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2010年5月6日福建省南部地区暴雨预报偏差原因分析
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作者 何小宁 刘爱鸣 《福建气象》 2010年第4期10-15,共6页
利用气象常规、非常规观测资料,对2010年5月6日福建南部一次暴雨预报失误进行分析。结果表明:预报失误的主要原因是对在前倾槽形势下,低空急流和切变迅速南压估计不足。低空急流和切变的迅速南压,在福建南部地区形成强的低空辐合,... 利用气象常规、非常规观测资料,对2010年5月6日福建南部一次暴雨预报失误进行分析。结果表明:预报失误的主要原因是对在前倾槽形势下,低空急流和切变迅速南压估计不足。低空急流和切变的迅速南压,在福建南部地区形成强的低空辐合,有利于水汽和能量的积累;200hPa强辐散和强烈深厚的上升运动为大暴雨的产生提供了动力条件。 展开更多
关键词 南部地区暴雨 预报偏差 前倾槽 物理量场分析
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Simulation of a Freezing Rain and Snow Storm Event over Southern China in January 2008 Using RIEMS 2.0 被引量:1
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作者 XIONG Zhe 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2013年第1期27-32,共6页
The Regional Integrated Environmental Model System (RIEMS 2.0) with NCEP Reanalysis II is utilized to simulate the severe freezing rain and snow storm event over southern China in January 2008, which caused severe d... The Regional Integrated Environmental Model System (RIEMS 2.0) with NCEP Reanalysis II is utilized to simulate the severe freezing rain and snow storm event over southern China in January 2008, which caused severe damage in the region. The relationships between the freezing rain process and the large-scale cir- culation, in terms of the westerly and low-level jets, water vapor transportation, and northerly wind area/intensity indices, were analyzed to tmderstand the mechanisms of the freezing rain occurrence. The results indicate the fol- lowing: (1) RIEMS 2.0 reproduced the pattern of precipi- tation in January 2008 well, especially for the temporal evolution of daily precipitation averaged over the Yangtze River valley and southern China; (2) RIEMS 2.0 repro- duced the persistent trough in the South Branch of the westerlies, of which the southwesterly currents trans- ported abundant moisture into southern China; (3) RIEMS 2.0 reasonably reproduced the pattern of frequencies of light and moderate rain, although it overestimated the frequency of rain in southern China. This study shows that RIEMS 2.0 can be feasibly applied to study extreme weather and climate events in East Asia. 展开更多
关键词 RIEMS 2.0 climate extremes freezing rain snow storm
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