边坡预警指标的实时估计与诊断是实现边坡安全监控、预防边坡演变为滑坡的重要手段。安全预警注重考虑极端事件,其关键在于能否准确进行效应量序列分位数分析及刻画其尾部特征。基于极值理论中超阈值(Peaks over Threshold,POT)模型,分...边坡预警指标的实时估计与诊断是实现边坡安全监控、预防边坡演变为滑坡的重要手段。安全预警注重考虑极端事件,其关键在于能否准确进行效应量序列分位数分析及刻画其尾部特征。基于极值理论中超阈值(Peaks over Threshold,POT)模型,分时段考虑边坡位移监测序列,借助Hill图法拟定合理的阈值,再利用广义帕累托分布(Generalized Pareto Distribution,GPD)对超阈值序列进行拟合分析,渐进地刻画位移序列分布的尾部特征,分析其抵御已经历荷载的能力。假定边坡失事概率,得到位移预警指标实时估计序列,挖掘或评估出该边坡面临可能发生极端荷载时的抵御能力。最后基于突变理论中尖点突变模型对位移预警指标实时估计序列进行突变诊断,结合具体边坡工程实例,验证了POT-突变理论混合模型的合理性。展开更多
To analyze the dynamic response and reliability of a continuous beam bridge under the action of an extra heavy vehicle, a vehicle–bridge coupled vibration model was established based on the virtual work principle and...To analyze the dynamic response and reliability of a continuous beam bridge under the action of an extra heavy vehicle, a vehicle–bridge coupled vibration model was established based on the virtual work principle and vehicle–bridge displacement compatibility equation, which can accurately simulate the dynamic characteristics of the vehicle and bridge. Results show that deck roughness has an important function in the effect of the vehicle on the bridge. When an extra heavy vehicle passes through the continuous beam bridge at a low speed of 5 km/h, the impact coefficient reaches a high value, which should not be disregarded in bridge safety assessments. Considering that no specific law exists between the impact coefficient and vehicle speed, vehicle speed should not be unduly limited and deck roughness repairing should be paid considerable attention. Deck roughness has a significant influence on the reliability index, which decreases as deck roughness increases. For the continuous beam bridge in this work, the reliability index of each control section is greater than the minimum reliability index. No reinforcement measures are required for over-sized transport.展开更多
文摘边坡预警指标的实时估计与诊断是实现边坡安全监控、预防边坡演变为滑坡的重要手段。安全预警注重考虑极端事件,其关键在于能否准确进行效应量序列分位数分析及刻画其尾部特征。基于极值理论中超阈值(Peaks over Threshold,POT)模型,分时段考虑边坡位移监测序列,借助Hill图法拟定合理的阈值,再利用广义帕累托分布(Generalized Pareto Distribution,GPD)对超阈值序列进行拟合分析,渐进地刻画位移序列分布的尾部特征,分析其抵御已经历荷载的能力。假定边坡失事概率,得到位移预警指标实时估计序列,挖掘或评估出该边坡面临可能发生极端荷载时的抵御能力。最后基于突变理论中尖点突变模型对位移预警指标实时估计序列进行突变诊断,结合具体边坡工程实例,验证了POT-突变理论混合模型的合理性。
基金Project(50779032)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(20090451330)supported by the Postdoctoral Foundation of ChinaProject(BS2013SF007)supported by Shandong Scientific Research Award Foundation for Outstanding Young Scientists,China
文摘To analyze the dynamic response and reliability of a continuous beam bridge under the action of an extra heavy vehicle, a vehicle–bridge coupled vibration model was established based on the virtual work principle and vehicle–bridge displacement compatibility equation, which can accurately simulate the dynamic characteristics of the vehicle and bridge. Results show that deck roughness has an important function in the effect of the vehicle on the bridge. When an extra heavy vehicle passes through the continuous beam bridge at a low speed of 5 km/h, the impact coefficient reaches a high value, which should not be disregarded in bridge safety assessments. Considering that no specific law exists between the impact coefficient and vehicle speed, vehicle speed should not be unduly limited and deck roughness repairing should be paid considerable attention. Deck roughness has a significant influence on the reliability index, which decreases as deck roughness increases. For the continuous beam bridge in this work, the reliability index of each control section is greater than the minimum reliability index. No reinforcement measures are required for over-sized transport.
