决策演化集的卷积预测

决策演化集是处理决策规则在时间序列上演化问题的理论,它将着眼点从静态的决策信息系统转移到动态的时间序列上,研究决策信息系统随时间变化时的演化规律,是一种新的决策规则研究方法.在决策演化集理论体系下预测规则伴随实际规则产生,因此预测规则必然对实际规则产生影响.为了解释预测规则和实体规则之间的相互关系,引人卷积方法,在时间序列上构建预测规则和实际规则的演化混合矩阵,并利用该矩阵对决策信息系统进行预测分析.

区域感知校准的自适应人群计数与定位方法

密集场景下准确人群计数和定位,对于保障公共安全具有重要的意义。针对密集人群计数与定位易受人群分布不均、背景干扰等因素的影响,导致计数定位不准确的问题,提出一种基于区域感知校准的自适应人群计数与定位方法。通过构建金字塔结构提取人群图像的多尺度特征,增强特征关联性,并设计可变形几何自适应模块学习不同分布的人群几何特征,以增强对人群分布不均的适应性。在此基础上,提出区域感知和区域校准模块,提取全局上下文特征和区域特征,克服了背景干扰造成的定位与计数不准问题。接着通过双分支卷积预测通路,输出生成点的预测位置和置信度分数,以提高网络的定位与计数精度。最后提出改进二分图最大匹配Hopcroft-Karp算法对真值点与预测点进行匹配校准,从而完成人群定位与计数。实验结果表明,所提方法分别在公开的ShanghaiTech Part A和Part B数据集、NWPU-Crowd数据集、UCF-QNRF数据集上评价指标均优于对比算法,且定位精度较P2Pnet分别提高了3.5%、6.1%、11.3%和8.1%,能够有效提高人群定位与计数的准确度。

Multi-dimension and multi-modal rolling mill vibration prediction model based on multi-level network fusion

Mill vibration is a common problem in rolling production,which directly affects the thickness accuracy of the strip and may even lead to strip fracture accidents in serious cases.The existing vibration prediction models do not consider the features contained in the data,resulting in limited improvement of model accuracy.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a multi-dimensional multi-modal cold rolling vibration time series prediction model(MDMMVPM)based on the deep fusion of multi-level networks.In the model,the long-term and short-term modal features of multi-dimensional data are considered,and the appropriate prediction algorithms are selected for different data features.Based on the established prediction model,the effects of tension and rolling force on mill vibration are analyzed.Taking the 5th stand of a cold mill in a steel mill as the research object,the innovative model is applied to predict the mill vibration for the first time.The experimental results show that the correlation coefficient(R^(2))of the model proposed in this paper is 92.5%,and the root-mean-square error(RMSE)is 0.0011,which significantly improves the modeling accuracy compared with the existing models.The proposed model is also suitable for the hot rolling process,which provides a new method for the prediction of strip rolling vibration.

A Lightweight Temporal Convolutional Network for Human Motion Prediction

A lightweight multi-layer residual temporal convolutional network model(RTCN)is proposed to target the highly complex kinematics and temporal correlation of human motion.RTCN uses 1-D convolution to efficiently obtain the spatial structure information of human motion and extract the correlation in the time series of human motion.The residual structure is applied to the proposed network model to alleviate the problem of gradient disappearance in the deep network.Experiments on the Human 3.6M dataset demonstrate that the proposed method effectively reduces the errors of motion prediction compared with previous methods,especially of long-term prediction.

Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Aeroengine Based on Principal Component Analysis and One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network

In order to directly construct the mapping between multiple state parameters and remaining useful life(RUL),and reduce the interference of random error on prediction accuracy,a RUL prediction model of aeroengine based on principal component analysis(PCA)and one-dimensional convolution neural network(1D-CNN)is proposed in this paper.Firstly,multiple state parameters corresponding to massive cycles of aeroengine are collected and brought into PCA for dimensionality reduction,and principal components are extracted for further time series prediction.Secondly,the 1D-CNN model is constructed to directly study the mapping between principal components and RUL.Multiple convolution and pooling operations are applied for deep feature extraction,and the end-to-end RUL prediction of aeroengine can be realized.Experimental results show that the most effective principal component from the multiple state parameters can be obtained by PCA,and the long time series of multiple state parameters can be directly mapped to RUL by 1D-CNN,so as to improve the efficiency and accuracy of RUL prediction.Compared with other traditional models,the proposed method also has lower prediction error and better robustness.