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水资源可持续承载能力概念及研究思路探讨 被引量:46
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作者 张丽 董增川 张伟 《水利学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2003年第10期108-112,118,共6页
本文在对水资源承载能力概念、研究现状、存在问题及其与可持续发展关系分析的基础上,从力学概念出发,将荷载作用下的结构构件与承载社会经济发展的水资源系统进行比较分析,认为水资源承载能力应准确的称为水资源可持续承载能力。针对... 本文在对水资源承载能力概念、研究现状、存在问题及其与可持续发展关系分析的基础上,从力学概念出发,将荷载作用下的结构构件与承载社会经济发展的水资源系统进行比较分析,认为水资源承载能力应准确的称为水资源可持续承载能力。针对当前水资源承载能力研究存在的问题,提出在可持续发展的框架下研究水资源承载能力的研究思路,选用反映水资源系统最终承载对象,即人口及其生活质量的指标作为水资源可持续承载能力指标,并对其作出了数学描述。 展开更多
关键词 水资源 承载能力 可持续承载能力 可持续发展 研究思路 指标 数学描述
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基于区域发展目标的兰州市水资源可持续承载能力预测研究 被引量:4
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作者 王军玺 刘严如 李月娇 《水利建设与管理》 2013年第3期81-86,共6页
基于水资源系统自身的特性及其影响因素,选取BP神经网络作为水资源可持续承载能力的量化方法,建立了水资源可持续承载能力与社会经济间的定量关系预测模型。运用该模型,参考兰州市"十二·五"期间的社会和经济发展目标,预... 基于水资源系统自身的特性及其影响因素,选取BP神经网络作为水资源可持续承载能力的量化方法,建立了水资源可持续承载能力与社会经济间的定量关系预测模型。运用该模型,参考兰州市"十二·五"期间的社会和经济发展目标,预测了同期兰州市水资源需求量,进行了水资源承载能力评价,并提出了相应的对策。 展开更多
关键词 预测模型 BP神经网络 可持续承载能力 发展目标 水资源
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基于发展目标的区域水资源可持续承载能力BP神经网络预测 被引量:2
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作者 袁辉 《甘肃科技》 2009年第12期36-39,共4页
基于水资源系统自身及其影响因素的特性,选取BP神经网络作为水资源承载能力的量化方法,建立了水资源承载能力与社会经济间的定量关系耦合预测模型。通过预测值和检验值的误差比较,表明预测模型精度较高。最后,预测了"十一五"... 基于水资源系统自身及其影响因素的特性,选取BP神经网络作为水资源承载能力的量化方法,建立了水资源承载能力与社会经济间的定量关系耦合预测模型。通过预测值和检验值的误差比较,表明预测模型精度较高。最后,预测了"十一五"期间兰州市水资源需求量,进行了水资源承载能力评价,并提出相应的对策。 展开更多
关键词 水资源 可持续承载能力 BP神经网络 预测模型
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Ecological Carrying Capacity in Beijing Mountainous Areas——Taking Fangshan District as an Example 被引量:3
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作者 穆松林 张义丰 +2 位作者 唐承财 王灵恩 刘玉 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2012年第11期2429-2433,共5页
[Objective] The aim was to investigate ecological carrying capacity of Fangshan District in Beijing. [Method] Ecological footprint and carrying capacity of Fangshan District in 2007 and 2008 were analyzed with ecologi... [Objective] The aim was to investigate ecological carrying capacity of Fangshan District in Beijing. [Method] Ecological footprint and carrying capacity of Fangshan District in 2007 and 2008 were analyzed with ecological footprint model and the difference between ecological footprint and carrying capacity there was con- cluded. Furthermore, an assessment was made on relation between Fangshan de- velopment with local ecological carrying capacity to evaluate sustainable development of Fangshan District. [Result] Fangshan District is of lightly ecological deficit; ecologi- cal footprint per capita in 2007-2008 was deficit and tended to expand. Two meth- ods are available to reduce ecological :deficit, including reduction of ecological foot- print and increase of carrying capacity. In general, supply and demand of carrying capacity in Fangshan are better, though with some problems. It is necessary to fur- ther develop related industries to final eliminate ecological deficit in order to achieve ecological conservation-orientation and sustainable development of Fangshan District. [Conclusion] The research provides theoretical references for overall evaluation on eco- logical carrying capacity of Fangshan District. 展开更多
关键词 Mountainous areas in Beijing Ecological carrying capacity FangshanDistrict
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Integrating Climate Change Factors into Environmental Planning Innovation of the National 12^(th) Five Year Development Plan towards Climate Change in China
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作者 Yang Xiao Li Yangfan Yin Rongyao Sun Xiang Zhu Xiaodong 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2011年第4期42-48,共7页
Effects on sustainable development of climate change have been going further nowadays.National Five Year Development Plan in China should have specific policies on how to take climate change impacts into account throu... Effects on sustainable development of climate change have been going further nowadays.National Five Year Development Plan in China should have specific policies on how to take climate change impacts into account through the environmental planning.Key fields distribute in three levels of natural bearing capacity,production system and human settlements,and include seven aspects:ecosystems,water resources,disasters and risks,low-carbon economy,vulnerable departments,urbanization,and coastland. 展开更多
关键词 climate change environmental planning innovation the 12th Five Year Development Plan
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