Four sets of climate change simulations at grid spacing of 50 km were conducted over East Asia with two regional climate models driven at the lateral bounda- ries by two global models for the period 1981-2050. The loc...Four sets of climate change simulations at grid spacing of 50 km were conducted over East Asia with two regional climate models driven at the lateral bounda- ries by two global models for the period 1981-2050. The locus of the study was on the ensemble projection of cli- mate change in the mid-21st century （2031-50） over China. Validation of each simulation and the ensemble average showed good performances of the models overall, as well as advantages of the ensemble in reproducing present day （1981 2000） December-February （DJF）, June-August （JJA）, and annual （ANN） mean temperature and precipitation. Significant wanning was projected for the mid-21st century, with larger values of temperature increase found in the northern part of China and in the cold seasons. The ensemble average changes of precipitation in DJF, JJA, and ANN were determined, and the uncertainties of the projected changes analyzed based on the consistencies of the simulations. It was concluded that the largest uncertainties in precipitation projection are in eastern China during the summer season （monsoon pre-cipitation）.展开更多
The interannual variability of global temperature and precipitation during the last millennium is analyzed using the results of ten coupled climate models participating in the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Pr...The interannual variability of global temperature and precipitation during the last millennium is analyzed using the results of ten coupled climate models participating in the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase 3. It is found that large temperature(precipitation) variability is most dominant at high latitudes(tropical monsoon regions), and the seasonal magnitudes are greater than the annual mean. Significant multi-decadal-scale changes exist throughout the whole period for the zonal mean of both temperature and precipitation variability, while their long-term trends are indistinctive. The volcanic forcings correlate well with the temperature variability at midlatitudes, indicating possible leading drivers for the interannual time scale climate change.展开更多
The data of 16o national meteorological observatory （NMO） stations with long-term monthly temperature data for China were analyzed in this study to show the basin-centered summer temperature decrease against global ...The data of 16o national meteorological observatory （NMO） stations with long-term monthly temperature data for China were analyzed in this study to show the basin-centered summer temperature decrease against global warming in the past half century. The summer and winter isotherm structures of 1950s and 1990s worked out by interpolation show the isotherm structure variations： the isotherm structure generally moves northward in winter, but in summer it is characterized with separate high-temperature and low-temperature centers and the isotherm structure moves inward the centers with global warming, indicating that the temperature in the highland areas increases but that in the lowland areas decreases in the summer of the duration. The possible mechanism of the basin-centered temperature decrease in summer is discussed in this paper.展开更多
Based on experiments with the Community Earth System Model, version 1(Community Atmosphere Model, version 5)[CESM1(CAM5)], and an observational dataset, we found that CESM1-CAM5 is able to reproduce global monsoon(GM)...Based on experiments with the Community Earth System Model, version 1(Community Atmosphere Model, version 5)[CESM1(CAM5)], and an observational dataset, we found that CESM1-CAM5 is able to reproduce global monsoon(GM)features, including the patterns of monsoon precipitation and monsoon domains, the magnitude of GM precipitation(GMP,the local summer precipitation), GM area(GMA), and GM percentage(the ratio of the local summer precipitation to annual precipitation). Under the Paris Agreement temperature goals, the GM in CESM1-CAM5 displays the following changes:(1)The GMA is ambiguous under the 1.5℃ temperature goal and increases under the 2.0℃ temperature goal. The increase mainly results from a change in the monsoon percentage.(2) The GM, land monsoon and ocean monsoon precipitation all significantly increase under both the 1.5℃ and 2.0℃ goals. The increases are mainly due to the enhancement of humidity and evaporation.(3) The percentages of GM, land monsoon and ocean monsoon feature little change under the temperature goals.(4) The lengths of the GM, land monsoon and ocean monsoon are significantly prolonged under the temperature goals.The increase in precipitation during the monsoon withdrawal month mainly accounts for the prolonged monsoons. Regarding the differences between the 1.5℃ and 2.0℃ temperature goals, it is certain that the GMP displays significant discrepancies.In addition, a large-scale enhancement of ascending motion occurs over the southeastern Tibetan Plateau and South China under a warming climate, whereas other monsoon areas experience an overall decline in ascending motion. This leads to an extraordinary wetting over Asian monsoon areas.展开更多
In this study,the temporal and spatial variations of observed global oceanic precipitation during 1979-2010 are investigated.It is found that the global trend in precipitation during this period varies at a rate of 1....In this study,the temporal and spatial variations of observed global oceanic precipitation during 1979-2010 are investigated.It is found that the global trend in precipitation during this period varies at a rate of 1.5％/K of surface warming while the rate is 6.6％/K during 2006-2010.The precipitation is highly correlated with Sea Surface Temperature （SST） in both the temporal and the spatial patterns since the strong 1997-98 E1 Ni（n）o event.Considering the distributions of precipitation and SST,seven oceanic regions are classified and presented using the observed Global Precipitation Climatology Project （GPCP） data and Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperatures,version 3 （ERSST.v3） data.Further examining the mechanisms of the classified oceanic precipitation regions is conducted using the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission （TRMM） satellite,GFDL-ESM-2G model precipitation and SST data and Hadley Center sea ice and SST version 1 （HadISST1） data.More than 85％ of global oceanic precipitations are controlled by either one or both of the warmer-get-wetter mechanism and wet-get-wetter mechanism.It is estimated that a 0.5 SST signal-to-noise ratio,representing the trend of SST time series to the standard deviation,is a criterion to distinguish the mechanism of a region.When the SST ratio is larger than 0.5,the precipitation of this region is controlled by the warmer-get-wetter mechanism.SST,rather than the humidity,is the pivotal factor.On the other hand,when the SST ratio is less than 0.5,the precipitation is controlled by the wet-get-wetter mechanism.The SST variability is a significant factor contributing to the precipitation variation.展开更多
Calcium(Ca)is an essential nutrient for plant growth and Ca concentrations in forage have important implications for ruminant diet and health.It remains an open question whether forage Ca concentration would be decrea...Calcium(Ca)is an essential nutrient for plant growth and Ca concentrations in forage have important implications for ruminant diet and health.It remains an open question whether forage Ca concentration would be decreased by increasing nitrogen(N)deposition.We manipulated the increasing rates of N addition(2008–2015)in a semiarid grassland,northern China.Plant Ca concentrations for all species were examined in each plot under N treatment.The Ca concentrations at functional group and community levels were calculated based on the concentration of each species presented and their relative biomass in each plot.We found that community-level Ca concentration remained stable across a gradient of wide-ranged N addition rates,although Ca concentration at both species and functional group levels showed negative responses to N enrichment.Given that forbs had higher Ca concentration than grasses,the increasing relative biomass of forbs canceled out the negative responses of species-level and functional group-level Ca concentration.Our results further showed that community Ca pool showed a positive but saturating response to N addition,with a threshold at the rate of 10 g N m^(−2)yr^(−1).Our findings highlight the role of changes in plant relative biomass in controlling the responses of forage Ca concentration and stock to N enrichment.展开更多
基金supported by the R&D Special Fund for Public Welfare Industry (Meteorology) (Grant No. GYHY201306019)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41375104)the China-UK-Swiss Adapting to Climate Change in China Project (ACCC)-Climate Science
文摘Four sets of climate change simulations at grid spacing of 50 km were conducted over East Asia with two regional climate models driven at the lateral bounda- ries by two global models for the period 1981-2050. The locus of the study was on the ensemble projection of cli- mate change in the mid-21st century （2031-50） over China. Validation of each simulation and the ensemble average showed good performances of the models overall, as well as advantages of the ensemble in reproducing present day （1981 2000） December-February （DJF）, June-August （JJA）, and annual （ANN） mean temperature and precipitation. Significant wanning was projected for the mid-21st century, with larger values of temperature increase found in the northern part of China and in the cold seasons. The ensemble average changes of precipitation in DJF, JJA, and ANN were determined, and the uncertainties of the projected changes analyzed based on the consistencies of the simulations. It was concluded that the largest uncertainties in precipitation projection are in eastern China during the summer season （monsoon pre-cipitation）.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41222034 and 41421004)
文摘The interannual variability of global temperature and precipitation during the last millennium is analyzed using the results of ten coupled climate models participating in the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase 3. It is found that large temperature(precipitation) variability is most dominant at high latitudes(tropical monsoon regions), and the seasonal magnitudes are greater than the annual mean. Significant multi-decadal-scale changes exist throughout the whole period for the zonal mean of both temperature and precipitation variability, while their long-term trends are indistinctive. The volcanic forcings correlate well with the temperature variability at midlatitudes, indicating possible leading drivers for the interannual time scale climate change.
基金The work is supported by NKBRSF, PR China, No. 2oo2CBII1507 The National Key of Science and Technology, No. 2oo4BAso8B22 the Chinese National Natural Science Foundation （90302006, 90511026）；the Hundred Talents Program （2004401, KZCX3-SW-339） of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Project for 0utstanding Scientists （40121101） of the National Natural Science Foundation of China.
文摘The data of 16o national meteorological observatory （NMO） stations with long-term monthly temperature data for China were analyzed in this study to show the basin-centered summer temperature decrease against global warming in the past half century. The summer and winter isotherm structures of 1950s and 1990s worked out by interpolation show the isotherm structure variations： the isotherm structure generally moves northward in winter, but in summer it is characterized with separate high-temperature and low-temperature centers and the isotherm structure moves inward the centers with global warming, indicating that the temperature in the highland areas increases but that in the lowland areas decreases in the summer of the duration. The possible mechanism of the basin-centered temperature decrease in summer is discussed in this paper.
基金supported by the National Natural Sciences Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41530425 and 41425019)
文摘Based on experiments with the Community Earth System Model, version 1(Community Atmosphere Model, version 5)[CESM1(CAM5)], and an observational dataset, we found that CESM1-CAM5 is able to reproduce global monsoon(GM)features, including the patterns of monsoon precipitation and monsoon domains, the magnitude of GM precipitation(GMP,the local summer precipitation), GM area(GMA), and GM percentage(the ratio of the local summer precipitation to annual precipitation). Under the Paris Agreement temperature goals, the GM in CESM1-CAM5 displays the following changes:(1)The GMA is ambiguous under the 1.5℃ temperature goal and increases under the 2.0℃ temperature goal. The increase mainly results from a change in the monsoon percentage.(2) The GM, land monsoon and ocean monsoon precipitation all significantly increase under both the 1.5℃ and 2.0℃ goals. The increases are mainly due to the enhancement of humidity and evaporation.(3) The percentages of GM, land monsoon and ocean monsoon feature little change under the temperature goals.(4) The lengths of the GM, land monsoon and ocean monsoon are significantly prolonged under the temperature goals.The increase in precipitation during the monsoon withdrawal month mainly accounts for the prolonged monsoons. Regarding the differences between the 1.5℃ and 2.0℃ temperature goals, it is certain that the GMP displays significant discrepancies.In addition, a large-scale enhancement of ascending motion occurs over the southeastern Tibetan Plateau and South China under a warming climate, whereas other monsoon areas experience an overall decline in ascending motion. This leads to an extraordinary wetting over Asian monsoon areas.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (2012CB955603)the Natural Science Foundation of China (41076115)Basic Scientific Research Operating Expenses of Ocean University of China
文摘In this study,the temporal and spatial variations of observed global oceanic precipitation during 1979-2010 are investigated.It is found that the global trend in precipitation during this period varies at a rate of 1.5％/K of surface warming while the rate is 6.6％/K during 2006-2010.The precipitation is highly correlated with Sea Surface Temperature （SST） in both the temporal and the spatial patterns since the strong 1997-98 E1 Ni（n）o event.Considering the distributions of precipitation and SST,seven oceanic regions are classified and presented using the observed Global Precipitation Climatology Project （GPCP） data and Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperatures,version 3 （ERSST.v3） data.Further examining the mechanisms of the classified oceanic precipitation regions is conducted using the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission （TRMM） satellite,GFDL-ESM-2G model precipitation and SST data and Hadley Center sea ice and SST version 1 （HadISST1） data.More than 85％ of global oceanic precipitations are controlled by either one or both of the warmer-get-wetter mechanism and wet-get-wetter mechanism.It is estimated that a 0.5 SST signal-to-noise ratio,representing the trend of SST time series to the standard deviation,is a criterion to distinguish the mechanism of a region.When the SST ratio is larger than 0.5,the precipitation of this region is controlled by the warmer-get-wetter mechanism.SST,rather than the humidity,is the pivotal factor.On the other hand,when the SST ratio is less than 0.5,the precipitation is controlled by the wet-get-wetter mechanism.The SST variability is a significant factor contributing to the precipitation variation.
基金funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China(31770503,31822006,31901141)K.C.Wong Education Foundation(GJTD-2019-10)+2 种基金Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA23070103)Youth Innovation Promotion Association of Chinese Academy of Sciences(2018032)Liaoning Revitalizing Talents Program(XLYC1807061).
文摘Calcium(Ca)is an essential nutrient for plant growth and Ca concentrations in forage have important implications for ruminant diet and health.It remains an open question whether forage Ca concentration would be decreased by increasing nitrogen(N)deposition.We manipulated the increasing rates of N addition(2008–2015)in a semiarid grassland,northern China.Plant Ca concentrations for all species were examined in each plot under N treatment.The Ca concentrations at functional group and community levels were calculated based on the concentration of each species presented and their relative biomass in each plot.We found that community-level Ca concentration remained stable across a gradient of wide-ranged N addition rates,although Ca concentration at both species and functional group levels showed negative responses to N enrichment.Given that forbs had higher Ca concentration than grasses,the increasing relative biomass of forbs canceled out the negative responses of species-level and functional group-level Ca concentration.Our results further showed that community Ca pool showed a positive but saturating response to N addition,with a threshold at the rate of 10 g N m^(−2)yr^(−1).Our findings highlight the role of changes in plant relative biomass in controlling the responses of forage Ca concentration and stock to N enrichment.
