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利用灰色系统模型预测新疆入境游经济的影响
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作者 邱凡凡 焦黎 《新疆社会科学》 CSSCI 2011年第6期47-49,共3页
文章采用乘数增值效应的方法,计算出入境游经济对新疆经济的增值效应,并根据入境游对新疆经济的增值态势,利用灰色系统模型预测出入境游收入在未来数年的变化。
关键词 入境游经济 新疆GDP 乘数增值效应 GM(I I)灰色系统模型
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Regional Disparity and Convergence of China's Inbound Tourism Economy 被引量:40
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作者 WANG Shuxin HE Yuanqing +2 位作者 WANG Xueding ZHU Guofeng CAO Weihong 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第6期715-722,共8页
Comprehending regional characteristics and influencing factors of China's inbound tourism economy is im- portant to make effective policies that will help inbound tourism develop harmoniously and shrink regional disp... Comprehending regional characteristics and influencing factors of China's inbound tourism economy is im- portant to make effective policies that will help inbound tourism develop harmoniously and shrink regional disparity. This paper studied the regional disparity and convergence of China's inbound tourism economy during 1996-2008 with the methods of a-convergence, club convergence and r-convergence. The results indicate that 1) inbound tourism receipts per capita (ITRPC) of the whole country, the eastern, central and western regions presented the rapid increasing trend; 2) ITRPC of the whole country was characterized by convergence; 3) the eastern region presented club con- vergence, but the central and western regions did not show this trend; 4) the star-hotel levels and investment in fixed assets for the tourism industry per capita had a same trend to growth rates of ITRPC, promoting inbound tourism de- velopment, and there was no difference among the 31 provinces (municipalities) in the mainland of China; 5) but the proportion of employed persons in the tourism industry accounting for total population and the proportion of the terti- ary industry accounting for GDP had a reversal trend to growth rates of ITRPC, shrinking the provincial disparity in inbound tourism economy, and there were differences between the developed provinces and the developing provinces. Based on these analyses, we put forward some suggestions for the developing provinces to speed up inbound tourism economy. 展开更多
关键词 inbound tourism receipts regional disparity a-convergence club convergence fl-convergence China
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