In this paper, the theory and method of the fuzzy mathematics areused to probe the connection between the activity of the active region and characterizat ion of the sunspot groups, to build the subordinating function ...In this paper, the theory and method of the fuzzy mathematics areused to probe the connection between the activity of the active region and characterizat ion of the sunspot groups, to build the subordinating function according to the rela tionship between them and to evaluate comprehensively the activity of the active region on t he solar disk. The precise prediction of activity of the active regions has been obta ined by data reduction and analysis. The predicting accuracy is higher th an 95% . Forecast results indicate that the method of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluatio n is a good one for the solar activity prediction.展开更多
基金This work was supported by the National Weighty Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 49990451).
文摘In this paper, the theory and method of the fuzzy mathematics areused to probe the connection between the activity of the active region and characterizat ion of the sunspot groups, to build the subordinating function according to the rela tionship between them and to evaluate comprehensively the activity of the active region on t he solar disk. The precise prediction of activity of the active regions has been obta ined by data reduction and analysis. The predicting accuracy is higher th an 95% . Forecast results indicate that the method of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluatio n is a good one for the solar activity prediction.
