Forecasting Orders with ARMA in Household Electric Appliance Enterprises Based on Mobile Agent

Forecasting orders accurately plays a crucial role for household electric appliance (HEA) enterprises keeping low inventory level. In order to reduce the influence of bullwhip effect, sales data are applied to forecast orders of the next period instead of ordering data. Mobile agent is applied to achieve the sales data from retailers in the data preparation. And the converting approach from sales data of retailers to prediction data is proposed. Autoregressive and moving average (ARMA) model is introduced to forecast orders and a comparison amongst final prediction error (FPE), Akaike information criterion(AIC), Bayes information criterion(BIC) and Akaike's corrected information criterion(AICC) criterion is shown. The sample test verifies the superiority of AICC; therefore it is applied to identify ARMA order. Forecasting architecture is established and then the prototype system is tested, at last a case shows the orders prediction of the next quarter and verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Explore the impact of e-commerce network on development of regional economic

In the era of rapid development of the Intemet, people began to adapt to the huge growth of the Internet to facilitate people＇ s daily lives, people have been accustomed to staying at home and can easily enjoy the convenience and needs of life to achieve quick and easy lifestyle. The advent of the Internet age also become more virtual to business models, and now the development of enterprises has involved the application of e-commerce technology, the company＇ s business model combines network through electronic technology to some extent, and it made great adjustments and changes in order to deal with the new face of increasingly fierce competition in the market. Thus a new term： ＂E-commerce＂ is well known and accepted as more and more people. A regional economic development need of the residents＇ daily consumption is driven, so local governments need to focus on the various steady development of local small and medium enterprises. Therefore, the development of electronic commerce network technology can indirectly affect a region＇ s economic development. This paper discusses this issue.

Research on thermode of operation of wisdom Logistics in large data background

With the rapid development of China＇ s economy and the accelerating pace of economic globalization, the rapid expansion of trade appears in goods, materials; space to move also will expand in breadth and depth, and thus the efficiency of the logistics activities, rapid response capabilities and the level of information logistics put forward higher requirements. Meanwhile, the logistics needs of personalization, diversification and sophistication, require that logistics service companies must constantly improve and optimize enterprise business model, and target to develop new logistics services to adapt to changes in the logistics market, and improve the competitiveness of enterprises.Modem logistics enterprises refer to the concept of modem logistics as a guide, and the use of modem logistics and organization of modem logistics technology, it is to provide customers help and reduce logistics costs and improve the level of integrated logistics services to rationalize logistics enterprises. Modem logistics enterprises are in terms of philosophy, mode of operation, services, information technology degree, logistics technology, enterprise systems and others have higher requirements to react quickly, service serialization, standardization of operations, the target of systematic, modem means are the features of the organization which are different from the traditional network of logistics enterprises.

E-commerce Supply Chain Management Research

This paper describes the characteristics of the supply chain e-commerce era, understands the concept,content and objectives of supply chain management,and raises supply chain management model,and also analyzes e-commerce supply chain architecture.On the existing architecture,elaborates the build about e-commerce supply chain management system, along with proposing strategic directions of e-commerce supply chain management,including JIT, quick response, efficient customer response, enterprise resource planning and electronic ordering system,and discusses in detail the effects of various policy for the entire e-commerce supply chain management.

Research on the Architecture of e-manufacturing and Its Application

This paper introduces the conception of e-manufacturing and puts forward a reference architecture of e-manufacturing.Some features of e-manufacturing and three types of information sharing are discussed.An application for monitoring equipment with e-mail is given.

To Investigate the Application of Information Technology in Logistics Management

The rapid development of the Interact had a tremendous impact to disseminate information, since the beginning of the 21 st century, the rapid development of China＇ s e-commerce not only provides a large number of orders for logistics companies, but also puts a higher demand for logistics companies. Information technology has become the soul of modem logistics, information revolution for logistics enterprises can provide help to the development of information technology and modernization. This paper discusses the characteristics of logistics management information, and then discusses the logistics information systems that is a huge advantage in the logistics information systems in logistics management, and finally summarize the development of logistics enterprises in China based on issues raised solutions to this problem.

Right Time for Tea

E-commerce is connecting the traditional tea industry in Guizhou to the Web The first thing Cai Banghong does every morning is to look at the sales figures of various tea brands on his online store,Hmongling Tea Garden,before postingpromotional]nformation and collecting cus- tomers＇ feedback to help target his products. Cai spent two decades growing his tea company, from a small backroom operation to a modern enterprise integrating production, processing and sales, in Duyun, southwest China＇s Guizhou Province. As chairman of the Guizhou Du Yun Maojian Tea Co., Cai also assists local farmers by running a cooperative tea plantation of about 16,000 mu （1,067 hectares）. In the process he has also raised the income of 448 farmers.