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基于余震分析的宏观震中、地震影响场方向和极震区初步修正 被引量:1
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作者 孙艳萍 张苏平 +2 位作者 朱瑞 马小平 刘岸果 《地震科学进展》 2021年第7期309-314,共6页
在地震应急初期评估中,宏观震中、影响场方向和极震区的判断准确与否,直接影响评估结果的准确性和政府及有关部门的救援工作。本文收集甘肃及周边近几年MS6.5以上地震的12 h内余震序列、震源机制解信息和居民点等数据,通过分时间段进行... 在地震应急初期评估中,宏观震中、影响场方向和极震区的判断准确与否,直接影响评估结果的准确性和政府及有关部门的救援工作。本文收集甘肃及周边近几年MS6.5以上地震的12 h内余震序列、震源机制解信息和居民点等数据,通过分时间段进行余震质心计算、趋势回归、震源机制解分析等,对宏观震中位置、地震影响场方向、极震区范围等要素的修正方法进行了初步研究,为地震应急救援工作的快速开展提供依据。 展开更多
关键词 余震分析 宏观震中 地震影响场方向 极震区 初步修正
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基于ETAS模型的余震概率性地震危险性分析
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作者 陈力波 陈良鹏 周健鸿 《自然灾害学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期22-33,共12页
余震概率性地震危险性分析对主震发生后的地震风险评估至关重要。经典的余震概率性地震危险性分析框架基于Reasenberg-Jones(R-J)模型建立,但R-J模型对复杂的地震序列可能存在预测失效的问题,因此,将对真实余震序列描述较好的传染型余... 余震概率性地震危险性分析对主震发生后的地震风险评估至关重要。经典的余震概率性地震危险性分析框架基于Reasenberg-Jones(R-J)模型建立,但R-J模型对复杂的地震序列可能存在预测失效的问题,因此,将对真实余震序列描述较好的传染型余震序列模型(epidemic-type aftershock sequence,ETAS)结合到余震概率性地震危险性分析框架中,以2008年汶川7.9级余震序列和2014年鲁甸6.2级余震序列为例,评估余震危险性的重要性以及探讨ETAS模型相对于R-J模型在余震概率性地震危险性分析中的差异。结果表明:余震危险性水平与主震震级大小有关,主震震级越大,余震危险性水平越高,持续时间越久,对于震级较大的强主震事件,主震发生后早期的余震危险性不容忽略。对于汶川7.9级和鲁甸6.2级地震事件,在余震发生率预测效能上ETAS模型优于R-J模型,而在余震危险性评估中,余震危险性的大小取决于余震发生率,基于R-J模型计算的余震发生率大于ETAS模型计算的余震发生率,因此,在余震危险性评估中使用R-J模型相比于ETAS模型会造成对余震危险性水平的高估,ETAS模型可用于改进余震概率性地震危险性评估框架。 展开更多
关键词 ETAS模型 R-J模型 余震序列 余震概率性地震危险性分析
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A Statistical Analysis on the Wenchuan Aftershock Activity Triggered by Earth Tide 被引量:2
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作者 Li Jin Jiang Haikun 《Earthquake Research in China》 2013年第1期23-38,共16页
A statistical analysis on the Wenchuan aftershock activity triggered by tidal forces is systematically studied based on Schusters test, including earthquakes triggered by tidal force, tidal stress and tidal coulomb fa... A statistical analysis on the Wenchuan aftershock activity triggered by tidal forces is systematically studied based on Schusters test, including earthquakes triggered by tidal force, tidal stress and tidal coulomb failure stress. The results show that a group of strong aftershocks which occurred at the end of July to early August in 2008 at the north of Wenchuan were obviously triggered by earth tide, the same conclusion is drawn by Schusters smooth test of the tidal force, tidal stress and tidal coulomb failure stress. In addition, the Wenchuan aftershock activity is obviously triggered by fortnight tide. In the north, the aftershocks happened more frequently in the first and last quarters of the moon, and in the south, the aftershocks happened more frequently in the first and last quarters of the moon and during the full moon. 展开更多
关键词 Wenchuan aftershocks Tidal triggering Schuster's test
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Research on Stress Drops and the Focal Mechanisms of the Xinyuan- Hejing ML6.8 Earthquake Sequences
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作者 Liu Jianming Wang Qiong +4 位作者 Liu Jie Deng Fei Xiang Yuan Yang Wen Li Jin 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2017年第1期25-38,共14页
Based on the digital waveform data recorded by Xinjiang Digital Seismic Network for the Xinyuan-Hejing M_L6.8 earthquake sequences of June 30,2012,this paper analyzes the stress drops of earthquake sequences and the c... Based on the digital waveform data recorded by Xinjiang Digital Seismic Network for the Xinyuan-Hejing M_L6.8 earthquake sequences of June 30,2012,this paper analyzes the stress drops of earthquake sequences and the correlation coefficients of focal mechanisms significant for strong aftershocks.Firstly,the source parameters of the Xinyuan-Hejing M_L6.8 earthquake sequences are obtained by applying the spectrum analysis and the Brunes source model.Then,the correlation coefficients of spectral amplitudes are calculated using the low-frequency spectral amplitude recorded by the same station for the different events.Finally,based on the results of the correlation coefficients of spectral amplitudes,the events with similar focal mechanisms are grouped using the clustering method.The results show that:(1)The stress drop values show a steady trend in the aftershock sequence calm period and the stress drop values show a rise-fall in strong aftershocks.(2)The moving average correlation coefficient of amplitude spectrum begins to spread after the main shock.It shows that the correlation decreases between the main shock and the aftershocks in mechanisms.(3)The results of focal mechanism groups show that the earthquake sequences are mainly strike slips.The stress distribution of the main pressure axis is nearly NS,which is the same as the structural stress field.(4)The magnitude and mechanism show that there is an agreement before the strong aftershock,which shows that the regional stress field is enhanced. 展开更多
关键词 Xinyuan-Hejing ML6. 8 earthquake sequences Stress drop The correlationof the focal mechanism Body-wave spectral amplitude Clustering group
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Analysis on Characteristics of Focal Mechanisms for the M_S7.3 Yutian Earthquake Sequence of February 12,2014
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作者 Li Jin Wang Qiong 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2015年第4期527-538,共12页
The paper inverts the focal mechanism solutions of the Yutian M_S7. 3 main shock,foreshocks and M_S≥3. 5 aftershocks by using the CAP method,based on the broadband waveforms recorded by the Xinjiang and Tibet Digital... The paper inverts the focal mechanism solutions of the Yutian M_S7. 3 main shock,foreshocks and M_S≥3. 5 aftershocks by using the CAP method,based on the broadband waveforms recorded by the Xinjiang and Tibet Digital Seismic Networks. The results show that the M_S7. 3 strong earthquake is of strike-slip type with a normal faulting component,and combined with the analysis of focal structure and the aftershock distribution,the nodal plane I with strike 241°,dip 90° and rake- 22° is considered to be the seismogenic fault plane of the main shock. The direction of P-axis for the main shock is 194°,close to the near NS direction of the principal stress P-axis of historical strong earthquakes in this region. The focal mechanism solution of the M_S5. 4 foreshock has a good consistency with that of the main shock. Among the 18 aftershocks,10 are of strike-slip type,6 are of normal faulting type and 2 are of thrust type. 70% of the aftershocks in the sequence have a focal mechanism with P-axis in the near-NS direction. The focal depths of this M_S7. 3 earthquake sequences are distributed in the range of 5km- 28 km,with the majority in the depth range of 15km- 20 km,slightly deeper than the depth of 10 km of the main shock as calculated. 展开更多
关键词 Yutian MS7.3 earthquake Focal mechanism CAP method AFTERSHOCK
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