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人民币名义汇率与实际汇率的市场分割现象——基于结构突变理论的经验证据 被引量:1
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作者 尹福生 夏阿林 莫扬 《产经评论》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第3期153-160,共8页
把人民币有效汇率视为多个市场主体共同作用的结果,采用Perron类方法检测其结构突变现象,重点分析不同市场主体行为差异及其影响。实证结果显示人民币名义有效汇率和实际有效汇率表现出截然不同的结构突变特征,表明市场主体之间可能存... 把人民币有效汇率视为多个市场主体共同作用的结果,采用Perron类方法检测其结构突变现象,重点分析不同市场主体行为差异及其影响。实证结果显示人民币名义有效汇率和实际有效汇率表现出截然不同的结构突变特征,表明市场主体之间可能存在分割现象。央行和金融机构虽然稳定了人民币名义汇率,但并没有消除中国实体经济主体(消费者和生产者)承受的汇率风险。1997年东南亚经济危机和2001年末中国加入WTO两个关键外部事件,对中国实体经济产生了重大冲击。最后提出:由于市场分割,人民币双边名义汇率反映的信息较贸易加权的多边汇率更为真实,央行宜更多关注如何消除实际汇率风险。 展开更多
关键词 结构突变 人民币 名义汇率与实际汇率 市场分割现象 主体行为差异
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Does boldness explain vulnerability to angling in Eurasian perch Perca fluviatilis? 被引量:6
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作者 Anssi VAINIKKA Ilkka TAMMELA Pekka HYVARINEN 《Current Zoology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第2期109-115,共7页
Consistent individual differences (CIDs) in behavior are of interest to both basic and applied research, because any selection acting on them could induce evolution of animal behavior. It has been suggested that CID... Consistent individual differences (CIDs) in behavior are of interest to both basic and applied research, because any selection acting on them could induce evolution of animal behavior. It has been suggested that CIDs in the behavior of fish might explain individual differences in vulnerability to fishing. If so, fishing could impose selection on fish behavior. In this study, we assessed boldness-indicating behaviors of Eurasian perch Perca fluviatilis using individually conducted experiments measuring the time taken to explore a novel arena containing predator (burbot, Lota Iota) cues. We studied if individual differences in boldness would explain vulnerability of individually tagged perch to experimental angling in outdoor ponds, or if fishing would impose selection on boldness-indicating behavior. Perch expressed repeatable individual differences in boldness-indicating behavior but the individual boldness-score (the first principal component) obtained using principal component analysis combining all the measured behavioral responses did not explain vulnerability to experimental angling. Instead, large body size appeared as the only statistically significant predictor of capture probability. Our results suggest that angling is selective for large size, but not always selective for high boldness. 展开更多
关键词 behavior fishing-induced evolution fishing vulnerability growth personality selection
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