中部欠发达地区农民“市民化地”选择研究——基于场域理论视角

运用文献分析和田野调查方法,对中部欠发达地区的3个村民组的农民家庭进行考察,研究了影响他们"市民化地"选择的主要因素,认为场域变迁、资本积累、传统惯习以及家庭与区域未来发展预期是影响农民"市民化地"选择的重要因素。提出通过优化农民工返乡就业环境、加强对农民工返乡创业支持、推进公共服务城乡均等化、加快实施乡村振兴战略,引导农民工返乡选择"市民化地",从而加速推进中部欠发达地区城镇化发展和实现乡村振兴战略目标。

个人特征、城市特征与流动人口户籍迁移意愿--基于分层广义线性模型

在我国人口老龄化、城市间开展人才抢夺战背景下,深入了解人口户籍迁移意愿的影响因素对城市社会经济发展和社会治理极为重要。本文借助2017年全国流动人口动态监测调查数据及反映31个省会城市及直辖市的公共服务水平数据,运用分层广义线性模型,从个人和城市两个层面探究流动人口户籍迁移意愿的影响因素。研究表明:从个人层面来说,流动人口的个体特征、经济特征、社会特征、心理特征对户籍迁移意愿起到显著的直接影响;从城市层面来说,城市特征中的社会保障、环境设施、医疗卫生对流动人口户籍迁移意愿也产生直接影响,其中医疗卫生对户籍迁移意愿的影响是反向的。与此同时,城市特征中的社会保障、环境设施、医疗卫生、基础教育、公共就业都通过影响个人特征对户籍迁移意愿起到了间接作用,具体表现为“5个正向促进,2个反向弱化”。

Urbanization of Migrant Workers and Expansion of Domestic Demand

This paper explores, from the perspective of general equilibrium, the relationship between urbanizing migrant workers and increasing domestic demand. Why should China adopt the strategy of relying on domestic demand to develop its economy？ Countering the impact of declining external demand is only a temporary reason for doing so, and the more fundamental reason is the need to change the ＂dual imbalance＂ in today’s economy： the imbalance between internal and external economic arrangements and the industry structural imbalance, as well as the need to take full advantage of the domestic market to achieve the goal of industrialization. The latent consumption demand of migrant workers will be fully released if realistic measures are taken to accelerate the pace of turning migrant workers into urban residents. This will help neutralize the negative impact of reduced external demand, as well as rectifying the structural imbalances in the Chinese economy and upgrading China’s industrialization and urbanization.