This study was conducted to establish a Support Vector Machines(SVM)-Markov Chain prediction model for prediction of mining water inflow. According to the raw data sequence, the Support Vector Machines(SVM) model was ...This study was conducted to establish a Support Vector Machines(SVM)-Markov Chain prediction model for prediction of mining water inflow. According to the raw data sequence, the Support Vector Machines(SVM) model was built, and then revised by means of a Markov state change probability matrix. Through dividing the state and analyzing absolute errors and relative errors and other indexes of the measured value and the fitted value of SVM, the prediction results were improved. Finally,the model was used to calculate relative errors. Through predicting and analyzing mining water inflow, the prediction results of the model were satisfactory. The results of this study enlarge the application scope of the Support Vector Machines(SVM) prediction model and provide a new method for scientific forecasting water inflow in coal mining.展开更多
The neutral network forecasting model based on the phase space reconstruction was proposed. First, through reconstructing the phase space, the time series of single variable was done excursion and expanded into multi-...The neutral network forecasting model based on the phase space reconstruction was proposed. First, through reconstructing the phase space, the time series of single variable was done excursion and expanded into multi- dimension series which included the ergodic information and more rich information could be excavated. Then, on the basis of the embedding dimension of the time series, the structure form of neutral network was constructed, of which the node number in input layer was the embedding dimension of the time series minus 1, and the node number in output layers was 1. Finally, as an example, the model was applied for water yield of mine forecasting. The result shows that the model has good fitting accuracy and forecasting precision.展开更多
文摘This study was conducted to establish a Support Vector Machines(SVM)-Markov Chain prediction model for prediction of mining water inflow. According to the raw data sequence, the Support Vector Machines(SVM) model was built, and then revised by means of a Markov state change probability matrix. Through dividing the state and analyzing absolute errors and relative errors and other indexes of the measured value and the fitted value of SVM, the prediction results were improved. Finally,the model was used to calculate relative errors. Through predicting and analyzing mining water inflow, the prediction results of the model were satisfactory. The results of this study enlarge the application scope of the Support Vector Machines(SVM) prediction model and provide a new method for scientific forecasting water inflow in coal mining.
文摘The neutral network forecasting model based on the phase space reconstruction was proposed. First, through reconstructing the phase space, the time series of single variable was done excursion and expanded into multi- dimension series which included the ergodic information and more rich information could be excavated. Then, on the basis of the embedding dimension of the time series, the structure form of neutral network was constructed, of which the node number in input layer was the embedding dimension of the time series minus 1, and the node number in output layers was 1. Finally, as an example, the model was applied for water yield of mine forecasting. The result shows that the model has good fitting accuracy and forecasting precision.
