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基于灰色理论的均衡决策方法研究 被引量:1
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作者 崔松岩 肖利哲 黄姗 《科技与管理》 2013年第3期59-62,共4页
决策是管理工作中的关键环节,多角度的决策更具有综合性和科学性。虽然多目标智能加权灰靶决策与灰色关联决策从不同角度提供了良好的决策方法,但两种决策结果会出现不一致的情形,致使难以做出最终决策。为解决这一问题,文章通过深入研... 决策是管理工作中的关键环节,多角度的决策更具有综合性和科学性。虽然多目标智能加权灰靶决策与灰色关联决策从不同角度提供了良好的决策方法,但两种决策结果会出现不一致的情形,致使难以做出最终决策。为解决这一问题,文章通过深入研究,提出了均衡决策的概念。在此基础上,通过优值域的确认及均衡决策值的选择,设置了一种基于灰色理论的均衡决策方法,从而为科学决策提供了支持。 展开更多
关键词 均衡决策 灰靶决策 优值域 均衡决策值
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Altimeter significant wave height data assimilation in the South China Sea using Ensemble Optimal Interpolation
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作者 曹蕾 侯一筠 齐鹏 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第5期1309-1319,共11页
The application of ensemble optimal interpolation in wave data assimilation in the South China Sea is presented. A sampling strategy for a stationary ensemble is first discussed. The stationary ensemble is constructed... The application of ensemble optimal interpolation in wave data assimilation in the South China Sea is presented. A sampling strategy for a stationary ensemble is first discussed. The stationary ensemble is constructed by sampling from 24-h-interval significant wave height differences of model outputs over a long period,and is validated with altimeter significant wave height data,indicating that the ensemble errors have nearly the same probability distribution function. The background error covariance fields expressed by the ensemble sampled are anisotropic. Updating the static samples by season,the seasonal characteristics of the correlation coefficient distribution are reflected. Hindcast experiments including assimilation and control runs are conducted for the summer of 2010 in the South China Sea. The effect of ensemble optimal interpolation assimilation on wave hindcasts is validated using different satellite altimeter data(Jason-1 and 2 and ENVISAT) and buoy observations. It is found that the ensemble-optimal-interpolation-based wave assimilation scheme for the South China Sea achieves improvements similar to those of the previous optimal-interpolation-based scheme,indicating that the practical application of this computationally cheap ensemble method is feasible. 展开更多
关键词 ensemble optimal interpolation wave assimilation stationary ensemble
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