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气候变化对物种分布影响模拟中的不确定性组分分割与制图--以油松为例 被引量:36
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作者 张雷 刘世荣 +1 位作者 孙鹏森 王同立 《生态学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第19期5749-5761,共13页
物种分布模型是预测评估气候变化对物种分布影响的主要工具。为了降低物种分布模型在预测过程中的不确定性,近期有学者提出了采用组合预测的新方法,即采用多套建模数据、模型技术,模型参数,以及环境情景数据对物种分布进行预测,构成物... 物种分布模型是预测评估气候变化对物种分布影响的主要工具。为了降低物种分布模型在预测过程中的不确定性,近期有学者提出了采用组合预测的新方法,即采用多套建模数据、模型技术,模型参数,以及环境情景数据对物种分布进行预测,构成物种分布预测集合。但是,组合预测中各组分对变异的贡献还知之甚少,因此有必要把变异组分来源进行分割,以更有效地利用组合预测方法来降低模型预测中的不确定性。以油松为例,采用8个生态位模型,9套模型训练数据,3个GCM模型和一个SRES(A2)排放情景,模型分析了油松当前(1961—1990年)和未来气候条件下3个时间段(2010—2039年,2040—2069年,2070—2099年)的潜在分布。共计得到当前分布预测数据72套,未来每个时间段分布数据216套。采用开发的ClimateChina软件进行当前和未来气候数据的降尺度处理。采用Kappa、真实技巧统计方法(TSS)和接收机工作特征曲线下的面积(AUC)对模型预测能力进行评估。结果表明,随机森林(RF)、广义线性模型(GLM),广义加法模型(GAM)、多元自适应样条函数(MARS)以及助推法(GBM)预测效果较好,几乎不受建模数据之间差异的影响。混合判别分析模型(MDA)对建模数据之间的差异非常敏感,甚至出现建模失败现象。采用三因素方差分析方法对组合预测中的不确定性来源进行变异分割,结果表明,模型之间的差异对模拟预测结果不确定性的贡献最大且所占比例极高,而建模数据之间的差异贡献最小,GCM贡献居中。研究将有助于加深对物种分布模拟预测中不确定性的认识。 展开更多
关键词 物种分布模拟 不确定性 变异分割 气候变化 油松
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长白山次生林树种空间分布及环境解释 被引量:44
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作者 张春雨 赵秀海 夏富才 《林业科学》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第8期1-8,共8页
分析次生林群落中12个树种的空间格局,阐述树木种群空间分布与环境因子间的关系。结果表明:1)大多数环境因子和树种都表现出显著的正空间自相关,即存在空间聚集性结构;2)空间变异分割表明,环境因子主要制约幼树和小树的空间分布,而对大... 分析次生林群落中12个树种的空间格局,阐述树木种群空间分布与环境因子间的关系。结果表明:1)大多数环境因子和树种都表现出显著的正空间自相关,即存在空间聚集性结构;2)空间变异分割表明,环境因子主要制约幼树和小树的空间分布,而对大树影响较小;3)土壤水分和土壤pH值对树种分布影响较大,土壤营养(全氮、全磷和全钾)作用相对较小,土壤有机质、叶面积指数和光量子密度与树种空间变异之间无显著关系;4)在已知种群空间变异中,环境因子(包括环境变量单独解释部分、环境变量与空间变量交互作用部分)解释能力较低,而纯粹的空间变量(即空间变量单独解释部分)对种群空间变异具有较高的解释能力,说明一些未知的独立于环境因子的空间过程在树木种群空间格局的形成过程中发挥了重要作用。 展开更多
关键词 局部Moran’s 变异分割 环境解释 空间自相关
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Shadow detection combining characters of human vision
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作者 李建锋 邹北骥 +1 位作者 李玲芝 高焕芝 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第2期659-667,共9页
A shadow detection method using pulse couple neural network inspired by the characters of human visual system is proposed.More precisely,lateral inhibition of human vision and coefficient of variation are combined tog... A shadow detection method using pulse couple neural network inspired by the characters of human visual system is proposed.More precisely,lateral inhibition of human vision and coefficient of variation are combined together to improve the pulse couple neural network.Shadow detection is considered to be a shadow region segmentation problem.Experiment shows that the presented method is consistent with human vision compared to shadow detection methods based on HSV and pulse couple neural network(PCNN) by both subjective and objective assessments. 展开更多
关键词 pulse couple neural network lateral inhibition shadow detection coefficient of variation weight matrix human vision system
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Cutting the Gordian knot: Complex signaling in African cichlids is more than multimodal 被引量:1
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作者 Moira J. VAN STAADEN Adam R. SMITH 《Current Zoology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第2期237-252,共16页
The active transmission of information from sender to receiver is a fundamental component of communication, and is therefore a primary facet in evolutionary models of sexual selection. Research in several systems has ... The active transmission of information from sender to receiver is a fundamental component of communication, and is therefore a primary facet in evolutionary models of sexual selection. Research in several systems has underlined the importance of multiple sensory modalities in courtship signals. However, we still tend to think of individuals as having a relatively static signal in consecutive communicative events. While this may be true for certain traits such as body size or coloration, behaviorally modulated signals can quickly violate this assumption. In this work, we explore how intraspecific variation may be an important component of interspecific signal divergence using cichlid fishes from Lake Malawi. Behavioral analyses were made using six species of Malawian cichlids from two divergent genera. While interspecific differences were found between congeners based on species-level analyses of both acoustic and audiovisual signals, intraspecific variation was of a similar magnitude. Specifically, individual fishes were found to possess highly plastic signal repertoires. This finding was ubiquitous across all species and resuited in a great deal of overlap between heterospecific individuals, despite statistically distinct species means. These results demonstrate that some aspects of courtship in Malawian cichlids are more plastic than previously proposed, and that studies must account for signal variability within individuals. We propose here that behavioral variability in signaling is important in determining the communication landscape on which signals are perceived. We review potential complexity deriving from multimodal signaling, discuss the sources for such lability, and suggest ways in which this issue may be approached experimentally . 展开更多
关键词 CICHLID Motivation Intraspecific variability Mate preference MULTIMODAL
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