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南京市可持续发展系统模型的运行与检验 被引量:13
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作者 凌亢 王浣尘 陈传美 《武汉大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》 北大核心 2002年第1期64-69,共6页
南京市可持续发展系统模型具有问题研究、政策研究和结构分析三大功能。模型采用系统动力学专用的 DYNAMO语言实现模拟运算。模型中的参数有常数值、表函数和初始值等。模型有效性检验主要有结构适应性、行为适应性、模型行为与实际系... 南京市可持续发展系统模型具有问题研究、政策研究和结构分析三大功能。模型采用系统动力学专用的 DYNAMO语言实现模拟运算。模型中的参数有常数值、表函数和初始值等。模型有效性检验主要有结构适应性、行为适应性、模型行为与实际系统一致性的测试。灵敏性分析包括数值灵敏性。 展开更多
关键词 南京市 结构适应性 行为适应性 数值灵敏性 行为灵敏性 政策灵敏性 可持续发展系统模型 有效性 灵敏度
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基于城市化发展体系的城市生态环境评价与分析 被引量:23
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作者 李静 李雪铭 刘自强 《中国人口·资源与环境》 CSSCI 北大核心 2009年第1期156-161,共6页
基于城市化发展和城市生态环境之间交互耦合的作用机理,将城市化发展体系引入城市生态环境的评价系统中,将其作为生态环境评价的背景参照体系,应用系统相对状态发展度模型,定量测定相对于城市化发展体系的城市生态环境发展状况及变化情... 基于城市化发展和城市生态环境之间交互耦合的作用机理,将城市化发展体系引入城市生态环境的评价系统中,将其作为生态环境评价的背景参照体系,应用系统相对状态发展度模型,定量测定相对于城市化发展体系的城市生态环境发展状况及变化情况,并以环境优秀城市大连市进行实证研究。结果显示,1996至2005年期间大连市独立于城市化发展体系之外的大连市城市生态环境发展度综合指数表现为逐年上升的趋势,近年来上升速度有所减缓;引入城市化发展体系后,经过系统相对状态发展度模型的测定计算,大连市相对于城市化发展体系的城市生态环境系统发展度自1999年以后表现为逐年下降的趋势,相对发展度等级从"优质匹配"下降到"严重滞后"。说明大连市城市生态环境对城市化发展需求的满足和承载能力已经开始下降,对城市化持续、健康地发展造成了潜在威胁。 展开更多
关键词 城市化发展体系 城市生态环境发展 系统相对状态发展模型 大连
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粤港澳大湾区中心港口协调发展研究——以广州港和深圳港为例 被引量:1
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作者 麻雪娇 《物流工程与管理》 2023年第6期103-107,共5页
为研究粤港澳大湾区中心港口的协调发展,文中基于2012-2020年指标数据,以广州港和深圳港为研究对象,建立评价指标体系,构建系统发展度模型、离差系数协调度模型和协调发展度模型,量化研究港口子系统协调发展对广州港和深圳港发展以及港... 为研究粤港澳大湾区中心港口的协调发展,文中基于2012-2020年指标数据,以广州港和深圳港为研究对象,建立评价指标体系,构建系统发展度模型、离差系数协调度模型和协调发展度模型,量化研究港口子系统协调发展对广州港和深圳港发展以及港口整体系统发展的影响。结果表明,广州港和深圳港的协调水平对于港口整体系统的发展影响不大,但对于港口各自的发展影响较大。文中为粤港澳大湾区中心港口的发展布局提供了参考。 展开更多
关键词 粤港澳大湾区 中心港口 系统发展模型 离差系数协调度模型 协调发展模型
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面对WTO中国汽车背水一战──创立和实施“国家汽车创新工程”的政策建议 被引量:1
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作者 胡树华 《中国科技月报》 2000年第3期27-29,共3页
关键词 中国 汽车工业 WTO 汽车创新工程 发展系统模型
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中国主要省会城市化质量与生态环境压力空间分析 被引量:3
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作者 曹娟 张毅 +2 位作者 汪洋洋 李胜坤 刘志方 《安徽师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2016年第1期70-76,共7页
为探究城市化质量与生态环境压力之间的内在关系,运用因子分析法构建城市化质量评价指标体系,对我国主要省会城市2011年城市化质量进行了测度.采用生态环境压力指数法定量评价了各省会城市生态环境压力,用系统相对发展度模型分析了城市... 为探究城市化质量与生态环境压力之间的内在关系,运用因子分析法构建城市化质量评价指标体系,对我国主要省会城市2011年城市化质量进行了测度.采用生态环境压力指数法定量评价了各省会城市生态环境压力,用系统相对发展度模型分析了城市化质量与生态环境压力之间的协调性,用灰色关联与相关性分析了相对发展度与城市化质量与生态环境压力两大系统各指标间的灰色关联性及相关性.结果显示:(1)我国城市化质量整体不高,存在明显的空间差异,表现为城市化质量东部高于中部高于西部,且综合得分高的城市发展并不全面.(2)城市化质量、生态环境压力空间分布差异明显,两者之间存在明显的相关关系,但不能片面的说是正相关还是负相关.(3)不同发展阶段城市的相对发展度水平不同,人口密度、经济扩张和推进程度以及环境污染程度是差异分布的关键因素. 展开更多
关键词 城市化质量 生态环境压力 系统相对状态发展模型
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A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA 被引量:3
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作者 SUN Yan feng,GUO Huai cheng,QU Guang yi(Center for Environmental Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871,P. R. China) 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2002年第2期157-165,共9页
Miyun Reservoir was designated as the water source of Beijing City in 1982. Since that time, socio economic development in Miyun Area has been slowing due to the restriction of severe environmental standards. More and... Miyun Reservoir was designated as the water source of Beijing City in 1982. Since that time, socio economic development in Miyun Area has been slowing due to the restriction of severe environmental standards. More and more attention from the public and government has been paid to the regional sustainable development. And an effective planning for the local society management system is urgently desired. In this study, a regional sustainable development system dynamics model, named MiyunSD, is developed for supporting this planning task. MiyunSD consists of dynamic simulation models that explicitly consider information feedback that governs interactions in the system. Such models are capable of simulating the system′s behavior and predicting its developing situation of the future. For the study case, interactions among a number of system components within a time frame of fifteen years are examined dynamically. Three planning alternatives are carefully considered. The base run is based on an assumption that the existing pattern of human activities will prevail in the entire planning horizon, and the other alternatives are based on previous and present planning studies. The different alternatives will get different system′s environmental and socio economic results. Through analyzing these dynamic results, local authorities may find an optimal way to realize the objectives that the regional environment will be well protected and at the same time the economy will be rapidly developed. 展开更多
关键词 Miyun reservoir sustainable development MODEL POLICY MANAGEMENT system dynamics
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Quality Management Model Embodying Circular Economy and Sustainable Manufacture - Quality Concept Models Based on a Chinese Traditional Cultural Principle
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作者 CHEN Xiang-yu LIANG Gong-qian MA Shi-ning 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2005年第5期16-21,共6页
Based on circular economy and sustainable manufacture theories, the drawbacks in the existing quality management models are analyzed. The requests that satisfy the big system 'environment-society-economy' are ... Based on circular economy and sustainable manufacture theories, the drawbacks in the existing quality management models are analyzed. The requests that satisfy the big system 'environment-society-economy' are summarized to build up a model. A Chinese traditional cultural principle is applied and the relevant contents are sublimated as the platform to set up the model. The new quality management concept models are put forward: 'T-D-R' three dimension structures and 'ecological quality loop' model, from which the new quality concepts are formed. The paper elaborates the contents and the process of setting up the models. The big system quality problems can be handled by the new quality concept and model that are validated in practice. 展开更多
关键词 sustainable development quality management big system three dimension structures model
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Dynamics of populations with two sexes
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作者 M. Cecilia Perez E. Adriana Saavedra Mariano A. Ferrari 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 2015年第4期127-144,共18页
A mathematical model is presented in order to describe the dynamics of polygamous populations, bearing in mind single individuals of both sexes and the development of reproductive groups. In this context, the descript... A mathematical model is presented in order to describe the dynamics of polygamous populations, bearing in mind single individuals of both sexes and the development of reproductive groups. In this context, the description leads us to consider positive homogeneous dynamical systems, establishing conditions for the stationary state existence and its local stability. A fourth pre-reproductive stage was considered, i.e. males and females spend part of their lives before being in condition to reproduce, as a first step to consider more general models. Finally, we parametrized the proposed model using southern elephant seal data, to analyze the direct applicability to a real population. 展开更多
关键词 Dynamical systems two-sex model mating system local stability.
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