期刊文献+
共找到8篇文章
< 1 >
每页显示 20 50 100
现代史学方法论视角下的人口循环理论
1
作者 谢尔盖.涅菲奥多夫 张广翔 回云崎 《史学集刊》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第2期3-16,共14页
马尔萨斯理论在史学上被广泛应用。马尔萨斯认为人口的增长导致饥饿和社会危机,随之而来的是人口数量的减少、消费增加,随后人口数量又开始增加。人口数量的稳定波动就是人口循环周期。20世纪30年代俄国经济学家雅什诺夫在史学研究中第... 马尔萨斯理论在史学上被广泛应用。马尔萨斯认为人口的增长导致饥饿和社会危机,随之而来的是人口数量的减少、消费增加,随后人口数量又开始增加。人口数量的稳定波动就是人口循环周期。20世纪30年代俄国经济学家雅什诺夫在史学研究中第一次揭示了马尔萨斯人口循环理论。随后W.阿贝尔和M.波斯坦在欧洲史研究方面运用了该理论。20世纪下半叶人口循环理论得到了深入的研究,尤其受到法国年鉴派史学家布罗代尔等人的重视。随后,J.戈尔斯通的人口结构理论为人口循环理论的发展注入了新的活力。近几年以J.卡姆罗斯、P.图尔钦为代表的学者广泛采用数学模拟方法研究人口循环理论,运用这一方法可将人口循环周期分为增长阶段、紧缩阶段和生态危机阶段。此外,运用人口循环理论取得的研究成果有助于对社会和经济发展做出预测。 展开更多
关键词 新马尔萨斯理论 人口循环周期 人口过剩 生态危机 数学模拟
下载PDF
推动人口循环流动 促建美丽乡土中国——兼论人的循环流动与美丽乡土中国建设的四大关系
2
作者 苟德培 《新华月报》 2016年第11期44-47,共4页
近几年来,一些公开发表在自媒体上的记者、学者的返乡日记以耸人听闻的笔调与冷眼旁观的视角,勾勒出一个个凋敝、衰落、人烟稀少与毫无温度的乡村,这显然不能代表正在建设发展中的乡土中国的勃勃生机!但值得注意的是,受六十多年来... 近几年来,一些公开发表在自媒体上的记者、学者的返乡日记以耸人听闻的笔调与冷眼旁观的视角,勾勒出一个个凋敝、衰落、人烟稀少与毫无温度的乡村,这显然不能代表正在建设发展中的乡土中国的勃勃生机!但值得注意的是,受六十多年来城乡二元结构、生产要素不平等交换、公共资源不均衡配置的深刻影响,及其伴生的就业、教育、婚嫁、医疗、康养等现实需求,中国人口流动呈现出从乡村到城市的“鲤鱼跳龙门”般的主要流势。对于乡村社会而言, 展开更多
关键词 乡土中国 人口循环 城乡二元结构 乡村社会 不平等交换 生产要素 均衡配置 公共资源
原文传递
Length of stay in urban areas of circular migrants from the mountainous areas in China
3
作者 TAN Ming-hong LI Xiu-bin +2 位作者 YAN Jian-zhong XIN Liang-jie SUN Lai-xiang 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第5期947-956,共10页
Currently, there is limited literature dealing with the length of stay of circular migrants in urban areas (LSCMU), although many studies have discussed the phenomenon of migration and the determinants of migration.... Currently, there is limited literature dealing with the length of stay of circular migrants in urban areas (LSCMU), although many studies have discussed the phenomenon of migration and the determinants of migration. This study attempts to fill that gap using survey data from the mountainous areas of Chongqing, Southwest China. From a comparative perspective, this study divided workers into two groups (a young group aged between 16 and 35 years and an old group aged between 36 and 65 years). The average LSCMU values for the young and old groups were 225 days and ~74 days, respectively. Two multi-regression models were used to estimate the determinants of LSCMU in the two groups. The results showed that LSCMU was closely related to individual factors in both groups, including gender, age and job training. Family and community factors, including household size, arable land per capita and the distance from market, had much weaker effects on the dependent variable, especially in the older group. It was noticeable that job training had significant positive effects on LSCMU in both groups; these findings have special implications for the urbanization process in China. 展开更多
关键词 Circular migrants URBAN Mountain areas China
下载PDF
Social capital and rural institutions in Kenya Is Machakos unique? 被引量:1
4
作者 Wilfred Nyangend Thomas Sterner 《Chinese Business Review》 2009年第10期1-18,共18页
In Eastern Africa, the experience of Machakos has been heavily debated between Malthusians and the more optimistic Boserupians. Machakos was the epitome of overpopulation and resource degradation in the 1950s, but has... In Eastern Africa, the experience of Machakos has been heavily debated between Malthusians and the more optimistic Boserupians. Machakos was the epitome of overpopulation and resource degradation in the 1950s, but has since thrived. The Boserupians view Machakos as an illustration of how population growth can solve rather than exacerbate the vicious cycle of poverty and resource degradation. The question arises whether Machakos is unique. This study investigates the role of social capital in Machakos. Using principal component analysis, the authors estimate various dimensions of social capital and find significant differences between Machakos and two other Kenyan regions particularly when it comes to the formation of associations. 展开更多
关键词 Kenya regional differences soil conservation social capital principal components
下载PDF
To a Question about Forecasting Number of Micromammalia (Rodentia)
5
作者 Nadezhda Antonets Aleksandr B alalayev Margarita Shumkova 《Journal of Life Sciences》 2013年第1期63-68,共6页
In the present study, the data for population dynamics of micromammalia in Dnipropetrovs'k Region in 1957-1999 and Dnipro-Orel's Natural Reserve at 1991-2009 are adduced. With the purpose to drawing up of the long-t... In the present study, the data for population dynamics of micromammalia in Dnipropetrovs'k Region in 1957-1999 and Dnipro-Orel's Natural Reserve at 1991-2009 are adduced. With the purpose to drawing up of the long-term forecast at number are analyzed long-term lines of number on background kind's fine micromammals of dominant group. The analysis of long standing rows of number small mammals and comparison data with Wolf number were demonstration, which indicate that dynamic of number phone species (and dominant in particular) carry a cyclic character and contact with 11-year cycles of sun activity. Consequently, it was clearing up hidden periodical in dynamic of number mouse rodents. By that observation was dependence from cycles of sun activity. Probably, that in 2012 year, before peak of sun activity in 2013, next high increase about the number of small mammals for maxima ("outbreak" mass reproduction is a peak "big wave") will take place. 展开更多
关键词 Small mammals NUMBER forecasting.
下载PDF
中国历史人口增长再认识:公元2—1949 被引量:8
6
作者 朱国宏 《人口研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 1998年第3期14-20,共7页
对于中国历史上的人口增长,学术界一直存在着不同的认识。本文从总量变化和增长率变化两个方面重新考察中国历史人口的变化过程,得出稳定人口的结论。然后,从稳定人口的角度对中国历史人口增长和人口循环作出新的解释。
关键词 公元2-1949 中国 人口增长 人口总量 人口增长率 出生率 死亡率 人口循环
原文传递
人口流动要求优化公共产品空间配置
7
作者 成德宁 黄杨 《党政干部参考》 2017年第1期30-31,共2页
我国人口流动类型正从暂时性的人口循环流动向永久性的人口迁移转变,而且,流动人口家庭化的趋势也日益明显。
关键词 人口流动 空间配置 公共产品 优化 人口迁移 人口循环 流动人口 永久性
原文传递
女性外生殖器切割:背景与事实
8
作者 陈卫 尤丹珍 《人口研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 1998年第3期61-66,共6页
关键词 女性 外生殖器 割礼 民族习俗 女子成年仪式 生殖健康 人口循环
原文传递
上一页 1 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部