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市场环境及CO_2排放政策变化下的发电投资决策 被引量:5
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作者 刘国中 文福拴 董朝阳 《华南理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第3期101-108,共8页
为探讨CO2排放政策以及运营过程中的一些不确定性因素对火力发电投资决策的影响,根据各种不确定性因素的变化特征,建立了相应的数学模型,并利用期权博弈理论,构造了一个新的发电投资决策方法框架.在假定发电投资依次进行的基础上,发展... 为探讨CO2排放政策以及运营过程中的一些不确定性因素对火力发电投资决策的影响,根据各种不确定性因素的变化特征,建立了相应的数学模型,并利用期权博弈理论,构造了一个新的发电投资决策方法框架.在假定发电投资依次进行的基础上,发展了基于Barraquand-Martineau(B-M)期权定价模型的求解方法.最后,用仿真算例对所提出的方法进行了说明.算例分析结果表明,所发展的模型框架能够合理容纳多个不确定性因素,适当模拟规划期内多个发电公司在市场状态随机变化情况下的动态博弈过程. 展开更多
关键词 电力市场 发电投资 二氧化碳排放政策 期权博弈 不确定性
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Low Carbon Society in China: Research and Practice
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作者 CAI Bo-Feng WANG Jin-Nan +2 位作者 YANG Wei-Shan LIU Lan-Cui CAO Dong 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 2012年第2期106-120,共15页
This paper aims to provide an overall image in terms of low carbon society (LCS) and its development in China. It mainly introduced and analyzed low carbon development which was addressed as crucial initiative for i... This paper aims to provide an overall image in terms of low carbon society (LCS) and its development in China. It mainly introduced and analyzed low carbon development which was addressed as crucial initiative for implementation of LCS in China. A comparative analysis was carried out on concepts and experiences of LCS between China and developed countries. The trends and characteristics of CO2 emissions in China have also been analyzed. Because of large amount of CO2 emissions generated in the production process and relatively small amount of CO2 emissions in the consumption process, China is facing a severe challenge of imbalance in economic growth and CO2 emissions. If the consumption and production pattern of developed countries are duplicated, China is very likely to experience a development pattern of boosting economic growth and improving living standards significantly but meanwhile risking and suffering by large amount of resources consumption and CO2 emissions. Thus, a comprehensive, systematic and scientific scheme for implementing a low carbon society is urgently needed in China. Through literature research, mainstream perspectives of scholars with respect to development of LCS are concluded. In the meantime, CO2 emissions reduction target, carbon taxation and different debated issues are also presented. The achievements, China has rflade, consist of concrete actions taken by local governments, some new policies and regulations for carbon reduction at national level, in particular energy-saving and renewable energy policies proposed in the l lth Five-Year Plan (2005-2010). Carbon trading markets and carbon capture and starage technology have also made progress in China. There are still many limitations and barriers remaining and in need to be solved in the next steps. 展开更多
关键词 low carbon society RESEARCH PRACTICE China
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