The bullwhip effect in a multistage supply chain was analyzed using sophisticated stationary forecasts (third order moving average and third order exponential smoothing forecasts). The third order exponential smoothin...The bullwhip effect in a multistage supply chain was analyzed using sophisticated stationary forecasts (third order moving average and third order exponential smoothing forecasts). The third order exponential smoothing and third order moving average forecasts sometimes have a variance reducing effect on the supply chain.In a supply chain with positively correlated or independent and identically distributed (i.i.d) demands, the order variance based on simple moving average forecast (or simple exponential smoothing forecast) is larger than the order variance based on second order moving average forecast (or second order exponential smoothing forecast),and the order variance based on second order moving average forecast( or second order exponential smoothing forecast) is larger than the order variance based on third order moving average forecast( or third order exponential smoothing forecast). In addition, for i.i.d demands, third order exponential smoothing forecast leads to a larger variation than third order moving average forecast.展开更多
A new-style remote monitoring system is proposed, which is based on enterprises' embedded web servers and can be widely used in enterprises' networked manufacturing systems. The principle and characteristics o...A new-style remote monitoring system is proposed, which is based on enterprises' embedded web servers and can be widely used in enterprises' networked manufacturing systems. The principle and characteristics of remote monitoring system based on embedded web server are analyzed. Such a kind of system for networked manufacturing is designed, and it proves efficient and feasible in promoting communication among enterprises, improving designing and scheduling, decreasing facility failure and reducing product cost.展开更多
The article deals with possible approaches to the management of manufacturing organizations. The authors emphasize the need for integration of lean management with eco-innovation. This integration represents a sustain...The article deals with possible approaches to the management of manufacturing organizations. The authors emphasize the need for integration of lean management with eco-innovation. This integration represents a sustainable development so that environmental impacts are reduced, more effective use of natural resources is achieved and production costs are reduced. Manufacturing organizations based on that approach must use so-called pull production control systems. Pull systems are most often presented in production management system--Kanban. This article also deals with specification of these systems and the development of pull strategies in production management in order to increase efficiency of manufacturing enterprise.展开更多
基金The National Natural Science Foundation ofChina(No70573068)The Shanghai Education Com-mittee Foundation(No05FZ11)The Shanghai Lead-ing Academic Discipline(NoT0602)
文摘The bullwhip effect in a multistage supply chain was analyzed using sophisticated stationary forecasts (third order moving average and third order exponential smoothing forecasts). The third order exponential smoothing and third order moving average forecasts sometimes have a variance reducing effect on the supply chain.In a supply chain with positively correlated or independent and identically distributed (i.i.d) demands, the order variance based on simple moving average forecast (or simple exponential smoothing forecast) is larger than the order variance based on second order moving average forecast (or second order exponential smoothing forecast),and the order variance based on second order moving average forecast( or second order exponential smoothing forecast) is larger than the order variance based on third order moving average forecast( or third order exponential smoothing forecast). In addition, for i.i.d demands, third order exponential smoothing forecast leads to a larger variation than third order moving average forecast.
基金Funded by China 863 R&D Program (No:2001AA414630)
文摘A new-style remote monitoring system is proposed, which is based on enterprises' embedded web servers and can be widely used in enterprises' networked manufacturing systems. The principle and characteristics of remote monitoring system based on embedded web server are analyzed. Such a kind of system for networked manufacturing is designed, and it proves efficient and feasible in promoting communication among enterprises, improving designing and scheduling, decreasing facility failure and reducing product cost.
文摘The article deals with possible approaches to the management of manufacturing organizations. The authors emphasize the need for integration of lean management with eco-innovation. This integration represents a sustainable development so that environmental impacts are reduced, more effective use of natural resources is achieved and production costs are reduced. Manufacturing organizations based on that approach must use so-called pull production control systems. Pull systems are most often presented in production management system--Kanban. This article also deals with specification of these systems and the development of pull strategies in production management in order to increase efficiency of manufacturing enterprise.
