Alpine treeline, as a prominent ecological boundary between forested mountain slopes and alpine meadow/shrub, is highly complex in altitudinal distribution and sensitive to warming climate. Great efforts have been mad...Alpine treeline, as a prominent ecological boundary between forested mountain slopes and alpine meadow/shrub, is highly complex in altitudinal distribution and sensitive to warming climate. Great efforts have been made to explore their distribution patterns and ecological mechanisms that determine these patterns for more than 100 years, and quite a number of geographical and ecophysiological models have been developed to correlate treeline altitude with latitude or a latitude related temperature. However,on a global scale, all of these models have great difficulties to accurately predict treeline elevation due to the extreme diversity of treeline site conditions.One of the major reasons is that "mass elevation effect"(MEE) has not been quantified globally and related with global treeline elevations although it has been observed and its effect on treeline elevations in the Eurasian continent and Northern Hemisphere recognized. In this study, we collected and compiled a total of 594 treeline sites all over the world from literatures, and explored how MEE affects globaltreeline elevation by developing a ternary linear regression model with intra-mountain base elevation(IMBE, as a proxy of MEE), latitude and continentality as independent variables. The results indicated that IMBE, latitude and continentality together could explain 92% of global treeline elevation variability, and that IMBE contributes the most(52.2%), latitude the second(40%) and continentality the least(7.8%) to the altitudinal distribution of global treelines. In the Northern Hemisphere, the three factors' contributions amount to 50.4%, 45.9% and 3.7% respectively; in the south hemisphere, their contributions are 38.3%, 53%, and 8.7%, respectively. This indicates that MEE, virtually the heating effect of macro-landforms, is actually the most significant factor for the altitudinal distribution of treelines across the globe, and that latitude is relatively more significant for treeline elevation in the Southern Hemisphere probably due to fewer macro-landforms there.展开更多
The controversy between the IPCC and Non-governmental IPCC(NIPCC) on the attribution of global warming are reviewed.IPCC holds that today's global warming is mainly due to anthropogenic activities rather than natu...The controversy between the IPCC and Non-governmental IPCC(NIPCC) on the attribution of global warming are reviewed.IPCC holds that today's global warming is mainly due to anthropogenic activities rather than natural variability,which is emphasized by NIPCC.The surface temperature observations since the mid-20th century support the hypothesis of anthropogenic impact,but for the last one hundred years or so,natural forcings such as solar activity, volcanic eruptions and thermohaline circulation variations also have had great influences on the Earth's climate,especially on inter-decadal timescales.In addition,evidence suggests that the Medieval Warm Period(MWP) and Little Ice Age (LIA) are closely associated with the solar activity over the past 1 thousand years.Over the past 10 thousand years, the North Atlantic cold events and solar activity are closely correlated.Nevertheless,the physical mechanisms of the solar-climate variability and interrelation are not well understood,yet.Notably,a prevailing view recently indicates that galactic cosmic rays may result in climatic cooling through modulating global low cloud cover.However,its process and mechanism need to be further investigated.展开更多
The observed global mean temperature is the highest on record for the past decade but has plateaued to form an apparent"hiatus"in global temperature rise,with an almost zero short-term trend. Several speaker...The observed global mean temperature is the highest on record for the past decade but has plateaued to form an apparent"hiatus"in global temperature rise,with an almost zero short-term trend. Several speakers presented results on the hiatus and suggested possible mechanisms.展开更多
The eastern edge of the western Pacific warm pool (WPWP) in the upper layer (shallower than 50m) exhibits significant zonal displacements on interannual scale. Employing an intermediate ocean model, the dynamic me...The eastern edge of the western Pacific warm pool (WPWP) in the upper layer (shallower than 50m) exhibits significant zonal displacements on interannual scale. Employing an intermediate ocean model, the dynamic mechanism for the interannual zonal displacement of the WPWP eastern edge in the upper layer is investigated by diagnosing the dynamic impacts of zonal current anomalies induced by wind, waves (Kelvin and Rossby waves), and their boundary reflections. The interannual zonal displacements of the WPWP eastern edge in the upper layer and the zonal current anomaly in the equatorial Pacific west of ll0~W for more than 30 years can be well simulated. The modeling results show that zonal current anomalies in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific are the dominant dynamic mechanism for the zonal displacements of the eastern edge of the upper WPWP warm water. Composite analyses suggest that the zonal current anomalies induced by waves dominate the zonal displacement of the WPWP eastern edge, whereas the role played by zonal wind-driven current anomalies is very small. A sensitivity test proves that the zonal current anomalies associated with reflected waves on the western and eastern Pacific boundaries can act as a restoring force that results in the interannual reciprocating zonal motion of the WPWP eastern edge.展开更多
In this study,the temporal and spatial variations of observed global oceanic precipitation during 1979-2010 are investigated.It is found that the global trend in precipitation during this period varies at a rate of 1....In this study,the temporal and spatial variations of observed global oceanic precipitation during 1979-2010 are investigated.It is found that the global trend in precipitation during this period varies at a rate of 1.5%/K of surface warming while the rate is 6.6%/K during 2006-2010.The precipitation is highly correlated with Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in both the temporal and the spatial patterns since the strong 1997-98 E1 Ni(n)o event.Considering the distributions of precipitation and SST,seven oceanic regions are classified and presented using the observed Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) data and Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperatures,version 3 (ERSST.v3) data.Further examining the mechanisms of the classified oceanic precipitation regions is conducted using the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite,GFDL-ESM-2G model precipitation and SST data and Hadley Center sea ice and SST version 1 (HadISST1) data.More than 85% of global oceanic precipitations are controlled by either one or both of the warmer-get-wetter mechanism and wet-get-wetter mechanism.It is estimated that a 0.5 SST signal-to-noise ratio,representing the trend of SST time series to the standard deviation,is a criterion to distinguish the mechanism of a region.When the SST ratio is larger than 0.5,the precipitation of this region is controlled by the warmer-get-wetter mechanism.SST,rather than the humidity,is the pivotal factor.On the other hand,when the SST ratio is less than 0.5,the precipitation is controlled by the wet-get-wetter mechanism.The SST variability is a significant factor contributing to the precipitation variation.展开更多
With the global warming,the disasters of Glacier Lake Outburst Flood(GLOF) have taken place frequently in Tibet in recent years and attracted more and more attention.A systematic survey was conducted on the 19 GLOFs i...With the global warming,the disasters of Glacier Lake Outburst Flood(GLOF) have taken place frequently in Tibet in recent years and attracted more and more attention.A systematic survey was conducted on the 19 GLOFs in Tibet to study their two main mechanisms.Investigations indicated that all the events occurred in end-moraine lakes,and the outburst occurred partially and instantly.And the breach had the shape of an arc or a trapezoid in overflow outburst and its top width was 3-5 times more than the height.The two main mechanisms of GLOFs in Tibetan end-moraine Lake were overflow and piping,and the overflow mechanism caused by iceberg collapse was dominated in most cases.A formula was proposed to calculate the critical thickness of iceberg tongue that determines the collapse.Granular analysis of the moraine materials revealed that seepage deformation is crucial in the outburst process.Finally,we conducted a case study of the Guangxiecuo Lake to show its possible process of outburst and estimated the peak discharge of the resulted flood.展开更多
Based on the historical observed data and the modeling results,this paper investigated the seasonal variations in the Taiwan Warm Current Water(TWCW)using a cluster analysis method and examined the contributions of th...Based on the historical observed data and the modeling results,this paper investigated the seasonal variations in the Taiwan Warm Current Water(TWCW)using a cluster analysis method and examined the contributions of the Kuroshio onshore intrusion and the Taiwan Strait Warm Current(TSWC)to the TWCW on seasonal time scales.The TWCW has obviously seasonal variation in its horizontal distribution,T-S characteristics and volume.The volume of TWCW is maximum(13746 km^3)in winter and minimum(11397 km^3)in autumn.As to the contributions to the TWCW,the TSWC is greatest in summer and smallest in winter,while the Kuroshio onshore intrusion northeast of Taiwan Island is strongest in winter and weakest in summer.By comparison,the Kuroshio onshore intrusion make greater contributions to the Taiwan Warm Current Surface Water(TWCSW)than the TSWC for most of the year,except for in the summertime(from June to August),while the Kuroshio Subsurface Water(KSSW)dominate the Taiwan Warm Current Deep Water(TWCDW).The analysis results demonstrate that the local monsoon winds is the dominant factor controlling the seasonal variation in the TWCW volume via Ekman dynamics,while the surface heat fl ux can play a secondary role via the joint ef fect of baroclinicity and relief.展开更多
To study the effects of perceived control on human thermal sensation and thermal comfort in heated environments,a psychological experiment was conducted.In total,24 subjects participated in an experiment.The experimen...To study the effects of perceived control on human thermal sensation and thermal comfort in heated environments,a psychological experiment was conducted.In total,24 subjects participated in an experiment.The experiment consisted of two cases in which the indoor temperature was set at 18℃ with different cold radiation temperatures.The experiment lasted for 120 min and was divided into three phases,adaptation,without perceived control and perceived control.In the second phase,the subjects were told in advance that the indoor temperature could not be adjusted.In the third phase,subjects were told that they could adjust the indoor temperature to meet their own thermal expectations,but the indoor temperature could not actually be changed.The results showed that the effect of perceived control on thermal sensation was related to the thermal expectation.For people with strong expectations for a neutral environment,perceived control improved their thermal sensation by satisfying their thermal expectations.For people with low thermal expectations,perceived control reduced their thermal tolerance to the environment,eventually leading to thermal discomfort.These new findings provide more supports for the importance of psychological effects and a reference for the personal control of heating temperatures.展开更多
In Turkey, most of the common type projects of mass production residential buildings are being developed and constructed by TOK1 (Housing Development Administration of Turkey). These buildings, in which energy effic...In Turkey, most of the common type projects of mass production residential buildings are being developed and constructed by TOK1 (Housing Development Administration of Turkey). These buildings, in which energy efficient approach has been disregarded for years, cause to gradually increase on heating and cooling energy consumptions. In regards to national economics, it is essential to evaluate energy efficiency and to develop suggestions to decrease energy consumptions in residential buildings. To achieve appropriate solutions, cost evaluation also becomes necessary. Therefore, this paper aims to introduce a study which serves the purpose of producing a choice of energy efficient solutions in order to reduce energy consumptions and energy cost. In this study, different heating and cooling energy efficient scenarios have been developed for a selected residential building, constructed by TOKI, for climatic zones of Turkey. For each scenario, energy simulations have been executed by means of the simulation program--DesignBuilder, the user-friendly visual interface of EnergyPlus, and cost analysis has been carried out by using the net present value and discounted payback period method. As a result, energy and cost effective solutions have been presented and discussed for different climatic zones.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41030528 and No. 40971064)
文摘Alpine treeline, as a prominent ecological boundary between forested mountain slopes and alpine meadow/shrub, is highly complex in altitudinal distribution and sensitive to warming climate. Great efforts have been made to explore their distribution patterns and ecological mechanisms that determine these patterns for more than 100 years, and quite a number of geographical and ecophysiological models have been developed to correlate treeline altitude with latitude or a latitude related temperature. However,on a global scale, all of these models have great difficulties to accurately predict treeline elevation due to the extreme diversity of treeline site conditions.One of the major reasons is that "mass elevation effect"(MEE) has not been quantified globally and related with global treeline elevations although it has been observed and its effect on treeline elevations in the Eurasian continent and Northern Hemisphere recognized. In this study, we collected and compiled a total of 594 treeline sites all over the world from literatures, and explored how MEE affects globaltreeline elevation by developing a ternary linear regression model with intra-mountain base elevation(IMBE, as a proxy of MEE), latitude and continentality as independent variables. The results indicated that IMBE, latitude and continentality together could explain 92% of global treeline elevation variability, and that IMBE contributes the most(52.2%), latitude the second(40%) and continentality the least(7.8%) to the altitudinal distribution of global treelines. In the Northern Hemisphere, the three factors' contributions amount to 50.4%, 45.9% and 3.7% respectively; in the south hemisphere, their contributions are 38.3%, 53%, and 8.7%, respectively. This indicates that MEE, virtually the heating effect of macro-landforms, is actually the most significant factor for the altitudinal distribution of treelines across the globe, and that latitude is relatively more significant for treeline elevation in the Southern Hemisphere probably due to fewer macro-landforms there.
基金supported by National Basic Research Program of China(No.2010CB950104)
文摘The controversy between the IPCC and Non-governmental IPCC(NIPCC) on the attribution of global warming are reviewed.IPCC holds that today's global warming is mainly due to anthropogenic activities rather than natural variability,which is emphasized by NIPCC.The surface temperature observations since the mid-20th century support the hypothesis of anthropogenic impact,but for the last one hundred years or so,natural forcings such as solar activity, volcanic eruptions and thermohaline circulation variations also have had great influences on the Earth's climate,especially on inter-decadal timescales.In addition,evidence suggests that the Medieval Warm Period(MWP) and Little Ice Age (LIA) are closely associated with the solar activity over the past 1 thousand years.Over the past 10 thousand years, the North Atlantic cold events and solar activity are closely correlated.Nevertheless,the physical mechanisms of the solar-climate variability and interrelation are not well understood,yet.Notably,a prevailing view recently indicates that galactic cosmic rays may result in climatic cooling through modulating global low cloud cover.However,its process and mechanism need to be further investigated.
文摘The observed global mean temperature is the highest on record for the past decade but has plateaued to form an apparent"hiatus"in global temperature rise,with an almost zero short-term trend. Several speakers presented results on the hiatus and suggested possible mechanisms.
基金Supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (No. 2006CB403606)the National Special Project: Chinese Offshore Investigation and Assessment (Nos. 908-02-01-02, 908-ZC-I-13)+1 种基金the Open Fund of State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics (No. 200601)the Scientific Research Foundation of Third Institute of Oceanography, SOA (No. 2009003)
文摘The eastern edge of the western Pacific warm pool (WPWP) in the upper layer (shallower than 50m) exhibits significant zonal displacements on interannual scale. Employing an intermediate ocean model, the dynamic mechanism for the interannual zonal displacement of the WPWP eastern edge in the upper layer is investigated by diagnosing the dynamic impacts of zonal current anomalies induced by wind, waves (Kelvin and Rossby waves), and their boundary reflections. The interannual zonal displacements of the WPWP eastern edge in the upper layer and the zonal current anomaly in the equatorial Pacific west of ll0~W for more than 30 years can be well simulated. The modeling results show that zonal current anomalies in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific are the dominant dynamic mechanism for the zonal displacements of the eastern edge of the upper WPWP warm water. Composite analyses suggest that the zonal current anomalies induced by waves dominate the zonal displacement of the WPWP eastern edge, whereas the role played by zonal wind-driven current anomalies is very small. A sensitivity test proves that the zonal current anomalies associated with reflected waves on the western and eastern Pacific boundaries can act as a restoring force that results in the interannual reciprocating zonal motion of the WPWP eastern edge.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (2012CB955603)the Natural Science Foundation of China (41076115)Basic Scientific Research Operating Expenses of Ocean University of China
文摘In this study,the temporal and spatial variations of observed global oceanic precipitation during 1979-2010 are investigated.It is found that the global trend in precipitation during this period varies at a rate of 1.5%/K of surface warming while the rate is 6.6%/K during 2006-2010.The precipitation is highly correlated with Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in both the temporal and the spatial patterns since the strong 1997-98 E1 Ni(n)o event.Considering the distributions of precipitation and SST,seven oceanic regions are classified and presented using the observed Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) data and Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperatures,version 3 (ERSST.v3) data.Further examining the mechanisms of the classified oceanic precipitation regions is conducted using the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite,GFDL-ESM-2G model precipitation and SST data and Hadley Center sea ice and SST version 1 (HadISST1) data.More than 85% of global oceanic precipitations are controlled by either one or both of the warmer-get-wetter mechanism and wet-get-wetter mechanism.It is estimated that a 0.5 SST signal-to-noise ratio,representing the trend of SST time series to the standard deviation,is a criterion to distinguish the mechanism of a region.When the SST ratio is larger than 0.5,the precipitation of this region is controlled by the warmer-get-wetter mechanism.SST,rather than the humidity,is the pivotal factor.On the other hand,when the SST ratio is less than 0.5,the precipitation is controlled by the wet-get-wetter mechanism.The SST variability is a significant factor contributing to the precipitation variation.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.41201010)the Technology Project of the Ministry of Transport(Grant No.201231879210)+2 种基金the Directional Projectof IMHE (No.SDS-135-1202-02)Opening Fund of State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection (Grant No.SKLGP2010K003)Open Research Fund of State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin,China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research (Grant NO.IWHR-SKL-201209)
文摘With the global warming,the disasters of Glacier Lake Outburst Flood(GLOF) have taken place frequently in Tibet in recent years and attracted more and more attention.A systematic survey was conducted on the 19 GLOFs in Tibet to study their two main mechanisms.Investigations indicated that all the events occurred in end-moraine lakes,and the outburst occurred partially and instantly.And the breach had the shape of an arc or a trapezoid in overflow outburst and its top width was 3-5 times more than the height.The two main mechanisms of GLOFs in Tibetan end-moraine Lake were overflow and piping,and the overflow mechanism caused by iceberg collapse was dominated in most cases.A formula was proposed to calculate the critical thickness of iceberg tongue that determines the collapse.Granular analysis of the moraine materials revealed that seepage deformation is crucial in the outburst process.Finally,we conducted a case study of the Guangxiecuo Lake to show its possible process of outburst and estimated the peak discharge of the resulted flood.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41506020,41476019,41528601)the CAS Strategy Pioneering Program(No.XDA110020104)+2 种基金the Foundation for Innovative Research Groups of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41421005)the NSFC-Shandong Joint Fund for Marine Science Research Centers(No.U1406401)the Global Change and Air-Sea Interaction(No.GASI-03-01-01-02)
文摘Based on the historical observed data and the modeling results,this paper investigated the seasonal variations in the Taiwan Warm Current Water(TWCW)using a cluster analysis method and examined the contributions of the Kuroshio onshore intrusion and the Taiwan Strait Warm Current(TSWC)to the TWCW on seasonal time scales.The TWCW has obviously seasonal variation in its horizontal distribution,T-S characteristics and volume.The volume of TWCW is maximum(13746 km^3)in winter and minimum(11397 km^3)in autumn.As to the contributions to the TWCW,the TSWC is greatest in summer and smallest in winter,while the Kuroshio onshore intrusion northeast of Taiwan Island is strongest in winter and weakest in summer.By comparison,the Kuroshio onshore intrusion make greater contributions to the Taiwan Warm Current Surface Water(TWCSW)than the TSWC for most of the year,except for in the summertime(from June to August),while the Kuroshio Subsurface Water(KSSW)dominate the Taiwan Warm Current Deep Water(TWCDW).The analysis results demonstrate that the local monsoon winds is the dominant factor controlling the seasonal variation in the TWCW volume via Ekman dynamics,while the surface heat fl ux can play a secondary role via the joint ef fect of baroclinicity and relief.
基金Project(2018YFC0704500)supported by the National Key R&D Program of China during the 13th Five-Year Plan Period。
文摘To study the effects of perceived control on human thermal sensation and thermal comfort in heated environments,a psychological experiment was conducted.In total,24 subjects participated in an experiment.The experiment consisted of two cases in which the indoor temperature was set at 18℃ with different cold radiation temperatures.The experiment lasted for 120 min and was divided into three phases,adaptation,without perceived control and perceived control.In the second phase,the subjects were told in advance that the indoor temperature could not be adjusted.In the third phase,subjects were told that they could adjust the indoor temperature to meet their own thermal expectations,but the indoor temperature could not actually be changed.The results showed that the effect of perceived control on thermal sensation was related to the thermal expectation.For people with strong expectations for a neutral environment,perceived control improved their thermal sensation by satisfying their thermal expectations.For people with low thermal expectations,perceived control reduced their thermal tolerance to the environment,eventually leading to thermal discomfort.These new findings provide more supports for the importance of psychological effects and a reference for the personal control of heating temperatures.
文摘In Turkey, most of the common type projects of mass production residential buildings are being developed and constructed by TOK1 (Housing Development Administration of Turkey). These buildings, in which energy efficient approach has been disregarded for years, cause to gradually increase on heating and cooling energy consumptions. In regards to national economics, it is essential to evaluate energy efficiency and to develop suggestions to decrease energy consumptions in residential buildings. To achieve appropriate solutions, cost evaluation also becomes necessary. Therefore, this paper aims to introduce a study which serves the purpose of producing a choice of energy efficient solutions in order to reduce energy consumptions and energy cost. In this study, different heating and cooling energy efficient scenarios have been developed for a selected residential building, constructed by TOKI, for climatic zones of Turkey. For each scenario, energy simulations have been executed by means of the simulation program--DesignBuilder, the user-friendly visual interface of EnergyPlus, and cost analysis has been carried out by using the net present value and discounted payback period method. As a result, energy and cost effective solutions have been presented and discussed for different climatic zones.