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基于灰色系统理论的加工番茄产量预测模型研究 被引量:15
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作者 袁莉 姜波 《安徽农业科学》 CAS 北大核心 2011年第17期10099-10100,10107,共3页
[目的]研究基于灰色系统理论的加工番茄产量预测模型。[方法]运用灰色系统理论研究了加工番茄产量变化趋势,建立了加工番茄产量预测的GM(1,1)灰模型,并以2001~2009年新疆加工番茄产量为例,进行了实例分析。[结果]该模型有较高的预测精... [目的]研究基于灰色系统理论的加工番茄产量预测模型。[方法]运用灰色系统理论研究了加工番茄产量变化趋势,建立了加工番茄产量预测的GM(1,1)灰模型,并以2001~2009年新疆加工番茄产量为例,进行了实例分析。[结果]该模型有较高的预测精度和较强的泛化能力,对近期加工番茄产量的预测是可靠的。[结论]为新疆地区番茄产业的宏观调控、番茄加工及储藏等方面提供了参考。 展开更多
关键词 加工番茄产量 灰色系统理论 灰色预测模型
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加工番茄产量组合预测模型研究 被引量:9
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作者 韩泽群 姜波 《中国农学通报》 CSCD 2013年第3期161-165,共5页
为了实现加工番茄产量的精准预测,通过采用方差倒数法来确定权重,将一元线性回归模型、灰色预测模型和指数平滑模型加以组合,根据2001—2009年新疆某加工番茄种植及产量数据,建立了加工番茄产量组合预测模型。以预测2010年和2011年番茄... 为了实现加工番茄产量的精准预测,通过采用方差倒数法来确定权重,将一元线性回归模型、灰色预测模型和指数平滑模型加以组合,根据2001—2009年新疆某加工番茄种植及产量数据,建立了加工番茄产量组合预测模型。以预测2010年和2011年番茄产量为例,结果表明此组合预测模型与单一预测模型相比更加准确可靠。该研究为加工番茄产业决策支持系统的建立奠定了理论基础。 展开更多
关键词 决策支持系统 加工番茄产量 组合预测模型
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Study on the Yield Prediction Model of Processing Tomato Based on the Grey System Theory 被引量:1
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作者 袁莉 姜波 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2011年第5期632-633,642,共3页
[Objective] The research aimed to study the yield prediction model of processing tomato based on the grey system theory.[Method] The variation trend of processing tomato yield was studied by using the grey system theo... [Objective] The research aimed to study the yield prediction model of processing tomato based on the grey system theory.[Method] The variation trend of processing tomato yield was studied by using the grey system theory,and GM(1,1)grey model of processing tomato yield prediction was established.The processing tomato yield in Xinjiang during 2001-2009 was as the example to carry out the instance analysis.[Result] The model had the high forecast accuracy and strong generalization ability,and was reliable for the prediction of recent processing tomato yield.[Conclusion] The research provided the reference for the macro-control of tomato industry,the processing and storage of tomato in Xinjiang. 展开更多
关键词 Grey system theory Grey prediction model Processing tomato yield
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Yield Response to Deficit Irrigation and Partial Root-Zone Drying in Processing Tomato (Lycopersicon esculentum Mill,) 被引量:3
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作者 Eugenio Nardella Marcella Michela Giuliani Giuseppe Gatta Antonio De Caro 《Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology(A)》 2012年第2期209-219,共11页
Due to the global expansion of irrigated areas and the limited availability of irrigation water, it is necessary to optimize water use in order to maximize crop yields under water deficit conditions. To evaluate the y... Due to the global expansion of irrigated areas and the limited availability of irrigation water, it is necessary to optimize water use in order to maximize crop yields under water deficit conditions. To evaluate the yield response of two processing tomato hybrids (Ercole and Genius) grown under different irrigation treatments, a field trial was conducted during the 2008 growing season in Southern Italy. Three irrigation treatments were used: the restitution of 70% of maximum evapotranspiration (ETc) both under "Deficit Irrigation" (70DI) and "Partial Root-zone Drying" (70PRD) strategies; full irrigated (FI: 100% ETc). The two water deficit irrigation treatments (DI and PRD) showed stomatal conductance values lower than FI treatment and saved a substantial amount of water maintaining reasonable marketable yield. Moreover, PRD strategy showed slightly higher "Water Use Efficiency" (WUE) values than DI. Finally, "yield response factor" (Ky) showed always values less than unity, indicating the possibility to adopt, within certain limited condition, both DI and PRD in field-grown processing tomato cultivated in Southern Italy. In conclusion, in our experimental conditions, deficit irrigation practices seem to be acceptable relatively to processing tomato yield aspects and Ky could be promoted as a useful indicator for irrigation in water deficit conditions. 展开更多
关键词 TOMATO deficit irrigation partial root-zone drying WUE Ky.
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