The Credit Cycle and the Business Cycle in the Economy of Turkey

This study examines econometric relationships between bank lending and the business cycle in Turkey. Firstly, the cyclical components of the real GDP and real bank loans were determined using time series. A cointegration analysis and a vector error-correction model with quarterly data were used for period of 1987：01-2013：03. The results of cointegration analysis indicate that there is a single stable long-run equilibrium relationship between real bank loans and macroeconomic variables. The response of bank loans to GDP shocks is positive. Bank loans have pro-cyclical character in Turkey.

从光绪朱批奏折看《吉林通志》的创修

通过《光绪朝朱批奏折》中吉林将军长顺有关创修《吉林通志》的奏折 ,分析《吉林通志》创修的条件 ,《吉林通志》的史料 ,长顺和李桂林与《吉林通志》的创修 ,以及《吉林通志》的修成时间。