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甲型H1N1流感传染人数的灰色预测模型研究 被引量:2
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作者 高文杰 《数学的实践与认识》 CSCD 北大核心 2009年第24期158-165,共8页
就我国甲型H1N1流感传染人数的预测运用灰色系统理论建立了GM(1,1)模型和1阶残差修正模型GMε(1,1),并分别作了精度分析研究了GMε(1,1)的变化趋势,提出了临界值和有效域概念.用MATLAB确定了模型参数及模型预测值.
关键词 甲型H1N1流感 传染人数 灰色预测模型 灰色系统理论
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Healthcare utilization and costs associated with gastroparesis 被引量:4
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作者 Vaibhav Wadhwa Dhruv Mehta +3 位作者 Yash Jobanputra Rocio Lopez Prashanthi N Thota Madhusudhan R Sanaka 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2017年第24期4428-4436,共9页
To use a national database of United States hospitals to evaluate the incidence and costs of hospital admissions associated with gastroparesis. METHODSWe analyzed the National Inpatient Sample Database (NIS) for all p... To use a national database of United States hospitals to evaluate the incidence and costs of hospital admissions associated with gastroparesis. METHODSWe analyzed the National Inpatient Sample Database (NIS) for all patients in whom gastroparesis (ICD-9 code: 536.3) was the principal discharge diagnosis during the period, 1997-2013. The NIS is the largest publicly available all-payer inpatient care database in the United States. It contains data from approximately eight million hospital stays each year. The statistical significance of the difference in the number of hospital discharges, length of stay and hospital costs over the study period was determined by regression analysis. RESULTSIn 1997, there were 3978 admissions with a principal discharge diagnosis of gastroparesis as compared to 16460 in 2013 (P < 0.01). The mean length of stay for gastroparesis decreased by 20 % between 1997 and 2013 from 6.4 d to 5.1 d (P < 0.001). However, during this period the mean hospital charges increased significantly by 159 % from $13350 (after inflation adjustment) per patient in 1997 to $34585 per patient in 2013 (P < 0.001). The aggregate charges (i.e., “national bill”) for gastroparesis increased exponentially by 1026 % from $50456642 ± 4662620 in 1997 to $568417666 ± 22374060 in 2013 (P < 0.001). The percentage of national bill for gastroparesis discharges (national bill for gastroparesis/total national bill) has also increased over the last 16 years (0.0013% in 1997 vs 0.004% in 2013). During the study period, women had a higher frequency of gastroparesis discharges when compared to men (1.39/10000 vs 0.9/10000 in 1997 and 5.8/10000 vs 3/10000 in 2013). There was a 6-fold increase in the discharge diagnosis of gastroparesis amongst type 1 DM and 3.7-fold increase amongst type 2 DM patients over the study period (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONThe number of inpatient admissions for gastroparesis and associated costs have increased significantly over the last 16 years. Inpatient costs associated with gastroparesis contribute significantly to the national healthcare bill. Further research on cost-effective evaluation and management of gastroparesis is required. 展开更多
关键词 Inpatient admission rates GASTROPARESIS Cancer epidemiology National inpatient database
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The V1 region of gp120 is preferentially selected during SIV/HIV transmission and is indispensable for envelope function and virus infection
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作者 Yanpeng Li Ulf Dittmer +3 位作者 Yan Wang Jiping Song Binlian Sun Rongge Yang 《Virologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第3期207-218,共12页
A transmission bottleneck occurs during each human immunodeficiency virus(HIV) transmission event, which allows only a few viruses to establish new infection. However, the genetic characteristics of the transmitted vi... A transmission bottleneck occurs during each human immunodeficiency virus(HIV) transmission event, which allows only a few viruses to establish new infection. However, the genetic characteristics of the transmitted viruses that are preferentially selected have not been fully elucidated. Here, we analyzed amino acids changes in the envelope protein during simian immunodeficiency virus(SIV)/HIV deep transmission history and current HIV evolution within the last 15–20 years. Our results confirmed that the V1V2 region of gp120 protein, particularly V1, was preferentially selected. A shorter V1 region was preferred during transmission history, while during epidemic, HIV may evolve to an expanded V1 region gradually and thus escape immune recognition. We then constructed different HIV-1 V1 mutants using different HIV-1 subtypes to elucidate the role of the V1 region in envelope function. We found that the V1 region, although highly variable, was indispensable for virus entry and infection, probably because V1 deletion mutants exhibited impaired processing of gp160 into mature gp120 and gp41. Additionally, the V1 region affected Env incorporation. These results indicated that the V1 region played a critical role in HIV transmission and infection. 展开更多
关键词 simian immunodeficiency virus(SIV) human immunodeficiency virus(HIV) transmission selection V1 loop Env function
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