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近35年江苏沿海气温变化对北半球增暖的响应 被引量:8
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作者 江志红 丁裕国 《南京气象学院学报》 CSCD 1998年第4期743-749,共7页
采用主分量分析与回归估计相结合的方法,研究近35年来江苏沿海气温变化对北半球增暖的响应状况。根据北半球平均增暖的条件,推求未来气候情景下该区各地增暖的可能幅度及其可靠性。结果表明,(1)北半球增暖背景下,本区夏季气温... 采用主分量分析与回归估计相结合的方法,研究近35年来江苏沿海气温变化对北半球增暖的响应状况。根据北半球平均增暖的条件,推求未来气候情景下该区各地增暖的可能幅度及其可靠性。结果表明,(1)北半球增暖背景下,本区夏季气温变化趋势和年际振动的响应,具有很大的不确定性;(2)除夏季以外,其余各季及年平均气温对北半球增暖的响应特征明显;增暖的敏感季节在冬季;当北半球增暖1℃时,本区一般有0.7~0.8℃的增暖,冬季最大,可达0.9℃以上;(3)对北半球平均增暖的响应敏感区和可靠区分别在苏北徐淮盐地区和沿海地带。 展开更多
关键词 气候变化 北半球增暖 回归估计 气温变化 江苏
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我国冬半年局地气温对北半球增暖响应的特征分析 被引量:3
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作者 唐鑫 丁裕国 《南京气象学院学报》 CSCD 1997年第2期259-264,共6页
采用主分量分析(PCA)与回归分析相结合的方法,研究北半球气候变化与我国区域气候变化的一些统计学关系。根据北半球平均增暖的条件,推求我国各地气温变化的统计估计模型,借助某些一般大气环流模式(AGCM)数值试验结果,计... 采用主分量分析(PCA)与回归分析相结合的方法,研究北半球气候变化与我国区域气候变化的一些统计学关系。根据北半球平均增暖的条件,推求我国各地气温变化的统计估计模型,借助某些一般大气环流模式(AGCM)数值试验结果,计算并分析了在CO2浓度倍增时,我国各地增温幅度及其置信区间。结果表明:我国各区域与北半球平均增暖趋势基本同步,但幅度不一;我国增暖敏感区主要在西北、华北和东北。 展开更多
关键词 北半球增暖 气温场 气候特征 局地气温
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Observations of gravity wave activity during stratospheric sudden warmings in the Northern Hemisphere 被引量:6
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作者 JIA Yue ZHANG ShaoDong +4 位作者 YI Fan HUANG ChunMing HUANG KaiMing GAN Quan GONG Yun 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第6期951-960,共10页
Arctic stratospheric sudden warming(SSW) with polar vortex displacement and splitting occurred in 2008 and 2009, respectively. The temperature profiles derived from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, ... Arctic stratospheric sudden warming(SSW) with polar vortex displacement and splitting occurred in 2008 and 2009, respectively. The temperature profiles derived from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate(COSMIC) along with NCEP/NCAR reanalysis are used to investigate the gravity wave(GW) variations during these SSW events. Some phenomena are characterized and possible mechanisms are discussed. The GW variations during both types of SSW events shared some similarities. During the warming events, enhanced zonal mean GW amplitudes are detected. The enhancements of GW amplitudes first appeared at higher altitudes and then progressed downward during the major warming events. The downward progressions correspond well with the height variations of the zonal wind reversal, and the enhancements seem to occur at the same time with the wind reversal. The spatial variations of GWs showed evident correlation to the polar vortex. Generally, GWs were enhanced at the edge of the polar vortex where the background wind was strong, whereas the areas with the largest GW amplitudes did not always correspond with those with the strongest background wind. The differences during the two types of SSW are also noticeable. In the 2008 major event, the magnitudes of the zonal mean GW enhancements during the downward progression were relatively stable, whereas in the 2009 major event, a clear reduction was detected as the GW enhancement was progressing downward. Also, the recovery time of the polar vortex was longer in 2009. These differences indicate that different types of SSWs may have different impacts on the GW. 展开更多
关键词 stratospheric sudden warming gravity wave COSMIC
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