty years since the institution of reform and opening up, have inspired heated debate on whether there exists a ＂Chinese model of development＂ or a ＂Beijing consensus.＂ The term ＂model＂ has two layers of meaning： one refers to the uniqueness of China＇s development road, the other to its exportability and imitability. In terms of the former, China has indeed created a unique developmental model. China＇s development path was arrived at when the Chinese people finally chose Marxism in the course of their pursuit of national independence and modernization. Its essential character is the choice to follow the socialist road and reject capitalist expansion and enslavement. Globalization follows the unbounded aggrandizement of capital, which brings world politics and economy under the domination of world capitalism. It is against such a background that the uniqueness of the Chinese road of development stands out. At the same time China has no intention of exporting its own model of development. Rather, China＇s pursuit of harmony, equality and diversity among nations will allow the success of the Chinese road to change current international rules and concepts of global development. In this era of globalization, the Chinese road is of world significance.
