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企业破产预测实证模型评述 被引量:2
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作者 王利娜 《河北经贸大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第3期51-54,共4页
随着计量方法的改进,对企业破产的实证预测,重新成为理论界和实务界关注的重点。40年来代表性的破产预测实证模型包括专家评分系统、分离模型、多元分离模型、Logit模型、生存分析模型、神经网络模型等。对于每种模型的假设前提、所选... 随着计量方法的改进,对企业破产的实证预测,重新成为理论界和实务界关注的重点。40年来代表性的破产预测实证模型包括专家评分系统、分离模型、多元分离模型、Logit模型、生存分析模型、神经网络模型等。对于每种模型的假设前提、所选择的解释变量、预测能力以及可能的局限性进行评述,可以得出结论:多元分离模型虽然传统,但实用性最强;分时风险模型因为改善了分离模型的静态性,预测准确率也更高,是目前应用最广泛的模型。 展开更多
关键词 破产预测 多元分离模型 分时风险模型
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Real-time lane departure warning system based on principal component analysis of grayscale distribution and risk evaluation model 被引量:4
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作者 张伟伟 宋晓琳 张桂香 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第4期1633-1642,共10页
A technology for unintended lane departure warning was proposed. As crucial information, lane boundaries were detected based on principal component analysis of grayscale distribution in search bars of given number and... A technology for unintended lane departure warning was proposed. As crucial information, lane boundaries were detected based on principal component analysis of grayscale distribution in search bars of given number and then each search bar was tracked using Kalman filter between frames. The lane detection performance was evaluated and demonstrated in ways of receiver operating characteristic, dice similarity coefficient and real-time performance. For lane departure detection, a lane departure risk evaluation model based on lasting time and frequency was effectively executed on the ARM-based platform. Experimental results indicate that the algorithm generates satisfactory lane detection results under different traffic and lighting conditions, and the proposed warning mechanism sends effective warning signals, avoiding most false warning. 展开更多
关键词 lane departure warning system lane detection lane tracking principal component analysis risk evaluation model ARM-based real-time system
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Higher parity associated with higher risk of death from gastric cancer
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作者 Chih-Ching Chang Chih-Cheng Chen +1 位作者 Hui-Fen Chiu Chun-Yuh Yang 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2011年第6期784-788,共5页
AIM:To examine the association between parity and gastric cancer (the cases are almost all premenopausal women) risk in a cohort of young parous women.METHODS:The study cohort consisted of all women with a record of a... AIM:To examine the association between parity and gastric cancer (the cases are almost all premenopausal women) risk in a cohort of young parous women.METHODS:The study cohort consisted of all women with a record of a first and singleton childbirth in the Birth Register between 1978 and 1987.We tracked each woman from the time of her first childbirth to December 31,2008.Their vital status was ascertained by linking records to the computerized mortality database.Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios of death from gastric cancer associated with parity.RESULTS:There were 1090 gastric cancer deaths (85.87% of them were premenopausal) during 33686828 person-years of follow-up.The mortality rate of gastric cancer was 3.24 cases per 100000 person-years.A trend of increasing risk of gastric cancer was seen with increasing parity.The adjusted hazard ratio was 1.24 [confidence interval (95% CI):1.02-1.50] for women who had borne two to three children,and 1.32 (95% CI:1.01-1.72) for women with four or more births,when compared with women who had given birth to only one child.CONCLUSION:These results suggest that higher parity may increase the risk of death from gastric cancer among premenopausal women. 展开更多
关键词 Gastric cancer PARITY MORTALITY Cohort study
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