Seasonal rainfall predictability over the Huaihe River basin is evaluated in this paper on the basis of 23-year(1981-2003) retrospective forecasts by 10 climate models from the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation(APEC) ...Seasonal rainfall predictability over the Huaihe River basin is evaluated in this paper on the basis of 23-year(1981-2003) retrospective forecasts by 10 climate models from the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation(APEC) Climate Center(APCC) multi-model ensemble(MME) prediction system.It is found that the summer rainfall variance in this basin is largely internal,which leads to lower rainfall predictability for most individual climate models.By dividing the 10 models into three categories according to their sea surface temperature(SST) boundary conditions including observed,predicted,and persistent SSTs,the MME deterministic predictive skill of summer rainfall over Huaihe River basin is investigated.It is shown that the MME is effective for increasing the current seasonal forecast skill.Further analysis shows that the MME averaged over predicted SST models has the highest rainfall prediction skill,which is closely related to model's capability in reproducing the observed dominant modes of the summer rainfall anomalies in Huaihe River basin.This result can be further ascribed to the fact that the predicted SST MME is the most effective model ensemble for capturing the relationship between the summer rainfall anomalies over Huaihe River basin and the SST anomalies(SSTAs) in equatorial oceans.展开更多
We propose a novel channel model for massive multiple-input multiple-out （MIMO） communication systems that incorporate the spherical wave-front assumption and non-stationary properties of clusters on both the array ...We propose a novel channel model for massive multiple-input multiple-out （MIMO） communication systems that incorporate the spherical wave-front assumption and non-stationary properties of clusters on both the array and time axes. Because of the large dimension of the antenna array in massive MIMO systems, the spherical wave-front is assumed to characterize near-field effects resulting in angle of arrival （AoA） shifts and Doppler frequency variations on the antenna array. Additionally, a novel visibility region method is proposed to capture the non-stationary properties of clusters at the receiver side. Combined with the birth-death process, a novel cluster evolution algorithm is proposed. The impacts of cluster evolution and the spherical wave-front assumption on the statistical properties of the channel model are investigated. Meanwhile, corresponding to the theoretical model, a simulation model with a finite number of rays that capture channel characteristics as accurately as possible is proposed. Finally, numerical analysis shows that our proposed non-stationary channel model is effective in capturing the characteristics of a massive MIMO channel.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41175073)the National Science Foundation of China (NSFC)-Yunnan Province Joint Grant (U1133603)+1 种基金the National Basic Research Program of China (2010CB428403 and 2009CB421406)the NOAA Climate Program Office and Michigan State University (NA10OAR4310246 and NA12OAR 4310081)
文摘Seasonal rainfall predictability over the Huaihe River basin is evaluated in this paper on the basis of 23-year(1981-2003) retrospective forecasts by 10 climate models from the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation(APEC) Climate Center(APCC) multi-model ensemble(MME) prediction system.It is found that the summer rainfall variance in this basin is largely internal,which leads to lower rainfall predictability for most individual climate models.By dividing the 10 models into three categories according to their sea surface temperature(SST) boundary conditions including observed,predicted,and persistent SSTs,the MME deterministic predictive skill of summer rainfall over Huaihe River basin is investigated.It is shown that the MME is effective for increasing the current seasonal forecast skill.Further analysis shows that the MME averaged over predicted SST models has the highest rainfall prediction skill,which is closely related to model's capability in reproducing the observed dominant modes of the summer rainfall anomalies in Huaihe River basin.This result can be further ascribed to the fact that the predicted SST MME is the most effective model ensemble for capturing the relationship between the summer rainfall anomalies over Huaihe River basin and the SST anomalies(SSTAs) in equatorial oceans.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （No. 61421061） and the Huawei Innovation Research Program
文摘We propose a novel channel model for massive multiple-input multiple-out （MIMO） communication systems that incorporate the spherical wave-front assumption and non-stationary properties of clusters on both the array and time axes. Because of the large dimension of the antenna array in massive MIMO systems, the spherical wave-front is assumed to characterize near-field effects resulting in angle of arrival （AoA） shifts and Doppler frequency variations on the antenna array. Additionally, a novel visibility region method is proposed to capture the non-stationary properties of clusters at the receiver side. Combined with the birth-death process, a novel cluster evolution algorithm is proposed. The impacts of cluster evolution and the spherical wave-front assumption on the statistical properties of the channel model are investigated. Meanwhile, corresponding to the theoretical model, a simulation model with a finite number of rays that capture channel characteristics as accurately as possible is proposed. Finally, numerical analysis shows that our proposed non-stationary channel model is effective in capturing the characteristics of a massive MIMO channel.
