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赤道东太平洋和印度洋-南海暖池海温场的协同作用对西太平洋副热带高压的影响 被引量:7
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作者 陈迪 高山红 +1 位作者 陈锦年 高山 《海洋学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第2期1-15,共15页
本文应用Hadley Center提供的全球最新海表温度资料,分析探讨了赤道太平洋和印度洋-南海(简称印-南)暖池区域海表面温度异常(SSTA)与西太平洋副热带高压(简称副高)变化的关系,结果表明,赤道东太平洋SSTA和印-南暖池区域SSTA对副高的影... 本文应用Hadley Center提供的全球最新海表温度资料,分析探讨了赤道太平洋和印度洋-南海(简称印-南)暖池区域海表面温度异常(SSTA)与西太平洋副热带高压(简称副高)变化的关系,结果表明,赤道东太平洋SSTA和印-南暖池区域SSTA对副高的影响存在明显的时空分布差异,它们二者对副高变化存在协同作用的影响。前者对副高的影响始于超前一年的春季,持续到当年的春季。后者则始于前冬,持续到当年的夏季。赤道东太平洋SSTA对副高的影响主要通过对经向环流影响所致,印-南暖池区域SSTA对副高影响的主要途径是通过经向环流和水汽输送,前者主要体现在对对流层中低层经向Hadley环流的影响,而后者主要体现在对对流层低层经向季风环流及其伴随的水汽输送的影响,它们二者对副高的影响机理存在不同。作者提出了赤道东太平洋和印-南暖池区域SSTA对副高存在协同影响作用,并通过最优子集回归分析,建立了副高异常变化的预测模型,对2015年5-8月副高强度进行了预测,其结果是5-8月的副高强度较常年偏强,扣除超强台风的影响,预测结果正确,由此可以认为,本文建立的预测模型是可靠的。这一工作的特点是强调了赤道东太平洋和印-南暖池的协同作用对副高持续性的影响,为副高异常变化及其降水的预测提供更为可靠的依据。 展开更多
关键词 副高 赤道东太平洋 印-南暖池 SSTA 最优子集回归 预测
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Monsoon-Ocean Coupled Modes in the South China Sea and Their Linkage with the Eastern Indian Ocean-Western Pacific Warm Pool
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作者 HUANG Fei YANG Yuxing HUANG Jian 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 SCIE CAS 2008年第1期35-42,共8页
Monsoon-ocean coupled modes in the South China Sea (SCS) were investigated by a combined singular value decomposition (CSVD) analysis based on sea surface temperature (SST) and sea surface wind stress (SWS) fi... Monsoon-ocean coupled modes in the South China Sea (SCS) were investigated by a combined singular value decomposition (CSVD) analysis based on sea surface temperature (SST) and sea surface wind stress (SWS) fields from SODA (Simple Ocean Data Assimilation) data spanning the period of 1950-1999. The coupled fields achieved the maximum correlation when the SST lagged SWS by one month, indicating that the SCS coupled system mainly reflected the response of the SST to monsoon forcing. Three significant coupled modes were found in the SCS, accounting for more than 80% of the cumulative squared covariance fraction. The first three SST spatial patterns from CSVD were: (Ⅰ) the monopole pattern along the isobaths in the SCS central basin; (Ⅱ) the north-south dipole pattern; and (Ⅲ) the west-east seesaw pattern. The expansion coefficient of the SST leading mode showed interdecadal and interannual variability and correlation with the Indo-Pacific warm pool (IPWP), suggesting that the SCS belongs to part of the IPWP at interannual and interdecadal time scales. The second mode had a lower correlation coefficient with the warm pool index because its main period was at intra-annual time scales instead of the interannual and interdecadal scales with the warm pools. The third mode had similar periods to those of the leading mode, but lagged the eastern Indian Ocean warm pool (EIWP) and western Pacific warm pool (WPWP) by five months and one year respectively, implying that the SCS response to the warm pool variation occurred from the western Pacific to the eastern Indian Ocean, which might have been related to the variation of Indonesian throughflow. All three modes in the SCS had more significant correlations with the EIWP, which means the SCS SST varied much more coherently with the EIWP than the WPWP, suggesting that the SCS belongs mostly to part of the EIWP. The expansion coefficients of the SCS SST modes all had negative correlations with the Nino3 index, which they lag by several months, indicating a remote response of SCS SST variability to the El Nifio events. 展开更多
关键词 air-sea coupled modes SCS warm pool
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