Migration and transfer of chromium in soil-vegetable system and associated health risks in vicinity of ferro-alloy manufactory

Study was carried out to analyze the distribution and migration patterns,soil-to-plant transfer and potential health risks of chromium in soil-vegetable system in areas near a ferro-alloy manufactory in Hunan province.The results show that soils near sewer outlet,sewer channel and in control area are averaged 2 239.5,995.33 and 104.9 mg/kg,respectively.The total Cr has a relative accumulation in soil depth of 200-400 mm near the sewer outlet,mainly enriches in the surface layer（0-200 mm） near the sewer channel and decreases gradually in unpolluted soils.The differential concentration level of enrichment between layers is little.The results also indicate that the three vegetables of celery,lettuce and Chinese cabbage are able to convert the potentially toxic Cr（Ⅵ） species into the non-toxic Cr（Ⅲ） species,and the chromium contents in the edible parts of the vegetables are averaged 11.95 mg/kg.The transfer factors of the three vegetables follow the order：Chinese cabbage lettuce celery.The estimated total daily intake of chromium substantially exceeds the dietary allowable value,which may pose health risks to local population.

Source and hazard identification of heavy metals in soils of Changsha based on TIN model and direct exposure method

A total of 153 soil samples were collected from Changsha City, China, to analyze the contents of As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Hg, Mn, Ni, Pb and Zn. A combination of sampling data, multivariate statistical method, geostatistical analysis, direct exposure method and triangulated irregular network （TIN） model was successfully employed to discriminate sources, simulate spatial distributions and evaluate children＇s health risks of heavy metals in soils. The results show that not all sites in Changsha city may be suitable for living without remediation. About 9.0% of the study area provided a hazard index （HI）1.0, and 1.9% had an HI2.0. Most high HIs were located in the southern and western areas. The element of arsenic and the pathway of soil ingestion were the largest contribution to potential health risks for children. This study indicates that we should attach great importance to the direct soil heavy metals exposure for children＇s health.

Measurement of wind field characteristics at a long-span suspension bridge

In order to provide a reliable basis for wind resistant evaluation of a long-span suspension bridge, a structural health monitoring system is installed on a bridge in the East China Sea and the simultaneous wind data at the bridge deck and at the top of the bridge tower are recorded. The average wind speeds and directions, variations of wind speeds with height, turbulent characteristics, spatial correlation and characteristics of wind flow around the bridge deck are analyzed by using statistical methods and spectral analysis. It is found that the average wind speeds along the bridge girder are almost identical; however, the mean wind directions vary greatly at different locations. The dimensionless exponent decreases as the average wind speed increases. The measured turbulence intensities are greater than the recommended values, and the turbulence power spectrum can well fit the standard spectrum. However, the measured spectral values are considerably smaller in low frequency ranges. The mean wind speed of the wake flow decreases and the turbulence intensity increases significantly, and the spectral characteristics of the wake flow change obviously while the feature frequency of vortex shedding has not yet been observed.

基于LIGHT-HVEM信号通路探讨健脾养血祛风方对脾虚型慢性湿疹小鼠作用机制

目的基于肿瘤坏死因子超家族第14个成员(LIGHT)-疱疹病毒入侵介质(HVEM)信号通路探讨健脾养血祛风方对脾虚型慢性湿疹小鼠的作用机制。方法60只雄性昆明小鼠随机分为空白对照组10只和模型组50只。模型组采用小剂量二硝基氯苯(DNCB)反复涂抹联合番泻叶灌服建立脾虚型慢性湿疹小鼠模型。造模成功的50只小鼠随机分成模型对照组、西药治疗组、中药低剂量治疗组、中药中剂量治疗组和中药高剂量治疗组,每组10只。西药治疗组予盐酸左西替利嗪片灌胃,中药各剂量组予健脾养血祛风方灌胃,空白对照组和模型对照组予等体积生理盐水灌胃,各组均连续给药14 d。观察背部皮肤肿胀度和组织形态学变化,检测血清白细胞介素2(IL-2)、白细胞介素6(IL-6)、肿瘤坏死因子α(TNF-α)表达水平,皮肤LIGHT、HVEM蛋白表达水平。结果与空白对照组比较,模型对照组小鼠皮肤肿胀度和血清IL-2、IL-6、TNF-α表达水平显著升高(P<0.01),皮肤组织形态学表现呈现慢性湿疹病理改变,皮肤LIGHT、HVEM蛋白表达水平显著升高(P<0.01);与模型对照组比较,西药治疗组、中药高剂量治疗组小鼠皮肤肿胀度和血清IL-2、IL-6、TNF-α表达水平显著降低(P<0.05或P<0.01),皮肤组织形态学表现明显改善,西药治疗组、中药治疗组皮肤LIGHT、HVEM蛋白表达水平显著降低(P<0.01)。结论健脾养血祛风方对脾虚型慢性湿疹小鼠具有抗炎和免疫调节作用,以高剂量效果最佳,其作用机制可能是通过抑制LIGHT-HVEM信号通路,降低血清IL-2、IL-6、TNF-α表达水平,调节Th1/Th2细胞因子动态平衡,从而有效改善皮肤肿胀度和皮肤组织病理形态。

Status and Health Risk Assessment of Heavy Metal Contamination in Vegetables

[Objective] This study aimed to protect people＇s food hygiene safety and improve the quality of vegetables. [Method] The residual contents of heavy metals （Cu, Zn, Pb, Cd and Cr） in the vegetables purchased from local market of Yuhui District, Bengbu City were determined. According to the standard limits of the International Commission on Radiological Protection （ICRP）, the health risk of vegetables with excessive heavy metal residues was assessed. [Result] The Pb content in some commercially purchased vegetables exceeded the national standard. The health risk of the vegetables contaminated by Pb was 4.467×10^-7a^-1, which was lower than the standard limit （5.0×10^-5a^-1） of the ICPR. Thus, the vegetables posed no significant risk to human health. [Conclusion] The risk of commercially purchased vegetables to human health was low.

Risk assessment of lead emissions from anthropogenic cycle

The risk assessment right from the source of emissions can effectively guide the pollution control. A model was established, consisting of four part： source estimation, environmental fate analysis, exposure analysis and risk assessment. The human health risk, ecological risk and total risk of lead emissions were assessed. The factors were estimated to indicate the environmental decrease and exposure probability. Of all the 1887 t emissions in China in 2010（quantified in the previous work）, it is turned out 1.3 t reached human bodies（0.9 mg/ca）, and 2.7 t reached the ecosystem. Lead mainly came from the Use stage for the source while lead causing risk mainly came from the Waste Management Recycling and Production stages. As for chemical forms, PbO contributed most to the human health risk and PbSO_4 contributed most to the ecological risk. PbSO_4, PbO and Pb altogether contributed 71% to the total risk, indicating these three chemicals should be taken priority for the risk management.

谈刘勰的风骨论

学界探索《文心雕者》很多,对“风骨”的理解,颇有分歧。 如黄侃先生认为“风即文意。骨即文辞”。“为文者欲健风骨,不能不注意于命意与修辞”。(《文心雕龙札记》) 又如刘永济先生认为“风者,运行流荡之物,以喻文之情思也。情思者发于作者之心,形而为事义,就其所以运事义以成章者言之为‘风’;骨者,树立结构之物,以喻文之事义也。事义者,情思待发,论之以见者也。

Comparable study on typhoon and strong northern wind characteristics of the Runyang Suspension Bridge based on field tests

The strong wind characteristics of the Runyang Suspension Bridge（ RSB） including the wind speed and direction, the turbulence intensity, the turbulence integral length and power spectrum are analyzed based on measurement data from the wind environment monitoring subsystem of the structural health monitoring system （SHMS）of the RSB and field tests during strong winds. The differences between the typhoon and the strong northern wind are especially studied. It is found that the mean wind speed of the strong northern wind is a little smaller and the mean wind direction is more stable than that of the typhoon. The turbulence intensity of both the typhoon and the strong northern wind is greater than the values suggested in Chinese code, and the turbulence integral length difference between the typhoon and a strong northern wind is not clear. As for the along-wind turbulence power spectrum, the spectrum of the strong northern wind can fit the Kaimal spectrum better than that of the typhoon. The obtained results can provide measurement data for founding a strong wind characteristic database and determining the strong wind characteristic parameter values of the RSB.

益肾健脾祛风除湿汤结合穴位敷贴对系统性红斑狼疮肾炎患者肾功能、生活质量的影响

目的 探究益肾健脾祛风除湿汤结合穴位敷贴对系统性红斑狼疮肾炎患者肾功能、生活质量的影响。方法 将纳入系统性红斑狼疮肾炎患者66例(2017年5月—2019年4月)分为观察组与对照组(随机数字表法),对照组(33例)常规护理干预,观察组(33例)常规干预基础上联合益肾健脾祛风除湿汤及穴位敷贴干预。比较两组患者干预后临床疗效、干预前后中医症状积分及系统性红斑狼疮疾病活动度评分(SLEDAI)评分、肝功能指标变化、免疫功能指标变化、抗双链DNA(ds-DNA)、D-二聚体(D-D)水平变化、世界卫生组织生存质量测定量表简表(WHOQOL-BREF)评分变化。结果 观察组有效率96.97%(32/33)较对照组78.79%(26/33)更高,P<0.05;两组患者干预前中医症状积分、SLEDAI评分、24 h尿蛋白、尿素氮(BUN)及肌酐(SCr)等肝功能指标、免疫球蛋白G(IgG)、补体C_(3)、C_(4)等免疫指标、ds-DNA及D-D水平、WHOQOL-BREF评分相当,P>0.05,干预后各组患者中医症状积分、SLEDAI评分、24 h尿蛋白、BUN、SCr、IgG、C_(3)、 C_(4)、ds-DNA及D-D、WHOQOL-BREF评分等指标均改善,观察组患者干预后中医症状积分、SLEDAI评分、24 h尿蛋白、BUN、SCr、IgG、C_(3)、C_(4)、ds-DNA及D-D、WHOQOL-BREF评分等指标均优于对照组,P<0.05;观察组患者满意率96.97%(32/33)高于对照组75.76%(25/33),P<0.05。结论 益肾健脾祛风除湿汤结合穴位敷贴对系统性红斑狼疮肾炎患者具有积极影响,患者疗效提升,症状改善,肾功能恢复良好,生活质量改善,满意率高。

中医针刺联合健脾熄风活络汤对脑卒中后吞咽功能障碍患者血清SP、5-HT的影响

目的观察中医针刺联合健脾熄风活络汤对脑卒中后吞咽功能障碍患者血清P物质(SP)、5-羟色胺(5-HT)的影响,为临床治疗提供参考。方法选取医院2016年1月—2020年2月收治的脑卒中后吞咽功能障碍患者104例,根据治疗方法分为两组,每组52例。对照组给予健脾熄风活络汤治疗,观察组给予中医针刺联合健脾熄风活络汤治疗。记录两组治疗前后洼田饮水试验评分、吞咽功能评价量表(SSA)评分及SP、5-HT、去甲肾上腺素(NE)、脑源性神经营养因子(BDNF)水平变化,并统计两组不良反应情况。结果治疗前,两组中医证候积分、洼田饮水试验评分、SSA评分组间比较,差异不具有统计学意义(P>0.05)。治疗后,两组中医证候积分、洼田饮水试验评分、SSA评分较治疗前下降较治疗前下降,观察组中医证候积分、洼田饮水试验评分、SSA评分低于对照组(P<0.05)。治疗前,两组SP、5-HT、NE、BDNF水平组间比较,差异不具有统计学意义(P>0.05)。治疗后,两组SP、5-HT、NE、BDNF水平较治疗前上升,观察组SP、5-HT、NE、BDNF水平高于对照组(P<0.05)。观察组不良反应率(11.54%)与对照组(9.62%)比较,差异不具有统计学意义(P>0.05)。结论中医针刺联合健脾熄风活络汤治疗脑卒中后吞咽功能障碍可改善患者吞咽功能,减轻症状,调节SP、5-HT、NE、BDNF的表达水平,且不增加不良反应。

Surface water quality and potential health risk assessments in Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan section of Xiangjiang River, China

The Changsha-Xiangtan-Zhuzhou City Group is a heavy industrial district and accepted as the serious pollution area in the Xiangjiang River basin.In this study,7 metals(Pb,Hg,Cd,As,Zn,Cu and Se)and the river water quality parameters including pH,dissolved oxygen(DO),Escherichia coli(E.coli),potassium permanganate index(CODMn),dichromate oxidizability(CODCr),five-day biochemical oxygen demand(BOD5),ammonia nitrogen(NH4+-N),total nitrogen(TN),total phosphorus(TP)and fluoride(F)in 18 sampling sites of the Changsha-Xiangtan-Zhuzhou section are monthly monitored in 2016,which is the year to step into the second stage of the“Xiangjiang River Heavy Metal Pollution Control Implementation Plan”.It is found that E.coli,TN and TP are the main pollutants in the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan section,and the pollution of heavy metal is not serious but As with potential risk to local people especially children should be concerned.In addition,Xiangtan city is mainly featured with heavy metal pollution,while Zhuzhou and Changsha city are both featured with other pollutants from municipal domestic sewage.

Cadmium in agricultural soils,vegetables and rice and potential health risk in vicinity of Dabaoshan Mine in Shaoguan,China

Soil cadmium(Cd)contamination resulted from mining and smelting is a major environmental concern,and health risk associated with Cd exposure to multi-media through muti-pathway is increasing.Cd concentrations in soils,vegetables and paddy rice were investigated,and potential non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic health risks exposure to Cd were estimated at six villages around the Dabaoshan Mine,South China.A total of 87 soil samples were found to exceed the China's maximum permission level(MPL)for Cd,while the highest value of 4.42 mg/kg was found near irrigation ditch associated with Hengshi River in Xinyi(XY)Village.Cd contents in vegetables and rice exceeded the maximum permissible concentration by more than five times in every village.Cadmium accumulation in plants is in the order of celery>lactuca sativa L>Chinese cabbage>Romaine lettuce>asparagus lettuce>mustard>cabbage mustard>cabbage.The mean hazard quotient(HQ)of all villages is in the range of [5.29,25.75],and the mean values of cancer risk for investigated areas are more than 10 times greater than the USEPA(2009)threshold limit value of 10-4.Moreover,human non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risks are mainly attributable to paddy rice intake,followed by vegetables intake,soil ingestion,inhalation,and dermal contact.The results indicate that Cd has a huge potential risk on human health for the local residents.

Assessment of water quality and safety based on multi-statistical analyses of nutrients, biochemical indexes and heavy metals

The purpose of this research was to better understand the water quality status of the Xiangjiang River, China, and to evaluate the risks posed by the river water. Precisely, ten water quality parameters including p H, dissolved oxygen(DO), Escherichia coli(E. coli), potassium permanganate index(CODMn), dichromate oxidizability(CODCr), five-day biochemical oxygen demand(BOD5), ammonia nitrogen(NH4+-N), total phosphorus(TP) and fluoride(F-) as well as metal(loid)s(Pb, Hg, Cd, As, Zn, Cu and Se) were monitored monthly in 2016 at 12 sampling sites throughout the Hengyang section of the Xiangjiang River. Concentrations of all parameters were presented according to rainy and dry seasons. They were compared with Chinese surface water standards and WHO drinking water limits to assess the sustainability of the river water status. Principal component analysis(PCA) revealed different pollution sources in different seasons. Dual hierarchical cluster analysis(DHCA) was applied to further classify the water quality variables and sampling sites. Besides, a risk assessment was introduced to evaluate the carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic concerns of heavy metal(loid)s to human health. This research will help to optimize water monitoring locations and establish pollution reduction strategies on the preservation of public safety.

Distribution characteristics and environmental risk assessment following metal(loid)s pollution incidents at Southwest China mining site

Limited information is available on long-term effects of metal(loid)s pollution incidents. Here, we analyze the distribution characteristics and quantification of elements in the Southwest China Keda mining site, which is one of the most populated sites and enables human health and ecological risk assessments of elemental pollution. The results on modified degree of contamination indicated that the soil and sediment were highly contaminated near Dahu Lake.The health risk of children was almost 2.5 times that of adults in surface water, and 7.1 times in soil, respectively.Moreover, Tl and As were the main health risk contributors in surface water and soil, respectively, and As posed the highest ecological risk both in soil and sediment. These results indicated the potential impact of toxic metal(loid)s on the health of residents and environment. Hence, more scientific attention and proper management need to be paid to this environmental challenge in the future.

Spatial Distribution and Risk Assessment of Heavy Metals in Paddy Soils of Yongshuyu Irrigation Area from Songhua River Basin,Northeast China

There is an increasing concern for potentially hazardous metals pollution, which can threaten crops production and human health. In this study, the spatial distribution and environmental risks of eight heavy metals in surface soil samples collected from the paddy fields in Yongshuyu irrigation area, Northeast China were investigated. The mean concentrations of Pb, Cr, Cu, Ni, Zn, Cd, Hg and As were 34.6 ± 4.67, 82.8 ± 9.51, 17.3 ± 4.09, 21.2 ± 12.0, 88.6 ± 17.9, 0.18 ± 0.15, 0.22 ± 0.07 and 8.77 ± 2.47 mg/kg, respectively, which were slightly higher than their corresponding background values of Jilin Province, indicating enrichment of these metals in the paddy soils, especially for Ni, Cd and Hg. The spatial distribution of heavy metals was closely correlated with local anthropogenic activities, such as agricultural production, mining and transportation. The hot-spot areas of As and Cd were mainly concentrated in the up-midstream where were associated with agricultural activities. Cr and Cu showed similar spatial distributions with hot-spot areas distributed the whole irrigation area uniformly. Ni was mainly distributed in the downstream where Ni quarries concentrated, while the spatial distribution patterns of Hg was mainly located in the upstream and downstream where the soil was significantly influenced by irrigation and coal mining emission. The spatial distributions of Pb and Zn were mainly concentrated along the highway side. The pollution levels of Yongshuyu irrigation area were estimated through index of geo-accumulation(Igeo), Nemerow integrated pollution index(NIPI) and potential ecological risk index(PERI). The results showed that Cd and Hg were the main pollutants in the study area. Health risk assessment results indicated that children were in higher non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risks than adults with the carcinogenic metal of As. Ingestion was the main exposure pathway to non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risk for both adults and children. Principal component analysis(PCA) indicated that Cr and Cu were mainly from parent materials, while Cd and As were mainly affected by agricultural activities. Pb and Zn were controlled by traffic activities, and the accumulations of Ni and Hg were associated with mining activities. This study would be valuable for preventing heavy metals inputs and safety in rice production of the Songhua river basin.

Prevalence of fatty liver disease and its risk factors in the population of South China

AIM: To investigate the population-based prevalence of fatty liver disease (FLD) and its risk factors in Guangdong Province,China. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey with multiple-stage stratified cluster and random sampling of inhabitants over 7-year-old was performed in 6 urban and rural areas of Guangdong Province,China. Questionnaires,designed by co-working of epidemiologists and hepatologists,included demographic characteristics,current medication use,medical history and health-relevant behaviors,i.e. alcohol consumption,smoking habits,dietary habits and physical activities. Anthropometric measurements,biochemical tests and abdominal ultrasonography were carried out. RESULTS: Among the 3543 subjects,609 (17.2%) were diagnosed having FLD (18.0% males,16.7% females,P > 0.05). Among them,the prevalence of confirmed alcoholic liver disease (ALD),suspected ALD and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were 0.4%,1.8%,and 15.0%,respectively. The prevalence rate (23.0%) was significantly higher in urban areas than (12.9%) in rural areas. After adjustment for age,gender and residency,the standardized prevalence of FLD in adults was 14.5%. Among them,confirmed ALD,suspected ALD and NAFLD were 0.5%,2.3%,and 11.7%,respectively,in adults and 1.3% (all NAFLD) in children at the age of 7-18 years. The overall prevalence of FLD increased with age in both genders to the peak of 27.4% in the group of subjects at the age of 60-70 years. The prevalence rate was significantly higher in men than in women under the age of 50 years (22.4% vs 7.1%,P < 0.001). However,the opposite phenomenon was found over the age of 50 years (20.6% vs 27.6%,P < 0.05). Multivariate and logistic regression analysis indicated that male gender,urban residency,low education,high blood pressure,body mass index,waist circumference,waist to hip ratio,serum triglyceride and glucose levels were the risk factors for FLD. CONCLUSION: FLD,especially NAFLD,is prevalent in South China. There are many risk factors for FLD.

Chemical characterization and sources of PM2.5 at 12-h resolution in Guiyang, China

The increasing emission of primary and gaseous precursors of secondarily formed atmospheric particulate matter due to continuing industrial development and urbanization are leading to an increased public awareness of environmental issues and human health risks in China. As part of a pilot study, 12-h integrated fine fraction particulate matter （PM2.5） filter samples were collected to chemically characterize and investigate the sources of ambient particulate matter in Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, southwestern China. Results showed that the 12-h integrated PM2.5 concentrations exhibited a daytime average of 51 ± 22 μg m^-3 （mean -4- standard deviation） with a range of 17-128 μg m^-3 and a nighttime average of 55 ± 32 μg m^-3 with a range of 4-186 μg m^-3. The 24-h integrated PM2.5 concentrations varied from 15 to 157 μg m^-3, with amean value of 53 ± 25 μg m^-3, which exceeded the 24-h PM2.5 standard of 35μg m^-3 set by USEPA, but was below the standard of 75 μg m^-3, set by China Ministry of Environmental Protection. Energy-dispersive X-ray fluorescence spectrometry （XRF） was applied to determine PM2.5 chemical element concentrations. The order of concentrations of heavy metals in PM2.5 were iron （Fe） 〉 zinc （Zn） 〉 manganese （Mn） 〉 lead （Pb） 〉 arsenic （As）〉 chromium （Cr）. The total concentration of 18 chemical elements was 13 ± 2 μg m^-3, accounting for 25% in PM2.5, which is comparable to other major cities in China, but much higher than cities outside of China.

A land use-based spatial analysis method for human health risk assessment of heavy metals in soil and its application in Zhuzhou City, Hunan Province, China

A land use- and geographical information system-based framework was presented for potential human health risk analysis using soil sampling data obtained in Zhuzhou City, Hunan Province, China. The results show that heavy metal content in soil significantly differs among different land use types. In total, 8.3% of the study area has a hazard index(HI) above the threshold of 1.0. High HIs are recorded mainly for industrial areas. Arsenic((29)87%) and the soil ingestion pathway(about 76%) contribute most to the HI. The mean standardized error and root-mean-square standardized error data indicate that the land use-based simulation method provides more accurate estimates than the classic method, which applies only geostatistical analysis to entire study area and disregards land use information. The findings not only highlight the significance of industrial land use, arsenic and the soil ingestion exposure pathway, but also indicate that evaluating different land use-types can spatially identify areas of greater concern for human health and better identify health risks.

Mitochondria and the aging heart

The average human life span has markedly increased in modem society largely attributed to advances in medical and therapeutic sciences that have successfully reduced important health risks. However, advanced age results in numerous alterations to cellular and subcellular components that can impact the overall health and function of an individual. Not surprisingly, advanced age is a major risk factor for the development of heart disease in which elderly populations observe increased morbidity and mortality. Even healthy individuals that appear to have normal heart function under resting conditions, actually have an increased susceptibility and vulnerability to stress. This is confounded by the impact that stress and disease can have over time to both the heart and vessels. Although, there is a rapidly growing body of literature investigating the effects of aging on the heart and how age-related alterations affect cardiac function, the biology of aging and underlying mechanisms remain unclear. In this review, we summarize effects of aging on the heart and discuss potential theories of cellular aging with special emphasis on mitoehondrial dysfunction.

Integrated evaluation system under randomness and fuzziness for groundwater contamination risk assessment in a little town, Central China

An integrated evaluation system under randomness and fuzziness was developed in this work to systematically assess the risk of groundwater contamination in a little town, Central China. In this system, randomness of the parameters and the fuzziness of the risk were considered simultaneously, and the exceeding standard probability of contamination and human health risk due to the contamination were integrated. The contamination risk was defined as a combination of "vulnerability" and "hazard". To calculate the value of "vulnerability", pollutant concentration was simulated by MODFLOW with random input variables and a new modified health risk assessment(MRA) model was established to analyze the level of "hazard". The limit concentration based on environmental-guideline and health risk due to manganese were systematically examined to obtain the general risk levels through a fuzzy rule base. The "vulnerability" and "hazard" were divided into five categories of "high", "medium-high", "medium", "low-medium" and "low", respectively. Then, "vulnerability" and "hazard" were firstly combined by integrated evaluation. Compared with the other two scenarios under deterministic methods, the risk obtained in the proposed system is higher. This research illustrated that ignoring of uncertainties in evaluation process might underestimate the risk level.