Evaluation of the health state and prediction of the remaining life of the track circuit are important for the safe operation of the equipment of railway signal system.Based on support vector data description(SVDD)and...Evaluation of the health state and prediction of the remaining life of the track circuit are important for the safe operation of the equipment of railway signal system.Based on support vector data description(SVDD)and gray prediction,this paper illustrates a method of life prediction for ZPW-2000A track circuit,which combines entropy weight method,SVDD,Mahalanobis distance and negative conversion function to set up a health state assessment model.The model transforms multiple factors affecting the health state into a health index named H to reflect the health state of the equipment.According to H,the life prediction model of ZPW-2000A track circuit equipment is established by means of gray prediction so as to predict the trend of health state of the equipment.The certification of the example shows that the method can visually reflect the health state and effectively predict the remaining life of the equipment.It also provides a theoretical basis to further improve the maintenance and management for ZPW-2000A track circuit.展开更多
基金Natural Science Fund of Gansu Province(No.1310RJZA046)
文摘Evaluation of the health state and prediction of the remaining life of the track circuit are important for the safe operation of the equipment of railway signal system.Based on support vector data description(SVDD)and gray prediction,this paper illustrates a method of life prediction for ZPW-2000A track circuit,which combines entropy weight method,SVDD,Mahalanobis distance and negative conversion function to set up a health state assessment model.The model transforms multiple factors affecting the health state into a health index named H to reflect the health state of the equipment.According to H,the life prediction model of ZPW-2000A track circuit equipment is established by means of gray prediction so as to predict the trend of health state of the equipment.The certification of the example shows that the method can visually reflect the health state and effectively predict the remaining life of the equipment.It also provides a theoretical basis to further improve the maintenance and management for ZPW-2000A track circuit.