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我国21世纪东、中、西部人口家庭老化预测和对策分析 被引量:15
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作者 曾毅 王正联 《人口与经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第2期1-10,37,共11页
本文应用多区域多维家庭人口预测新方法对我国东、中、西部部分城乡人口家庭老化的模拟分析表明,如果迁移人口绝大多数是年轻人的年龄分布长期不变,我国21世纪人口家庭老化最严重的"重灾区"在中部地区,其次是东部。我们建议... 本文应用多区域多维家庭人口预测新方法对我国东、中、西部部分城乡人口家庭老化的模拟分析表明,如果迁移人口绝大多数是年轻人的年龄分布长期不变,我国21世纪人口家庭老化最严重的"重灾区"在中部地区,其次是东部。我们建议实行鼓励年轻迁移者携老年父母迁往城镇定居的政策,以避免中部地区(包括城乡)和各地区农村人口家庭老化程度太高的严重后果。如果在东、中、西部因地制宜,平稳实施城乡二孩晚育软着陆,老化程度将有所改善。 展开更多
关键词 东中西部 人口家庭老化 区域差异
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鼓励生育二孩利国益民并有助于粮食安全 被引量:1
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作者 曾毅 《科技促进发展》 CSCD 2018年第1期7-16,共10页
本文首先综述我国2015年10月宣布普遍二孩政策以来媒体的反应,讨论普遍二孩政策实行两年多来生育水平和城乡育龄夫妇生育意愿仍然偏低的现状,然后简述人口与经济增长及包括粮食安全的生存资源关系研究的历史回顾,以及我国改革开放以来... 本文首先综述我国2015年10月宣布普遍二孩政策以来媒体的反应,讨论普遍二孩政策实行两年多来生育水平和城乡育龄夫妇生育意愿仍然偏低的现状,然后简述人口与经济增长及包括粮食安全的生存资源关系研究的历史回顾,以及我国改革开放以来经济增长奇迹与人口转变的关系。在此基础上,本文根据实证数据分析,重点论证为何在当今我国生育率已经很低的现实条件下,鼓励生育二孩政策既利国又惠民并有助于粮食安全,最后提出相关政策建议。 展开更多
关键词 普遍二孩政策 劳力资源 粮食安全 人口家庭老化 子女健康成长
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The research of the community-home elderly long-term care service system 被引量:1
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作者 Qiang Zhu 《International English Education Research》 2015年第6期3-5,共3页
With the rapid development of the aging of the population, the demand of long-term care services in the elderly is growing. Because of family miniaturization, core, and currently limited social accumulation are diffic... With the rapid development of the aging of the population, the demand of long-term care services in the elderly is growing. Because of family miniaturization, core, and currently limited social accumulation are difficult to meet the demand of the elderly in long-term care.Community provides the elderly long-term care services, and provides the elderly all kinds of household helping services. They just make up for the inadequacy of the family and society.And how to make the community elderly long-term care services become more suitable for the needs of the elderly at home, provide better service for the elderly, are our current problems to be solved. 展开更多
关键词 Community home endowment Long-term care services Elderly care needs.
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A Study on the Supporting Policy of Family Support Servicein Shanghai
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作者 XIAN Mengjun 《International English Education Research》 2017年第4期1-3,共3页
As a developing country, but also the world's largest population, the largest population of the country, aging is an important problem for our country's attention and resolution. With the aging of our population inc... As a developing country, but also the world's largest population, the largest population of the country, aging is an important problem for our country's attention and resolution. With the aging of our population increasingly serious problem, as well as the old pension system has become increasingly prominent malpractice, the old has become a high degree of concern about the social problems. Based on the analysis of the weakening of traditional family pension function and the necessity of family pension, this paper concludes that the family pension model is still in line with China's national conditions and national strength. And put forward the importance of family support policy, Through the family to carry out active and effective policy support to promote the development of the family, help to better promote the family pension function play and improve. 展开更多
关键词 Aging population Family pension Family policy SHANGHAI
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Effects of the New Two-child Policy On Family Old-age Security
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作者 Li Cuiping Jiang Fei Yu Chunyan 《International English Education Research》 2015年第9期60-62,共3页
This paper analyzes the current situation of the aging population and low fertility rate.lt is found that the aging process is accelerated, the population growth potential is decreased, and the elderly dependency rati... This paper analyzes the current situation of the aging population and low fertility rate.lt is found that the aging process is accelerated, the population growth potential is decreased, and the elderly dependency ratio is higher.Secondly, this paper mainly analyzes the impact of the new two-child policy on family pension security from three aspects: population policy, family support and social security.There are two aspects of the effects, the positive effects are:improve fertility, reduce elderly dependency ratio, relieve population aging,enhance the family development: the negative effects are: tremendous pressure on public resources, further inequality in birth right, heavy economic pressure on the family.At last. this paper puts forward the constructive countermeasures against the problems of the policy and the was out of the family old-age security. 展开更多
关键词 The New Two-Child Policy Family Old-age Security Fffect Analysis
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Perfect Shanghai Community Support Mechanism importance
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作者 CHEN jian 《International English Education Research》 2016年第5期4-6,共3页
With the aging of our population is growing significantly, pension issues are also increasingly prominent in the family pension, social pension and retirement communities, and retirement communities have both advantag... With the aging of our population is growing significantly, pension issues are also increasingly prominent in the family pension, social pension and retirement communities, and retirement communities have both advantages and both have their own characteristics and become an effective means to solve the pension problem, Shanghai is currently analyzing the situation and problems of the pension on the basis of the Shanghai community care services continue to improve mechanisms to forward the healthy and orderly development of Shanghai pension service mechanism. 展开更多
关键词 GOVERNMENT procurement community CARE prevention MECHANISM
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试论二孩晚育政策软着陆的必要性与可行性 被引量:79
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作者 曾毅 《中国社会科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第2期93-109,共17页
本文应用2000年人口普查等数据,对现行生育政策不变与二孩晚育“软着陆”等不同政策方案下未来80年中国城乡人口、老人与独居老人比例、劳动力资源、退休金缺口率、女性婚龄人口短缺等进行了模拟预测与对比分析。研究结果表明,二孩晚育... 本文应用2000年人口普查等数据,对现行生育政策不变与二孩晚育“软着陆”等不同政策方案下未来80年中国城乡人口、老人与独居老人比例、劳动力资源、退休金缺口率、女性婚龄人口短缺等进行了模拟预测与对比分析。研究结果表明,二孩晚育软着陆方案人口总数在2038年达到14.8亿峰值后平缓下降,其在今后80年老人与独居老人比例、老年抚养比、劳动力资源、退休金缺口率、避免出生性别比长期偏高等方面均优于现行生育政策不变方案。 展开更多
关键词 生育政策 人口老化家庭结构 劳动力资源 退休金缺口率 性别平衡
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China's Population Aging from the Perspective of Public Policy 被引量:2
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作者 Hu Zhan Peng Xizhe 《Social Sciences in China》 2011年第4期106-124,共19页
Population aging will become the norm in the Chinese society. Its challenge derives mainly from the failure of the existing socio-economic system to cope with the aging process. The intervention of public policy is th... Population aging will become the norm in the Chinese society. Its challenge derives mainly from the failure of the existing socio-economic system to cope with the aging process. The intervention of public policy is therefore inevitable. This paper argues that in order to comprehensively deal with the aging problem, it is not sufficient to merely readjust population policies, policy measures focusing on the aged or policies for one or another sector. Instead, we need to reconstruct the current public policy system from the perspective of social integration and a long-term development strategy. During the reconstruction process, efforts should be made not only to coordinate the population system with other social systems, but also to coordinate short-term goals with medium and longterm strategies. Accordingly, an authoritative permanent government coordinating agency should be established and, taking into account China's national conditions, should redefine the social role of senior citizens, solve practical problems related to support for the aged and support the sustainable development of an aging society. 展开更多
关键词 population aging public policy FAMILY demographic dividend sustainable development
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