基于乘积耦合Volterra模型的短时交通流预测

基于混沌序列固有的非线性和确定性机制以及Volterra级数的非线性表征能力,提出一种短时交通流预测的三阶Volterra模型。针对Volterra模型随阶数增加复杂度以幂次方增加的问题,研究了该模型的乘积耦合近似实现结构。首先,采用互信息法和虚假邻点法选取时间延迟和嵌入维数,并采用小数据量法计算Lyapunov指数判定交通流是否具有混沌特性;然后,建立三阶Volterra滤波器的乘积耦合近似实现结构,并采用一种改进的非线性归一化最小均方(NLMS)算法实时调整模型系数;最后,对高速公路实测交通流的预测结果表明,交通流中存在混沌特征,应用构建的预测模型可有效地对交通流进行预测,且降低了模型的复杂性。

On the Coupling of φ Meson to Nucleons and Backward φ Production

Some analyses of the electromagnetic form factors of the nucleon and some analyses of the nucleon-nucleon potential favor a large coupling of the φ meson to nucleons. This is frequently quoted by advocates of a large ss component of the nucleon. It is shown that such large OZI-violating couplings are incompatible with data on φproduction in backward direction via nucleon exchange.