制定用户侧电价与可靠系性指标的方法

电力行业正在逐步进入市场。价格是市场杠杆 ,市场是以价格为导向的。然而 ,现有的电价体制并不能反映买方的需求 ,没有兼顾用户的利益。以电力系统的可靠性为依据 ,将可靠性指标LOLP (失负荷概率 )作为制定用户侧电价的标准 ,提出了LOLP分摊法。

Bayesian and Multiple Bayesian Analysis of the Reliability Performances for Series System with Cold Standby Units

By using Bayesian and multiple Bayesian method, the failure probability, reliability and mean time to failure(MTTF) of series system with cold standby units are estimated. At last, we compare the two estimators by means of Monte_Carlo simulation.

Impact coefficient and reliability of mid-span continuous beam bridge under action of extra heavy vehicle with low speed

To analyze the dynamic response and reliability of a continuous beam bridge under the action of an extra heavy vehicle, a vehicle–bridge coupled vibration model was established based on the virtual work principle and vehicle–bridge displacement compatibility equation, which can accurately simulate the dynamic characteristics of the vehicle and bridge. Results show that deck roughness has an important function in the effect of the vehicle on the bridge. When an extra heavy vehicle passes through the continuous beam bridge at a low speed of 5 km/h, the impact coefficient reaches a high value, which should not be disregarded in bridge safety assessments. Considering that no specific law exists between the impact coefficient and vehicle speed, vehicle speed should not be unduly limited and deck roughness repairing should be paid considerable attention. Deck roughness has a significant influence on the reliability index, which decreases as deck roughness increases. For the continuous beam bridge in this work, the reliability index of each control section is greater than the minimum reliability index. No reinforcement measures are required for over-sized transport.

Comparative Study on Telecommunications Base Stations＇ Power Supply Systems on Remote Sites in the Northern Part of Cameroon

The TBS （telecommunications base stations） on remote sites in the northern part of Cameroon are mainly supplied by a system of two generating units. Only a few TBS located in the Waza and Benue National Parks are powered by a PV （photovoltaic） solar system to avoid any disturbance to wildlife. It is against this background that we decided to do a comparative study on these two systems. This study focuses on the reliability of electrical quantities, the environmental impact and the installation and operating costs of these two major systems namely the GU （generating unit） system comprising two generating units and the PV system. In conducting this study, we took a sample of TBS including those located in the Badjouma and Waza localities. After collecting data from mobile telephony operators, measurements of electrical quantities on the sites for twelve consecutive months and updating costs, their operation reveal indicators that are surprising, to say the least. Concerning the reliability index, the PV system is estimated at 99.9% as against 97.8% for the GU system. As for environmental impact, the mass of CO2 released by the GU system reached 1,707.5 tons in 25 years for a single TBS while the PV system produced no emissions. In addition to its contribution to climate change, the GU system pollutes its immediate environment through the spillage of waste and production of deafening noise. On the other hand, economic analysis shows mixed results. The GU system has a lower installation cost of $6,640 as against $174,550 for the PV system, whose investment cost is its main handicap. Regarding operating costs, the GU system peaks at $923,940 in 25 years while the PV system requires only $487,550 for the same duration.

Generation Reliability Assessment in Electricity Markets Using Cooperative and Non-cooperative Concepts and Intelligent Systems

Deregulation policy has caused some changes in the concepts of power systems reliability assessment and enhancement. In the present research, generation reliability is considered, and a method for its assessment is proposed using game theory and NN （neural networks）. Also, due to the stochastic behavior of power markets and generators＇ forced outages, MCS （monte carlo simulation） is used for reliability evaluation. Generation reliability merely focuses on the interaction between generation complex and load. Therefore, in the research, based on the behavior of players in the market and using game theory, two outcomes are considered： cooperation and non-cooperation. The proposed method is assessed on IEEE-Reliability Test System with satisfactory results. LOLE （loss of load expectation） is used as the reliability index and it will be shown that generation reliability in cooperation market is better than non-cooperation outcome.

FURTHER RESEARCH OF A NEW KIND OF SERIES REPAIRABLE SYSTEM

This paper is devoted to studying the uniqueness and existence of the system dynamic solution by using C0-semigroup theory and discussing its exponential stability by analyzing the spectrul distribution of system operator and its quasi-compactness. Some primary reliability indices are discussed with the eigenfunction of system operator and the optimal vacation time to get the maximum system profit is analyzed at the end of paper.