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中国文化产品出口贸易决定因素的理论和实证:基于偏好选择模型
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作者 黄文迁 《文化产业研究》 CSSCI 2017年第1期192-208,共17页
通过扩展Bala&Van Long(2005)的偏好选择模型,本文构建了包括三个国家和三种产品的动态偏好选择模型,从理论上论证了相对经济规模和文化亲近对于文化贸易的重要性;并通过扩展传统引力模型,采用2003—2012年中国与38个国家或地区的... 通过扩展Bala&Van Long(2005)的偏好选择模型,本文构建了包括三个国家和三种产品的动态偏好选择模型,从理论上论证了相对经济规模和文化亲近对于文化贸易的重要性;并通过扩展传统引力模型,采用2003—2012年中国与38个国家或地区的文化产品出口贸易面板数据,从整体层面、分类型和分地区三个方面分别探讨决定了中国文化产品出口贸易的主要因素。总体上看,相对经济规模变化是中国文化贸易快速发展的重要决定因素,分类型与分地区文化产品出口的影响因素存在差异性。但是,相对经济规模对文化贸易的促进作用并不是绝对的,中国文化贸易未来的发展还需依靠独一无二的内容、政策支持,以及国内文化产品的竞合。 展开更多
关键词 文化贸易 偏好选择模型 引力模型
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基于旅客行为选择的机场离港服务流程仿真优化研究
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作者 王俊丹 《交通工程》 2024年第6期122-128,共7页
为探索机场离港关键环节与旅客特性的匹配关系,挖掘离港服务保障瓶颈,以海口美兰国际机场T1航站楼为例,利用问卷调查法获取机场旅客行为特性参数,在此基础上利用Logit模型从值机方式选择、行李托运选择和排队选择构建旅客离港流程中的... 为探索机场离港关键环节与旅客特性的匹配关系,挖掘离港服务保障瓶颈,以海口美兰国际机场T1航站楼为例,利用问卷调查法获取机场旅客行为特性参数,在此基础上利用Logit模型从值机方式选择、行李托运选择和排队选择构建旅客离港流程中的行为选择偏好模型。借助Netlogo仿真平台并基于旅客选择行为偏好模型对离港流程中的服务关键环节进行仿真,通过设定仿真基础场景模拟旅客离港服务流程过程中的状态。基于仿真基础场景,以旅客行为选择变化作为主要的优化方向,并设定不同的行为引导成功率,从旅客行为选择变化对离港服务关键指标参数变化及扰动特性进行仿真。结果显示增设自助值机引导服务且引导成功率在0.8时,对于缩短旅客在整个流程上的平均排队时间和服务时长具有显著作用。 展开更多
关键词 航空运输 旅客偏好选择行为模型 LOGIT模型 Netlogo仿真 海口美兰国际机场 旅客离港服务
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Combining Stated Preference and Revealed Preference Methods for the Valuation of Non-market Goods
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作者 Zhang Haipeng Xie Xuxuan 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2012年第4期121-126,共6页
In this paper,we introduce the combining stated preference and revealed preference methods which is the state-ofthe-art method for the valuation of non-market goods.Revealed preference methods and stated preference (S... In this paper,we introduce the combining stated preference and revealed preference methods which is the state-ofthe-art method for the valuation of non-market goods.Revealed preference methods and stated preference (SP) methods have both been applied by economists in valuing non-market goods;however both methods have inherent weaknesses.In order to exploit the strengths of the various approaches while minimizing their weaknesses,combining the two methods has become an important methodological option.Up to now,a growing number of literatures of studying combing the two types of data have evolved,and researchers developed three types of models to estimate combining revealed preference and stated preference data in academic fields:discrete choice model,continuous choice model and mixed choice model.Combining stated and revealed preference methods have been developed fast especially in the transport study field in which ideas could also be leant for environmental economic studies. 展开更多
关键词 stated preference revealed preference (RP) valuation of non-market goods
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Conformation preference and related intramolecular noncovalent interaction of selected short chain chlorinated paraffins
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作者 Yuzhen Sun Wenxiao Pan +2 位作者 Jianjie Fu Aiqian Zhang Qinghua Zhang 《Science China Chemistry》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第3期338-349,共12页
Short chain chlorinated paraffins (SCCPs) are not only research focus of environmental issues but also interesting model mol- ecules for organic chemistry which exhibit diverse conformation preference and intramolec... Short chain chlorinated paraffins (SCCPs) are not only research focus of environmental issues but also interesting model mol- ecules for organic chemistry which exhibit diverse conformation preference and intramolecular noncovalent interactions (NCIs). A systematic study was conducted to reveal the conlk)rmation preference and the related intramolecular NCIs in two C^-isomers of SCCPs, 5,5,6,6-tetrachlorodecane and 4,4,6,6-1etrachlorodecane. The overall conformation profile was deter- mined on the basis of relative energies calculated at the MP2/6-311++G(d,p) level with the geometries optimized by B3LYP/6-31 l++G(d,p) method. Then, quantum theory of atoms in molecules (QTAIM) has been adopted to identify the NCls in the selected conformers of the model molecules at both B31~YP/6-31 l++G(d,p) and M06-2X/aug-cc-pvdz level. Different chlorine substitution modes result in varied conformation preference. No obvious gauche effect can be observed tk)r the SCCPs with chlorination on adjacent carbon atoms. The most stable conformer of 5,5,6,6-tetrachlorodecane (tTt) has its three dihedral angles in the T configuration, and there is no intramolecular N(3s found in this molecule. On the contrary, the chlorination on interval carbon atoms favors the adoption of gauche configmation for the H C C CI axis. Not only inlramolecular H-..CI contacts but also H---H interactions have been identified as driving forces to compensate the instability from steric crowding ot the gauche configuration. The gggg and g'g'g'g' conformers are the most popular ones, while the populations of tggg and tg'g'g' conformer are second to those of the gggg and g'g'g'g' conformers. Meanwhile, the M06-2X method with large basis sets is preferred for identification of subtle intramolecular NCIs in large molecules like SCCPs. 展开更多
关键词 short chain chlorinated paraffins intramolecular noncovalent interactions conformation preference chlorination substitution mode
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