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上海市日供水量与气象要素的相关性分析及预测模型的建立 被引量:8
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作者 常远勇 谈建国 +1 位作者 彭杰 顾问 《水资源与水工程学报》 2015年第1期32-36,共5页
基于上海市2010-05-2013-12日供水资料和气象观测资料,利用数学统计方法分析日供水量与气象因子的关系,并建立日供水量预报模型。结果表明:一年之中,日供水量大体呈现"单峰单谷"的波动特征,夏季(7、8月份)日均供水最多,冬季(... 基于上海市2010-05-2013-12日供水资料和气象观测资料,利用数学统计方法分析日供水量与气象因子的关系,并建立日供水量预报模型。结果表明:一年之中,日供水量大体呈现"单峰单谷"的波动特征,夏季(7、8月份)日均供水最多,冬季(2月份)最少;日供水量具有显著的节假日效应;除降水外,日供水量与其它气象因子均有显著的相关性,且夏半年相关系数明显高于冬半年;日供水量与温度的关系最为密切,且与前一日最高温度的相关系数最高,同时,当温度大于20℃时,日供水量对于温度变化的响应极其敏感;供水预报模型精度较高,可为城市用水规划、合理调度的气象服务保障提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 供水 气象要素 相关性 供水预测模型
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银川市日供水量与气温的相关性分析及预测模型的建立 被引量:1
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作者 胡婉婷 《宁夏工程技术》 CAS 2021年第3期231-235,共5页
为了揭示银川市气温对用水量的影响,以银川市2012—2020年的供水数据和气温资料为研究对象,分析全年用水特征,将供水划分为春夏秋冬四个阶段,利用数学统计方法分析四个阶段的日供水量与日最低气温、平均气温、最高气温的相关关系,并建... 为了揭示银川市气温对用水量的影响,以银川市2012—2020年的供水数据和气温资料为研究对象,分析全年用水特征,将供水划分为春夏秋冬四个阶段,利用数学统计方法分析四个阶段的日供水量与日最低气温、平均气温、最高气温的相关关系,并建立城市供水量预测模型。结果表明:春季,日供水量与日平均气温的相关系数达到0.9143;夏季,日供水量与日最高气温的相关系数达到0.8269;秋季,供水量与气温的相关性不明显;冬季,日供水量与日平均气温的相关系数为0.7126;对气候用水量建立模型进行预测,平均气温每上升1℃,供水量上涨0.5万m^(3);根据定额法得出,现状居民生活用水定额范围为128~145 L/(人·d)。 展开更多
关键词 供水 气温 相关关系 供水预测模型
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空气源热泵-散热器供暖系统变水温控制方法实测与评价研究
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作者 邹晴 薛汇宇 +4 位作者 王林 冯晓梅 乔镖 李锦堂 董云飞 《建筑节能(中英文)》 CAS 2023年第7期66-73,共8页
空气源热泵作为可再生能源技术之一,广泛应用于我国中小型建筑供暖系统,特别是北方地区农村“煤改电”项目中,其供暖运行通常采用定水温控制策略,导致室内出现过热现象,同时也严重影响了热泵机组运行能效。以空气源热泵-散热器供暖系统... 空气源热泵作为可再生能源技术之一,广泛应用于我国中小型建筑供暖系统,特别是北方地区农村“煤改电”项目中,其供暖运行通常采用定水温控制策略,导致室内出现过热现象,同时也严重影响了热泵机组运行能效。以空气源热泵-散热器供暖系统为例,基于供需匹配的思想,探寻了热泵机组最优供水温度预测模型,开发了相应的变水温控制策略。该控制策略能够根据用户室内需求和室外温度变化,实时调整机组供水温度设定点。同时,通过实际测试验证了变水温控制策略的应用效果。实测表明,相比于定水温控制策略,在满足室内温度要求的条件下,变水温控制策略使得供暖系统测试日节能22.9%,整个供暖季节能14.2%。研究表明了空气源热泵-散热器供暖系统采用变水温控制策略可以很大程度上节省系统能耗,具有良好的实际工程应用价值。 展开更多
关键词 空气源热泵机组 散热器 最优供水温度预测模型 变水温控制 节能
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Partial Least Squares Regression Model to Predict Water Quality in Urban Water Distribution Systems 被引量:1
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作者 骆碧君 赵元 +1 位作者 陈凯 赵新华 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2009年第2期140-144,共5页
The water distribution system of one residential district in Tianjin is taken as an example to analyze the changes of water quality.Partial least squares(PLS) regression model,in which the turbidity and Fe are regarde... The water distribution system of one residential district in Tianjin is taken as an example to analyze the changes of water quality.Partial least squares(PLS) regression model,in which the turbidity and Fe are regarded as control objectives,is used to establish the statistical model.The experimental results indicate that the PLS regression model has good predicted results of water quality compared with the monitored data.The percentages of absolute relative error(below 15%,20%,30%) are 44.4%,66.7%,100%(turbidity) and 33.3%,44.4%,77.8%(Fe) on the 4th sampling point;77.8%,88.9%,88.9%(turbidity) and 44.4%,55.6%,66.7%(Fe) on the 5th sampling point. 展开更多
关键词 water distribution systems water quality TURBIDITY FE partial least squares regression
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Water Resource Allocation under Consideration of the National NIY Plan in Harbin, China
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作者 张焱 刘苏峡 陈军锋 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2012年第2期161-168,共8页
Water resource allocation (WRA) is a useful but complicated topic in water resource management. With the targets set out in the Plan of Newly Increasing Yield (NIY) of 10×1011 Jin (1 kg=2 Jin) from 2009 to ... Water resource allocation (WRA) is a useful but complicated topic in water resource management. With the targets set out in the Plan of Newly Increasing Yield (NIY) of 10×1011 Jin (1 kg=2 Jin) from 2009 to 2020, the immediate question for the Songhua River Region (SHRR) is whether water is sufficient to support the required yield increase. Very few studies have considered to what degree this plan influences the solution of WRA and how to adapt. This paper used a multi-objective programming model for WRA across the Harbin region located in the SHRR in 2020 and 2030 (p=75%). The Harbin region can be classified into four types of sub-regions according to WRA: Type I is Harbin city zone. With rapid urbanization, Harbin city zone has the highest risk of agricultural water shortage. Considering the severe situation, there is little space for Harbin city zone to reach the NIY goal. Type II is sub-regions including Wuchang, Shangzhi and Binxian. There are some agricultural water shortage risks in this type region. Because the water shortage is relatively small, it is possible to increase agricultural production through strengthening agricultural water-saving countermeasures and constructing water conservation facilities. Type III is sub-regions including Acheng, Hulan, Mulan and Fangzheng. In this type region, there may be a water shortage if the rate of urbanization accelerates. According to local conditions, it is needed to enhance water-saving countermeasures to increase agricultural production to a certain degree. Type IV is sub-regions including Shuangcheng, Bayan, Yilan, Yanshou and Tonghe. There are good water conditions for the extensive development of agriculture. Nevertheless, in order to ensure an increase in agricultural production, it is necessary to enhance the way in which water is utilized and consider soil resources. These results will help decision makers make a scientific NIY plan for the Harbin region for sustainable utilization of regional water resources and an increase in agricultural production. 展开更多
关键词 the Harbin region supply and demand prediction multi-objective programming model genetic algorithm water resource allocation (WRA)
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