导弹武器系统定检周期的确定方法

根据导弹武器贮存条件、年限和故障率,进行定性和定量分析确定武器最佳检测周期。首先收集贮存可靠性数据;分析数据、制作故障分布图;划分贮存年限段;研究各阶段的故障规律,计算故障率;由故障率推算其可靠寿命,确定分段检测周期。并以某型导弹为例,用矩阵法估计参数、用皮尔逊X2分布检验法拟合最优检验,估计其可靠寿命,确定检测周期。

Lifetime prediction for tantalum capacitors with multiple degradation measures and particle swarm optimization based grey model

A lifetime prediction method for high-reliability tantalum （Ta） capacitors was proposed, based on multiple degradation measures and grey model （GM）. For analyzing performance degradation data, a two-parameter model based on GM was developed. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the two-parameter model, parameter selection based on particle swarm optimization （PSO） was used. Then, the new PSO-GM（1, 2, co） optimization model was constructed, which was validated experimentally by conducting an accelerated testing on the Ta capacitors. The experiments were conducted at three different stress levels of 85, 120, and 145℃. The results of two experiments were used in estimating the parameters. And the reliability of the Ta capacitors was estimated at the same stress conditions of the third experiment. The results indicate that the proposed method is valid and accurate.

Reliability evaluation for Weibull distribution under multiply type-? censoring

The multiply type-I censoring represented that all units in life test were terminated at different times. For estimations of Weibull parameters, it was easy to compute the maximum likelihood estimation （MLE） and least-squares estimation （LSE） while it was hard to build confidence intervals （CI）. The concept of generalized confidence interval （GCI） was introduced to build CIs of parameters under multiply type-I censoring. Further, GCI based on LSE and GCI based on MLE were proposed. It is mathematically proved that the former is exact and the latter is approximate. Besides, a Monte Carlo simulation study and an illustrative example also Ran out that the GCI method based on LSE yields rather satisfactory results by comparison with the ones based on MLE. It should be clear that the GCI method is a sensible choice to evaluate reliability under multiply type-I censoring.

Revealing the Invisible： A New Approach for Enhancing Industrial Safety, Reliability and Remaining Life Assessment

Today＇s industry requires more reliable information on the current status of their hard assets; prognosis for continued usability of systems and better predictability of equipment life cycle maintenance. Therefore, an innovative technique for early detection of potential failure and condition monitoring is urgently required by many engineers. This document describes a novel approach to improve industrial equipment safety, reliability and life cycle management. A new field portable instrument called the ＂IMS （indicator of mechanical stresses）＂ utilizes magneto-anisotropic （＂cross＂） transducers to measure anisotropy of magnetic properties in ferromagnetic material. Mechanical stresses including residual stresses in Ferro-magnetic parts, are ＂not visible＂ to most traditional NDT （non-destructive testing） methods; for example, radiography and ultrasonic inspection. Stress build-up can be the first indicator that something is faulty with a structure. This can be the result of a manufacturing defect; or as assets age and fatigue, stress loads can become unevenly distributed throughout the metal. We outline the evaluation of IMS as a fast screening tool to provide structural condition or deterioration feedback in novel applications for pipelines, petrochemical refinery, cranes, and municipal infrastructure.

Accelerated Luminous Depreciation Testing for LED Lighting Products

With the application of energy-saving, environmental and durable LED lighting products, the reliability testing has become a pivot point for the large scale industrialization and popularization. The paper briefly introduces two methods to be respectively applied in the accelerated depreciatinn lesting for the luminous flex of LED lighting products and the life of outdoor LED-driving power, which can sharply shorten the time for lifetime lest. providing references for the LED lighting products＇ reliability evaluation.

Fatigue reliability assessment for bridge welded details using long-term monitoring data

A reliability assessment method of fatigue life based on the long-term monitoring data is developed for welded details in steel box girder,and the application research is presented with examples of welded rib-to-deck details in Runyang Bridges. Firstly the fatigue damage limit-state function is established based on S-N curves and Miner's rule,and the probability distribution characteristics of the coefficients in the function are discussed in detail. The uncertainties in fatigue loading effects are mainly studied based on long-term monitoring data. In the traditional studies,only the uncertainty of equivalent stress range is considered in fatigue reliability assessment. However,stress cycle number is also treated as a random variable in this paper because we know traffic flow every day differs in a thousand ways. Then the optimization method is employed to calculate the fatigue reliability. After studying the changing law of the reliability indices with time and the effect of the randomness of stress cycle number on reliability,the effect of the traffic growth on the reliability is studied. This study shows that the uncertainty in the fatigue life of the welded details can be well studied based on structural health monitoring,so it is necessary to carry out long-term strain monitoring of the welded details for accurate fatigue reliability assessment during the whole service period.