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暴雨内涝危险性情景模拟方法研究——以上海中心城区为例 被引量:14
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作者 黄清雨 董军刚 +1 位作者 李梦雅 王军 《地球信息科学学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第4期506-513,共8页
本文采用地理信息系统技术(GIS)与水文/水动力学相结合的方法,使用修正的SCS模型进行产流模拟,利用局部等体积法和水动力模型进行汇流模拟,建立了基于情景的城市暴雨内涝危险性模拟工具,并对相同雨强情景下不同汇流模型的模拟结果与精... 本文采用地理信息系统技术(GIS)与水文/水动力学相结合的方法,使用修正的SCS模型进行产流模拟,利用局部等体积法和水动力模型进行汇流模拟,建立了基于情景的城市暴雨内涝危险性模拟工具,并对相同雨强情景下不同汇流模型的模拟结果与精度进行了对比分析。结果表明:(1)局部等体积法计算简单,对降雨的时程分配较为敏感,峰前历时和雨强对结果影响显著,较适合于雨型确定的城市暴雨内涝危险性快速模拟;水动力模型计算复杂,与整个降雨历时存在明显关系,模拟精度较高。(2)利用台风"麦莎"带来强降雨导致的积水实测数据,对模拟结果进行对比和验证,表明本文建立的水动力模型法模拟结果与实测降雨积水更为接近,更适合上海中心城区暴雨内涝危险性情景模拟。 展开更多
关键词 暴雨内涝 危险性模拟 局部等体积法 水动力模型法 上海中心城区
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GIS COMPONENT BASED 3D LANDSLIDE HAZARD ASSESSMENT SYSTEM: 3DSLOPEGIS 被引量:4
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作者 XIE Mo-wen, ZHOU Guo-yun, ESAKI Tetsuro(Institute of Environmental Systems, Kyushu University, Hakozaki 6-10-1, Higashi Ku, Fukuoka, 812-8581, Japan) 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2003年第1期66-72,共7页
In this paper, based on a new Geographic Information System (GIS) grid-based three-dimensional (3D) deterministic model and taken the slope unit as the study object, the landslide hazard is mapped by the index of the ... In this paper, based on a new Geographic Information System (GIS) grid-based three-dimensional (3D) deterministic model and taken the slope unit as the study object, the landslide hazard is mapped by the index of the 3D safety factor. Compared with the one-dimensional (1D) model of infinite slope, which is now widely used for deterministic model based landslide hazard assessment in GIS, the GIS grid-based 3D model is more acceptable and is more adaptable for three-dimensional landslide. Assuming the initial slip as the lower part of an ellipsoid, the 3D critical slip surface in the 3D slope stability analysis is obtained by means of a minimization of the 3D safety factor using the Monte Carlo random simulation. Using a hydraulic model tool for the watershed analysis in GIS, an automatic process has been developed for identifying the slope unit from digital elevation model (DEM) data. Compared with the grid-based landslide hazard mapping method, the slope unit possesses clear topographical meaning, so its results are more credible. All the calculations are implemented by a computational program, 3DSlopeGIS, in which a GIS component is used for fulfilling the GIS spatial analysis function, and all the data for the 3D slope safety factor calculation are in the form of GIS data (the vector and the grid layers). Because of all these merits of the GIS-based 3D landslide hazard mapping method, the complex algorithms and iteration procedures of the 3D problem can also be perfectly implemented. 展开更多
关键词 geographic information system (GIS) three-dimensional slope stability montecarlo simulation slope unit landslide hazard
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Tsunami Hazard Assessment in the Alboran Sea for the Western Coast of Algeria
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作者 Lubna A. Amir 《Journal of Shipping and Ocean Engineering》 2014年第1期43-51,共9页
In October 1790, a destructive earthquake occurred near Oran city in the western part of Algeria (MSK, Medvdev-Sponheuer-Kamik macroseismic intensity: X). It generated a tsunami that inundated the Spanish and North... In October 1790, a destructive earthquake occurred near Oran city in the western part of Algeria (MSK, Medvdev-Sponheuer-Kamik macroseismic intensity: X). It generated a tsunami that inundated the Spanish and North Africa coasts. The regional tectonic includes NW-SE compressional stress in Algeria and NE-SW strike-slip structures in the Alboran basin. In this work, we identified tsunami sources for the Alboran from numerical modeling. The sea bottom displacement is calculated from the Okada equations. The tsunami's propagation is simulated with the SWAN code. The identified tsunami source for the 1790 event is a 7.5 magnitude earthquake at the entrance of the Oran harbor, with a pure reverse faulting, probably associated with the Murdjajo fold The tsunami wave height profile that is obtained for the city of Oran showed an initial withdrawal of the sea that was followed by tsunami waves reaching 2 meters in height. The results obtained in Spain agree with the observations reported in the literature. Finally, the simulations led to a better understanding of the interdisciplinary approach to be considered as for tsunami sources in the Alboran. Sedimentary mass-movements should be now included as an additional component in the tsunami hazard assessment for the West Mediterranean. The contribution of sedimentary disturbance due to the series of canyons offshore the western margin could induce water waves higher than 2 meters in Western Algeria. 展开更多
关键词 Alboran TSUNAMI modelling sedimentary mass-movements earthquake Western Algeria.
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