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中国中部典型半湿润半干旱区近40年来气候变化特征 被引量:9
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作者 毛翠翠 平建华 左其亭 《水资源与水工程学报》 2012年第3期34-40,共7页
以新密市为例对中国中部典型半湿润半干旱区近40年来的气候变化特征进行分析。针对新密市1971-2010年年、季平均气温、蒸发量及降水量采用线性倾向估计、累积距平、Mann-Kendall检验方法进行趋势变化及突变分析。得出近40年来中国中部... 以新密市为例对中国中部典型半湿润半干旱区近40年来的气候变化特征进行分析。针对新密市1971-2010年年、季平均气温、蒸发量及降水量采用线性倾向估计、累积距平、Mann-Kendall检验方法进行趋势变化及突变分析。得出近40年来中国中部典型半湿润半干旱区气候变化特征表现为年、季平均气温持续上升,年平均气温线性变化率为每10年0.44℃,平均气温约上升了1.8℃;年、季平均蒸发量反而呈波动式减少趋势;年平均降水量并没有明显的增加或减少趋势,各季节降水量变化趋势各异。这些变化特征与全球变暖背景下我国范围内整体的气候变化趋势基本一致,但是各季节气候特征的年代际变化稍有差异。 展开更多
关键词 半湿润半干旱区 气温 蒸发量 降水量 变化特征
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定西市近47年气温、降水变化特征分析 被引量:12
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作者 孙润 尚军林 《陕西气象》 2015年第1期11-14,共4页
甘肃省定西市是典型黄土高原半湿润半干旱过渡区,该区域地处气候变化敏感区和生态环境脆弱带。基于定西市7县(区)1967—2013年气温、降水等资料,应用统计距平分析和线性趋势分析方法,分析了定西市近47a气温、降水变化的时间和空间特征... 甘肃省定西市是典型黄土高原半湿润半干旱过渡区,该区域地处气候变化敏感区和生态环境脆弱带。基于定西市7县(区)1967—2013年气温、降水等资料,应用统计距平分析和线性趋势分析方法,分析了定西市近47a气温、降水变化的时间和空间特征。结果表明:(1)全市年平均气温呈上升趋势,气候倾向率为0.355℃/10a;冬季气温增速最大。(2)全市降水量呈减少趋势,降水量递减率为11.026mm/10a;秋季降水量递减率在四季中最为明显。(3)就空间分布而言,漳县、陇西和岷县一带增温较快,渭源、临洮、漳县和岷县降水减少趋势较大。 展开更多
关键词 气温 降水量 气候变化特征 西北半湿润半干旱区 定西
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Global vulnerability to agricultural drought and its spatial characteristics 被引量:2
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作者 WU JianJun GENG GuangPo +3 位作者 ZHOU HongKui LIU JingHui WANG QianFeng YANG JianHua 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第5期910-920,共11页
As an important part of agricultural drought risk, agricultural drought vulnerability helps effectively prevent and alleviate drought impacts by quantifying the vulnerability as well as identifying its spatial distrib... As an important part of agricultural drought risk, agricultural drought vulnerability helps effectively prevent and alleviate drought impacts by quantifying the vulnerability as well as identifying its spatial distribution characteristics. In this study, global agricultural cultivation regions were chosen as the study area; six main crops(wheat, maize, rice, barley, soybean,sorghum) were selected as the hazard-affected body of agricultural drought. Then, global vulnerability to agricultural drought was assessed at a 0.5° resolution and finally, its distribution characteristics were revealed. The results indicated that the area percentages of different grades of global vulnerability to agricultural drought from low to very high were 38.96%, 28.41%,25.37%, and 7.26%, respectively. This means that the total area percentage of high and very high vulnerability zones exceeded30% of the study area. Although high and very high vulnerability zones were mainly distributed in arid and semi-arid regions,approximately 40% of those above were distributed in humid and semi-humid regions. In addition, only about 15% of the population in this study was located in the high vulnerability regions. Among the vulnerability factors, water deficit during the growing season and the irrigation area ratio are the key factors affecting regional vulnerability. Therefore, the vulnerability could be reduced by adjusting crop planting dates and structures as well as by improving irrigation level and capacity. 展开更多
关键词 Drought Vulnerability Agriculture Spatial distribution Globe
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