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对两种估计单属性关系大小方法的可信度讨论
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作者 黄平 须德 张全寿 《北方交通大学学报》 CSCD 北大核心 1993年第4期416-419,共4页
估计两个单属性关系在连接属性上取相同值的个数的方法有两种:静态估计法和动态估计法.本文利用不精确性推理模型对这两种方法的可信度定量地进行讨论,并用具体例子进行说明.
关键词 数据库 静态估计 动态估计法
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过站航班地面保障服务时间估计
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作者 邢志伟 王超 +1 位作者 罗谦 魏志强 《中国民航大学学报》 CAS 2019年第6期39-45,共7页
为了准确估计过站航班地面保障服务时间,实现航班推出控制的精准化,提出了基于马尔科夫蒙特卡洛(MCMC)的过站航班地面保障服务时间估计方法。根据实际流程和时间建模,将地面保障服务过程抽象为理想化马尔科夫过程。结合蒙特卡洛方法动... 为了准确估计过站航班地面保障服务时间,实现航班推出控制的精准化,提出了基于马尔科夫蒙特卡洛(MCMC)的过站航班地面保障服务时间估计方法。根据实际流程和时间建模,将地面保障服务过程抽象为理想化马尔科夫过程。结合蒙特卡洛方法动态模拟各理想化环节的分布,利用皮尔逊卡方拟合方法检验分布的真实性。根据实际流程优化马尔科夫蒙特卡洛网状结构,并通过随机数获得结构的动态参数,由实际作业逻辑关系动态估计过站航班地面保障服务时间。结合国内某中部机场的实际运行数据仿真验证,结果表明,动态方法的平均绝对误差比静态方法少0.8 min,且误差波动较为平稳,从而验证方法的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 过站航班 地面保障服务时间 动态估计法 马尔科夫蒙特卡洛 皮尔逊卡方拟合验证 MCMC标准差
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不完美信息扩展式博弈中在线虚拟遗憾最小化 被引量:8
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作者 胡裕靖 高阳 安波 《计算机研究与发展》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2014年第10期2160-2170,共11页
研究在不完美信息扩展式博弈中对次优对手弱点的利用.针对该领域中一种常用方法——对手建模方法——的不足,提出了从遗憾最小化的角度来利用次优对手弱点的思想,并基于一种离线的均衡计算方法——虚拟遗憾最小化方法——将其扩展到在... 研究在不完美信息扩展式博弈中对次优对手弱点的利用.针对该领域中一种常用方法——对手建模方法——的不足,提出了从遗憾最小化的角度来利用次优对手弱点的思想,并基于一种离线的均衡计算方法——虚拟遗憾最小化方法——将其扩展到在线博弈的场景中,实现对次优对手弱点的利用.提出了从博弈结果中估计各个信息集的虚拟价值的方法,给出2种估计手段:静态估计法和动态估计法.静态估计法直接从博弈结果的分布中进行估计,并对每个结果给以相等的估计权重;而动态估计法则对新产生的博弈结果给以较高的估计权重,以便快速地适应对手的策略变化.基于2种估计方法,提出在线博弈中虚拟遗憾最小化的算法,并在基于单牌扑克的实验中,与4种在线学习算法(DBBR,MCCFR-os,Q-learning,Sarsa)进行了对比.实验结果显示所提出的算法不仅对较弱对手的利用效果最好,还能在与4种对比算法的比赛中取得最高的胜率. 展开更多
关键词 扩展式博弈 不完美信息 遗憾最小化 虚拟遗憾最小化 静态估计 动态估计法
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Environmental Regulation,Pollution Treatment Productivity,and Industrial Environmental TFP in China 被引量:2
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作者 梁泳梅 董敏杰 《China Economist》 2015年第4期98-123,共26页
Amidst growing environmental protection intensity by the Chinese government, this paper investigates the effects of environmental regulation on China's industrial pollution treatment productivity and environmental TF... Amidst growing environmental protection intensity by the Chinese government, this paper investigates the effects of environmental regulation on China's industrial pollution treatment productivity and environmental TFP. By estimating China's pollution treatment productivity between 2001 and 2008 and analyzing environmental regulation intensity and the effects of the relevant factors and pollution treatment productivity using panel data, this paper discovers that (1) pollution treatment productivity contributed a significant share of about 40% to industrial environmental TFP during the investigation period; (2) environmental regulation may not necessarily cause adverse impacts on pollution treatment efficiency and productivity but demonstrates a U-shaped relationship: when the share of pollution treatment cost in industrial value-added is above the range of 3.8%-5.1%, environmental regulation is likely to promote pollution treatment productivity and thus environmental TFP Judging by the estimation result, enhancing environmental protection and expediting the development of ecological civilization are conducive to China "s economic transition towards an intensive, efficient, circular, and sustainable development pattern. China's current industrial development has the capacity to tolerate a rather demanding level of pollution treatment and management and China needs to further rely on energy conservation and the environmental production industries to promote the progress of pollution treatment technologies. 展开更多
关键词 environmental regulation industrial environmental TFP pollution treatment productivity dynamic panel the Generalized Method of Moments.
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A Universal Fairness Evaluation Framework for Resource Allocation in Cloud Computing 被引量:3
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作者 LU Di MA Jianfeng XI Ning 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第5期113-122,共10页
In cloud computing,fairness is one of the most significant indicators to evaluate resource allocation algorithms,which reveals whether each user is allocated as much as that of all other users having the same bottlene... In cloud computing,fairness is one of the most significant indicators to evaluate resource allocation algorithms,which reveals whether each user is allocated as much as that of all other users having the same bottleneck.However,how fair an allocation algorithm is remains an urgent issue.In this paper,we propose Dynamic Evaluation Framework for Fairness(DEFF),a framework to evaluate the fairness of an resource allocation algorithm.In our framework,two sub-models,Dynamic Demand Model(DDM) and Dynamic Node Model(DNM),are proposed to describe the dynamic characteristics of resource demand and the computing node number under cloud computing environment.Combining Fairness on Dominant Shares and the two sub-models above,we finally obtain DEFF.In our experiment,we adopt several typical resource allocation algorithms to prove the effectiveness on fairness evaluation by using the DEFF framework. 展开更多
关键词 resource allocation fairness evaluation cloud computing
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Gross Error Detection and Identification Based on Parameter Estimation for Dynamic Systems 被引量:1
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作者 姜春阳 邱彤 +1 位作者 赵劲松 陈丙珍 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2009年第3期460-467,共8页
The detection and identification of gross errors, especially measurement bias, plays a vital role in data reconciliation for nonlinear dynamic systems. Although parameter estimation method has been proved to be a pow-... The detection and identification of gross errors, especially measurement bias, plays a vital role in data reconciliation for nonlinear dynamic systems. Although parameter estimation method has been proved to be a pow-erful tool for bias identification, without a reliable and efficient bias detection strategy, the method is limited in ef-ficiency and cannot be applied widely. In this paper, a new bias detection strategy is constructed to detect the pres-ence of measurement bias and its occurrence time. With the help of this strategy, the number of parameters to be es-timated is greatly reduced, and sequential detections and iterations are also avoided. In addition, the number of de-cision variables of the optimization model is reduced, through which the influence of the parameters estimated is reduced. By incorporating the strategy into the parameter estimation model, a new methodology named IPEBD (Improved Parameter Estimation method with Bias Detection strategy) is constructed. Simulation studies on a con-tinuous stirred tank reactor (CSTR) and the Tennessee Eastman (TE) problem show that IPEBD is efficient for eliminating random errors, measurement biases and outliers contained in dynamic process data. 展开更多
关键词 gross error detection data reconciliation parameter estimation
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Development of Vibrating Monitoring for Hydro Power Turbines under Operating Condition
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作者 Skvorcov Oleg 《Journal of Mechanics Engineering and Automation》 2014年第11期878-886,共9页
Units and components of the powerful power equipment are exposed to the big static and dynamic load. An example of such equipments is turbines hydraulic power plant and, especially, hydroelectric pumped storage power ... Units and components of the powerful power equipment are exposed to the big static and dynamic load. An example of such equipments is turbines hydraulic power plant and, especially, hydroelectric pumped storage power plant. Existing techniques of control of a vibrating condition do not consider: very wide frequency range of vibrating processes, difficult character of such processes in the form of the sum multiharmonic, random and close to shock processes. Such techniques usually do not consider intervals of start-up and stop, and also work on transitive modes when loadings on a construction are maximum. Available techniques of an estimation of admissible level of vibrating influence and tests for vibration durability are not harmonized enough among themselves. Various known interpretations of communication of vibrating characteristics and durability estimations on mechanical pressure at broadband vibrating influence yield ambiguous result. On the basis of the analysis of the published information, we attempt to formulate the requirement to system of vibrating monitoring of the hydraulic turbine and power motor pumps. System should provide data acquisition and the analysis of the data on a vibrating condition taking into account accumulation of vibrating influences and long term of operation on the basis of estimation methods as low-cycle, and high-cycle (gigacycle) fatigue is made. 展开更多
关键词 Vibrating durability shock random transitive modes water-wheel ACCELERATION velocity DISPLACEMENT pumped-storage
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Comparison of Linearized Kalman Filter and Extended Kalman Filter for Satellite Motion States Estimation 被引量:1
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作者 杨亚非 《Journal of Measurement Science and Instrumentation》 CAS 2011年第4期307-311,共5页
The performance of the conventional Kalman filter depends on process and measurement noise statistics given by the system model and measurements.The conventional Kalman filter is usually used for a linear system,but i... The performance of the conventional Kalman filter depends on process and measurement noise statistics given by the system model and measurements.The conventional Kalman filter is usually used for a linear system,but it should not be used for estimating the state of a nonlinear system such as a satellite motion because it is difficult to obtain the desired estimation results.The linearized Kalman filtering approach and the extended Kalman filtering approach have been proposed for a general nonlinear system.The equations of satellite motion are described.The satellite motion states are estimated,and the relevant estimation errors are calculated through the estimation algorithms of the both above mentioned approaches implemented in Matlab are estimated.The performances of the extended Kalman filter and the linearized Kalman filter are compared.The simulation results show that the extended Kalman filter is much better than the linearized Kalman filter at the aspect of estimation effect. 展开更多
关键词 nonlinear filtering approach nonlinear system satellite orbit state space state estimation
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我国铁路与公路运输总产出效应之对比分析
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作者 叶彬 《商场现代化》 2013年第24期99-101,共3页
交通运输业的平衡稳定快速发展是保证可持续发展的关键环节。目前我国各种运输方式之间的发展水平极不平衡,尤其是公路运输的飞速发展与铁路运输的缓慢攀爬形成鲜明对比。而通过建立动态面板数据模型,可对比分析我国目前公路与铁路运输... 交通运输业的平衡稳定快速发展是保证可持续发展的关键环节。目前我国各种运输方式之间的发展水平极不平衡,尤其是公路运输的飞速发展与铁路运输的缓慢攀爬形成鲜明对比。而通过建立动态面板数据模型,可对比分析我国目前公路与铁路运输总产出效应的差异,进而反映现阶段二者发展水平的差距。分析结果显示:从统计意义上看,铁路运输网密度具有正的总产出效应,而公路运输网密度具有负的总产出效应;从另一个侧面反映了当前我国铁路运输业仍落后于经济发展,证明了发展高速铁路的重要性。 展开更多
关键词 铁路 公路 运输网密度 总产出效应 动态面板数据模型广义矩估计
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Optimal sensor scheduling for hybrid estimation
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作者 LIU Jian-liang SUN Yao +2 位作者 YANG Jian LIU Wei-yi CHEN Wei-min 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第8期2186-2194,共9页
A sensor scheduling problem was considered for a class of hybrid systems named as the stochastic linear hybrid system (SLHS). An algorithm was proposed to select one (or a group of) sensor at each time from a set ... A sensor scheduling problem was considered for a class of hybrid systems named as the stochastic linear hybrid system (SLHS). An algorithm was proposed to select one (or a group of) sensor at each time from a set of sensors. Then, a hybrid estimation algorithm was designed to compute the estimates of the continuous and discrete states of the SLHS based on the observations from the selected sensors. As the sensor scheduling algorithm is designed such that the Bayesian decision risk is minimized, the true discrete state can be better identified. Moreover, the continuous state estimation performance of the proposed algorithm is better than that of hybrid estimation algorithms using only predetermined sensors. Finallyo the algorithms are validated through an illustrative target tracking example. 展开更多
关键词 sensor scheduling hybrid systems Bayesian decision risk target tracking
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A dynamic phasor estimation algorithm based on angle-shifted energy operator 被引量:1
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作者 JIN XiaNing WANG FuPing WANG ZanJi 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第6期1322-1329,共8页
Under dynamic conditions, the signals of power system have time-varying magnitude and frequency, which might lead to considerable errors for synchrophasor measurement. The traditional discrete Fourier transform (DFT) ... Under dynamic conditions, the signals of power system have time-varying magnitude and frequency, which might lead to considerable errors for synchrophasor measurement. The traditional discrete Fourier transform (DFT) based algorithms used in Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) are hard to meet the requirements of measurement accuracy because of the existence of spectral leakage. A dynamic phasor measurement algorithm is proposed in this paper in which the input sampled data are considered as non-stationary signals with amplitude modulation-frequency modulation (AM-FM) form, and the measurement is achieved by AM-FM demodulation. An angle-shifted energy operator (ASEO) is used to extract the instantaneous amplitude and low pass differential filter is introduced for frequency estimation. Simulation results indicate that the proposed algorithm can effectively improve the phasor measurement accuracy and has very short response time for PMU under dynamic conditions. 展开更多
关键词 synchronous phasor measurement discrete Fourier transform (DFT) dynamic conditions energy operator
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