针对现有均值反转类策略存在的预测模型参数无法动态更新和未充分考虑动量效应的问题,提出一种策略M-ODMAR。使用简单移动平均模型对股票价格进行预测,并通过在线牛顿步(Online Newton Step,ONS)算法对模型参数进行动态更新;利用在线被...针对现有均值反转类策略存在的预测模型参数无法动态更新和未充分考虑动量效应的问题,提出一种策略M-ODMAR。使用简单移动平均模型对股票价格进行预测,并通过在线牛顿步(Online Newton Step,ONS)算法对模型参数进行动态更新;利用在线被动攻击(Passive Aggressive,PA)算法选取投资组合;使用L1中位数来提取价格动量信息并对投资组合进行调整。实验结果显示,在四个数据集上该策略的累积收益高于所对比的其他策略,说明了参数的动态更新和动量效应的加入对于均值反转类策略的累积收益提高具有促进作用。展开更多
The inhomogeneity of density and mechanical properties of A357 aluminum alloy in the semi-solid state were investigated.Numerical simulation and backward extrusion were adopted to study the preparation of cup shells.T...The inhomogeneity of density and mechanical properties of A357 aluminum alloy in the semi-solid state were investigated.Numerical simulation and backward extrusion were adopted to study the preparation of cup shells.The results show that the relative density of the wall is the lowest in samples,and that of the base is the highest.With increasing the billet height,more time is needed for relative density of the corner to reach the maximum value,and the relative densities in every region improve evidently with increasing the pressure.The tensile stress was simulated to be the largest at the corner,and the hot tearings were forecasted to mainly appear at the corner too.By employing proper billet height and pressure,the extruded samples consisted of fine and uniform microstructures,and can obtain excellent mechanical properties and Brinell hardness.展开更多
Soil dynamic parameters,including dynamic shear modulus ratio and damping ratio,have important effects on the results of layered soil earthquake response. In this paper,the mean parameter values of silty clay in diffe...Soil dynamic parameters,including dynamic shear modulus ratio and damping ratio,have important effects on the results of layered soil earthquake response. In this paper,the mean parameter values of silty clay in different depths are obtained after statistical analysis of the experimental soil dynamic data from 20 recent site seismic safety evaluation reports in the Beijing area. Furthermore,based on two typical engineering sites,the influence of four different soil dynamic parameters,the statistic mean values,experimental values, values recommended by Yuan Xiaoming,and the values recommended in the code for seismic safety evaluation of engineering sites( DB001-94) are analyzed. The result shows that mean statistical values are applicable to seismic safety evaluation work in the Beijing area,especially for some inter-layered silty clays whose undisturbed soil samples are hard to obtain.展开更多
文摘针对现有均值反转类策略存在的预测模型参数无法动态更新和未充分考虑动量效应的问题,提出一种策略M-ODMAR。使用简单移动平均模型对股票价格进行预测,并通过在线牛顿步(Online Newton Step,ONS)算法对模型参数进行动态更新;利用在线被动攻击(Passive Aggressive,PA)算法选取投资组合;使用L1中位数来提取价格动量信息并对投资组合进行调整。实验结果显示,在四个数据集上该策略的累积收益高于所对比的其他策略,说明了参数的动态更新和动量效应的加入对于均值反转类策略的累积收益提高具有促进作用。
基金Projects(50774026,50875059)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(20070420023)supported by the China Postdoctoral Science FoundationProject(2008AA03A239)supported by the High-tech Research and Development Program of China
文摘The inhomogeneity of density and mechanical properties of A357 aluminum alloy in the semi-solid state were investigated.Numerical simulation and backward extrusion were adopted to study the preparation of cup shells.The results show that the relative density of the wall is the lowest in samples,and that of the base is the highest.With increasing the billet height,more time is needed for relative density of the corner to reach the maximum value,and the relative densities in every region improve evidently with increasing the pressure.The tensile stress was simulated to be the largest at the corner,and the hot tearings were forecasted to mainly appear at the corner too.By employing proper billet height and pressure,the extruded samples consisted of fine and uniform microstructures,and can obtain excellent mechanical properties and Brinell hardness.
基金sponsored jointly by the Research Grants from Institute of Crustal Dynamics,CEA(NO. ZDJ2007-7)the 2007 Special Research Project 8-50 of the Department of Finance
文摘Soil dynamic parameters,including dynamic shear modulus ratio and damping ratio,have important effects on the results of layered soil earthquake response. In this paper,the mean parameter values of silty clay in different depths are obtained after statistical analysis of the experimental soil dynamic data from 20 recent site seismic safety evaluation reports in the Beijing area. Furthermore,based on two typical engineering sites,the influence of four different soil dynamic parameters,the statistic mean values,experimental values, values recommended by Yuan Xiaoming,and the values recommended in the code for seismic safety evaluation of engineering sites( DB001-94) are analyzed. The result shows that mean statistical values are applicable to seismic safety evaluation work in the Beijing area,especially for some inter-layered silty clays whose undisturbed soil samples are hard to obtain.