北极东北航道起始段海域位于我国黄渤海,大风和强降水是可能威胁到该海域航运安全的主要灾害性天气类型。其中寒潮天气过程伴随的冷空气大风以及热带气旋、温带气旋等天气系统产生的大风、强降水等灾害性天气,对该海域航运安全造成很大...北极东北航道起始段海域位于我国黄渤海,大风和强降水是可能威胁到该海域航运安全的主要灾害性天气类型。其中寒潮天气过程伴随的冷空气大风以及热带气旋、温带气旋等天气系统产生的大风、强降水等灾害性天气,对该海域航运安全造成很大影响。利用1991—2020年美国国家环境预报中心(National Centers for Environmental Prediction,NCEP)全球逐日再分析资料,分析了北极东北航道适航期(7—10月)Rossby波沿高空急流能量传播特征及其对北极东北航道起始段海域天气的影响,特别是对强降水的影响。结果表明:(1)沿北半球副热带地区250hPa高空西风急流轴经向风表现为纬向三波型准静止的Rossby波形态;(2)高空250hPa大气准静止Rossby波波源位于地中海地区,波动在此激发并沿急流向东传播,传播过程中波动能量耗散,但波源即地中海地区能量的不断注入,使其得以维持和加强;(3)波作用通量散度指数与北极东北航道起始段海域降水量、风速相关系数绝对值达0.5以上,其中位于我国东北部至鄂霍茨克海地区的波作用通量指数与降水量和风速相关系数的绝对值均接近0.9,属于强相关,说明Rossby波沿高空急流传播时能量汇集、加强,对北极东北航道起始段海域的降水量、风速影响较大,从而可触发强降水、大风等灾害性天气;(4)当Rossby波扰动偏强时,向下游传播能量偏强,则西风急流加强,垂直上升运动增强,导致北极东北航道起始段海域降水异常偏多。展开更多
The Qinling Mountains, known for their rich vegetation and diverse pollinating insects, have seen a significant decline in bee species richness and abundance over recent decades, largely due to the introduction and sp...The Qinling Mountains, known for their rich vegetation and diverse pollinating insects, have seen a significant decline in bee species richness and abundance over recent decades, largely due to the introduction and spread of Apis mellifera. This decline has caused cascading effects on the region's community structure and ecosystem stability. To improve the protection of native bees in the natural and agricultural landscape of the Qinling Mountains and its surrounding areas, we investigated 33 sampling sites within three habitats: forest, forest-agriculture ecotones, and farmland. Using a generalized linear mixing model, t-test, and other data analysis methods, we explored the impact of Apis mellifera on local pollinator bee richness, abundance, and the pollination network in different habitats in these regional areas. The results show that(1)Apis mellifera significantly negatively affects the abundance and richness of wild pollinator bees,while Apis cerana abundance is also affected by beekeeping conditions.(2)There are significant negative effects of Apis mellifera on the community structure of pollinator bees in the Qinling Mountains and its surrounding areas: the Shannon-Wiener diversity index, Pielou evenness index, and Margalef richness index of bee communities at sites with Apis mellifera influence were significantly lower than those at sites without Apis mellifera influence.(3)The underlying driver of this effect is the monopolization of flowering resources by Apis mellifera. This species tends to visit flowering plants with large nectar sources, which constitute a significant portion of the local plant community. By maintaining a dominant role in the bee-plant pollination network, Apis mellifera competitively displaces native pollinator bees, reducing their access to floral resources. This ultimately leads to a reduction in local bee-plant interactions, decreasing the complexity and stability of the pollination network. These findings highlight the need for targeted conservation efforts to protect native pollinator species and maintain the ecological balance in the Qinling Mountains.展开更多
Group testing is a method that can be used to estimate the prevalence of rare infectious diseases,which can effectively save time and reduce costs compared to the method of random sampling.However,previous literature ...Group testing is a method that can be used to estimate the prevalence of rare infectious diseases,which can effectively save time and reduce costs compared to the method of random sampling.However,previous literature only demonstrated the optimality of group testing strategy while estimating prevalence under some strong assumptions.This article weakens the assumption of misclassification rate in the previous literature,considers the misclassification rate of the infected samples as a differentiable function of the pool size,and explores some optimal properties of group testing for estimating prevalence in the presence of differential misclassification conforming to this assumption.This article theoretically demonstrates that the group testing strategy performs better than the sample by sample procedure in estimating disease prevalence when the total number of sample pools is given or the size of the test population is determined.Numerical simulation experiments were conducted to evaluate the performance of group tests in estimating prevalence in the presence of dilution effect.展开更多
Transpiration element is included in the integrated stomatal conductance photosynthesis model by considering gaseous transfer processes, so the present model is capable to simulate the influence of boundary layer con...Transpiration element is included in the integrated stomatal conductance photosynthesis model by considering gaseous transfer processes, so the present model is capable to simulate the influence of boundary layer conductance. Leuning in his revised Ball's model replaced relative humidity with VPD s (the vapor pressure deficit from stomatal pore to leaf surface) and thereby made the relation with transpiration more straightforward, and made it possible for the regulation of transpiration and the influence of boundary layer conductance to be integrated into the combined model. If the differences in water vapor and CO 2 concentration between leaf and ambient air are considered, VPD s , the evaporative demand, is influenced by stomatal and boundary layer conductance. The physiological responses of photosynthesis, transpiration, and stomatal function, and the changes of intercellular CO 2 and water use efficiency to environmental factors, such as wind speed, photon flux density, leaf temperature and ambient CO 2, are analyzed. It is shown that if the boundary layer conductance drops to a level comparable with stomatal conductance, the results of simulation by the model presented here differ significantly from those by the previous model, and, in some cases, are more realistic than the latter.展开更多
文摘北极东北航道起始段海域位于我国黄渤海,大风和强降水是可能威胁到该海域航运安全的主要灾害性天气类型。其中寒潮天气过程伴随的冷空气大风以及热带气旋、温带气旋等天气系统产生的大风、强降水等灾害性天气,对该海域航运安全造成很大影响。利用1991—2020年美国国家环境预报中心(National Centers for Environmental Prediction,NCEP)全球逐日再分析资料,分析了北极东北航道适航期(7—10月)Rossby波沿高空急流能量传播特征及其对北极东北航道起始段海域天气的影响,特别是对强降水的影响。结果表明:(1)沿北半球副热带地区250hPa高空西风急流轴经向风表现为纬向三波型准静止的Rossby波形态;(2)高空250hPa大气准静止Rossby波波源位于地中海地区,波动在此激发并沿急流向东传播,传播过程中波动能量耗散,但波源即地中海地区能量的不断注入,使其得以维持和加强;(3)波作用通量散度指数与北极东北航道起始段海域降水量、风速相关系数绝对值达0.5以上,其中位于我国东北部至鄂霍茨克海地区的波作用通量指数与降水量和风速相关系数的绝对值均接近0.9,属于强相关,说明Rossby波沿高空急流传播时能量汇集、加强,对北极东北航道起始段海域的降水量、风速影响较大,从而可触发强降水、大风等灾害性天气;(4)当Rossby波扰动偏强时,向下游传播能量偏强,则西风急流加强,垂直上升运动增强,导致北极东北航道起始段海域降水异常偏多。
基金funded by the National Key R&D Program of China (2022YFE0115200)the Biodiversity Survey and the Assessment Project of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, China (2019HJ2096001006)the National Animal Collection Resource Center, China。
文摘The Qinling Mountains, known for their rich vegetation and diverse pollinating insects, have seen a significant decline in bee species richness and abundance over recent decades, largely due to the introduction and spread of Apis mellifera. This decline has caused cascading effects on the region's community structure and ecosystem stability. To improve the protection of native bees in the natural and agricultural landscape of the Qinling Mountains and its surrounding areas, we investigated 33 sampling sites within three habitats: forest, forest-agriculture ecotones, and farmland. Using a generalized linear mixing model, t-test, and other data analysis methods, we explored the impact of Apis mellifera on local pollinator bee richness, abundance, and the pollination network in different habitats in these regional areas. The results show that(1)Apis mellifera significantly negatively affects the abundance and richness of wild pollinator bees,while Apis cerana abundance is also affected by beekeeping conditions.(2)There are significant negative effects of Apis mellifera on the community structure of pollinator bees in the Qinling Mountains and its surrounding areas: the Shannon-Wiener diversity index, Pielou evenness index, and Margalef richness index of bee communities at sites with Apis mellifera influence were significantly lower than those at sites without Apis mellifera influence.(3)The underlying driver of this effect is the monopolization of flowering resources by Apis mellifera. This species tends to visit flowering plants with large nectar sources, which constitute a significant portion of the local plant community. By maintaining a dominant role in the bee-plant pollination network, Apis mellifera competitively displaces native pollinator bees, reducing their access to floral resources. This ultimately leads to a reduction in local bee-plant interactions, decreasing the complexity and stability of the pollination network. These findings highlight the need for targeted conservation efforts to protect native pollinator species and maintain the ecological balance in the Qinling Mountains.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.72091212).
文摘Group testing is a method that can be used to estimate the prevalence of rare infectious diseases,which can effectively save time and reduce costs compared to the method of random sampling.However,previous literature only demonstrated the optimality of group testing strategy while estimating prevalence under some strong assumptions.This article weakens the assumption of misclassification rate in the previous literature,considers the misclassification rate of the infected samples as a differentiable function of the pool size,and explores some optimal properties of group testing for estimating prevalence in the presence of differential misclassification conforming to this assumption.This article theoretically demonstrates that the group testing strategy performs better than the sample by sample procedure in estimating disease prevalence when the total number of sample pools is given or the size of the test population is determined.Numerical simulation experiments were conducted to evaluate the performance of group tests in estimating prevalence in the presence of dilution effect.
文摘Transpiration element is included in the integrated stomatal conductance photosynthesis model by considering gaseous transfer processes, so the present model is capable to simulate the influence of boundary layer conductance. Leuning in his revised Ball's model replaced relative humidity with VPD s (the vapor pressure deficit from stomatal pore to leaf surface) and thereby made the relation with transpiration more straightforward, and made it possible for the regulation of transpiration and the influence of boundary layer conductance to be integrated into the combined model. If the differences in water vapor and CO 2 concentration between leaf and ambient air are considered, VPD s , the evaporative demand, is influenced by stomatal and boundary layer conductance. The physiological responses of photosynthesis, transpiration, and stomatal function, and the changes of intercellular CO 2 and water use efficiency to environmental factors, such as wind speed, photon flux density, leaf temperature and ambient CO 2, are analyzed. It is shown that if the boundary layer conductance drops to a level comparable with stomatal conductance, the results of simulation by the model presented here differ significantly from those by the previous model, and, in some cases, are more realistic than the latter.
