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城市道路人车冲突和碰撞概率微观模型研究 被引量:12
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作者 陆斯文 方守恩 李刚 《同济大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第12期1627-1632,共6页
利用临界间隙理论,定义了城市道路行人过街的安全感知特征;在此基础上,利用概率论方法,研究行人与机动车之间的交通冲突和碰撞微观机理,分别推导出人车冲突和碰撞概率微观模型.采用贝叶斯全概率公式和蒙特卡洛仿真方法求出具体的概率值... 利用临界间隙理论,定义了城市道路行人过街的安全感知特征;在此基础上,利用概率论方法,研究行人与机动车之间的交通冲突和碰撞微观机理,分别推导出人车冲突和碰撞概率微观模型.采用贝叶斯全概率公式和蒙特卡洛仿真方法求出具体的概率值,来分析行人安全感知、驾驶人反应时间、车流量及车速等对行人安全造成的影响.最后,基于人车冲突概率的90%置信水平,建立了行人过街的危险度评价指标,从而为交通管制实施提供最佳依据. 展开更多
关键词 交通安全 行人 冲突和碰撞概率微观模型 蒙特 卡洛仿真方法 危险度评价指标
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Intensity measures for seismic liquefaction hazard evaluation of sloping site
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作者 陈志雄 程印 +2 位作者 肖杨 卢谅 阳洋 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第10期3999-4018,共20页
This work investigates the correlation between a large number of widely used ground motion intensity measures(IMs) and the corresponding liquefaction potential of a soil deposit during earthquake loading. In order to ... This work investigates the correlation between a large number of widely used ground motion intensity measures(IMs) and the corresponding liquefaction potential of a soil deposit during earthquake loading. In order to accomplish this purpose the seismic responses of 32 sloping liquefiable site models consisting of layered cohesionless soil were subjected to 139 earthquake ground motions. Two sets of ground motions, consisting of 80 ordinary records and 59 pulse-like near-fault records are used in the dynamic analyses. The liquefaction potential of the site is expressed in terms of the the mean pore pressure ratio, the maximum ground settlement, the maximum ground horizontal displacement and the maximum ground horizontal acceleration. For each individual accelerogram, the values of the aforementioned liquefaction potential measures are determined. Then, the correlation between the liquefaction potential measures and the IMs is evaluated. The results reveal that the velocity spectrum intensity(VSI) shows the strongest correlation with the liquefaction potential of sloping site. VSI is also proven to be a sufficient intensity measure with respect to earthquake magnitude and source-to-site distance, and has a good predictability, thus making it a prime candidate for the seismic liquefaction hazard evaluation. 展开更多
关键词 soil liquefaction liquefaction potential index intensity measure(IM) pore pressure generation seismic response prediction
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