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上新世暖期和未来增暖背景下亚非夏季风降水变化的模拟对比研究 被引量:1
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作者 韩子轩 曲姝霖 +3 位作者 方恒 苏涛 李根 封国林 《第四纪研究》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第4期965-976,共12页
亚非夏季风降水对当地农业、水资源管理、粮食安全以及生态系统等均有广泛影响,其对全球变暖的响应特征是一个重要的科学问题。本研究基于上新世模式比较计划(PlioMIP2)的15个上新世暖期模式模拟数据和第六次国际耦合模式比较计划(CMIP6... 亚非夏季风降水对当地农业、水资源管理、粮食安全以及生态系统等均有广泛影响,其对全球变暖的响应特征是一个重要的科学问题。本研究基于上新世模式比较计划(PlioMIP2)的15个上新世暖期模式模拟数据和第六次国际耦合模式比较计划(CMIP6)的31个高排放情景SSP5-8.5模式模拟数据,对比分析了上新世暖期和未来增暖背景下亚非夏季风降水变化特征的差异及其成因机制。结果表明:在这两类气候增暖背景下,亚非夏季风降水都呈增加的趋势,然而对应于全球平均1℃升温,季风降水在上新世暖期的强度增幅(0.24 mm/day/℃)明显大于其在未来增暖情景的强度增幅(0.17 mm/day/℃),前者降水异常值约为后者的1.4倍。这种差异主要源于,对应于全球平均1℃升温,上新世暖期中高纬增温幅度显著强于未来增暖情景,而低纬度较小。上新世暖期低纬和北半球中高纬度之间的经向温度梯度减弱幅度更大,有利于亚非夏季风环流显著增强,从而导致亚非夏季风降水强度显著强于未来增暖时期。本研究表明,气候增暖背景下低纬与中高纬度之间的经向温度梯度变化对亚非夏季风具有显著影响,准确衡量暖期南-北半球间经向温度梯度的变化对预估区域季风和水循环变化至关重要。 展开更多
关键词 亚非夏季风降水 上新世 未来增情景 经向温度梯度 亚非夏季风环流
原文传递
Non-uniform spatial difference in the South Asian summer monsoon during the mid-Piacenzian
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作者 ZHANG Ran ZHANG Qing 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2017年第4期269-275,共7页
The South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) during the mid-Piacenzian is analyzed through climate modelling with CAM4. The model results reveal a non-uniform spatial difference in the SASM during the mid-Piacenzian compar... The South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) during the mid-Piacenzian is analyzed through climate modelling with CAM4. The model results reveal a non-uniform spatial difference in the SASM during the mid-Piacenzian compared to the pre-industrial era, with the SASM being more intense north of -20°N but weaker south of -20°N. In particular, summer precipitation is higher in South Asia north of -20°N, accompanied by anomalous low-level southwesterlies from the Arabian Sea, whereas the precipitation is lower in South Asia south of-20°N, with anomalous low-level easterlies. These differences in the SASM are related to changes in sea level pressure (SLP) due to the different boundary conditions between the two periods. Further analysis isolates the climate effects of the different boundary conditions and indicates the combined difference in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration and SST to be the most important factor in this difference in the SASM through the changes in SLR By comparison, the differences in vegetation and topography have limited effects. The availability of geological evidence is relative greater in northern India than in southern India, and comparison with this geological evidence shows the simulated monsoon climate to be qualitatively consistent with it, particularly for the wetter climate in northern India. 展开更多
关键词 VEGETATION TOPOGRAPHY South Asian summermonsoon mid-Piacenzian
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