水平门限同积模型参数的拟极大似然估计

提出了用于非平稳非线性时间序列建模的水平门限同积模型,给出了模型参数的拟极大似然估计,由于对门限参数和同积向量似然函数既不可微也不光滑,不能直接运用传统的极大似然估计．因此首先利用遗传模拟退火算法估计门限参数和同积向量,然后用极大似然估计计算其余的参数,仿真结果表明,拟极大似然估计不受模型维数限制具有有效性和可行性,此外,数值计算结果的比较分析表明遗传模拟退火优于传统的遗传算法、模拟退火和随机搜索等优化算法．

Bootstrap门限向量误差修正模型中门限同积SupLM检验

对门限向量误差修正模型提出了基于原假设为线性非同积关系的一种门限同积SupLM检验。给出了理论证明的检验门限同积关系存在性的SupLM检验的理论证明,以及相关的bootstrap算法。模拟实验得到比较好的检验水平和功效,进一步将其用于研究几种美国国库券收益率的关系,发现它们之间存在明显的门限同积关系。

金融时间序列中同积向量的充分改进最小二乘估计研究

以金融时间序列中同积向量的充分改进为对象,分析充分改进的最小二乘估计。在统计量的极限分布非标准时,构造充分改进的最小二乘估计。研究表明,改进的最小二乘估计方法是一种非参数方法,有助于充分的最小二乘估计。

门限向量误差修正模型的门限同积bootstrap检验

对于门限向量误差修正模型给出原假设为线性非同积关系的门限同积bootstrap检验.给出上述模型中未识别参数的最大似然估计;提出检验门限同积关系的SupLM检验及相应的渐近分布;并给出了SupLM检验统计量p值的bootstrap模拟方法.模拟实验验证了该方法的有效性,进而应用该方法检验了几组美国国库券收益率间存在明显的门限同积关系.

Effect of Different Irrigation Maximums on Accumulation and Distribution of Material in Chinese Kale

[Objective] The aim was to explore effects of soil moisture on dry matter accumulation and distribution and growth of kai-lan. [Method] In the context of the same irrigation frequency, the influence of irrigation maximum was researched on growth rate, net assimilation rate, and dry matter distribution of kai-lan. [Result] The results showed that regulation on soil moisture extremely significantly affected accumulation of photosynthate. When soil moisture was insufficient, the growth term from seedling to mature extended and growth rate declined sharply. Besides, the growth term was of extremely significant negative correlation with growth rate. Meanwhile,leaf assimilation rate decreased considerably. For example, when soil moisture was65%, distribution of dry matter in plant organs tended to be rational. [Conclusion]Deficit irrigation would significantly lower growth rate, and improve dry matter distribution in organs and economic yield and quality of kai-lan.

Experiment and numerical simulation on flow and heat transfer in all-glass evacuated tube solar collectors

The experimental study of natural convection in allglass evacuated tube solar collectors is performed through the experimental platform of the solar-assisted fuel cell system.The experimental facility includes solar collectors with different length and diameter tubes, different coating materials, and with / without guide plates, respectively. Threedimensional mathematical models on natural and forced convections in the solar collectors are established and the experimental data is validated by field synergy and entransy principles. The results of natural convection show that the water temperature increases and thermal efficiency decreases gradually with the evacuated tube length. The thermal efficiency increases when absorption rates increase from 0. 95 to 1. 0 and emission rates decrease from 0. 16 to 0. 06. The thermal efficiency of solar collectors is increased after being equipped with the guide plate, which is attributed to the disappearance of the mixed flowand the enhancement of the heat transfer at the bottom of the evacuated tube. The results of forced convertion indicate that the Reynolds, Nusselt and entransy increments of the horizontal double collectors are higher than those of the vertical single collector while the entransy dissipation is lower than that of the vertical single collector. It is concluded that the solar collectors with guide plates are suitable for natural convection while the double horizontal collectors are suitable for forced convection in the thermal field of solar-assisted fuel cell systems with lowand medium temperatures.

Spatial Distribution of Carbon and Nitrogen in Sediments of Xiangxi River

[Objective] This study was conducted to explore the spatial distribution of carbon and nitrogen in the sediments of Xiangxi River, which was the biggest tribu- tary near the Three Gorges Dam. [Method] Sediment samples were collected using customized cylindrical samplers at three sites along Xiangxi River estuary in May, 2015 to measure the contents of total carbon, total nitrogen and an isotope of car- bon δ^13C. [Result] The total carbon content in the sediments varied from 1.74% to 3.52%, and the total nitrogen content varied from 0.1% to 0.3%. The average total carbon content in the sediments near the estuary was lower than in the upstream. The total carbon content in the sediments near the estuary gradually decreased with depth increasing. However, the variations in total nitrogen content in both horizontal direction （along the river from the estuary to the upstream） and vertical direction were not so obvious as in total carbon content. The isotopic analysis showed the δ^13C value increased with depth increasing. The overall δ^13C near the estuary was lower than that in the upstream. [Conclusioal The results will provide scientific refer- ences for the distribution of biogenic elements in sediments of Xiangxi River and the evolution process of aquatic ecosystem.

Study on Synchro-Epitaxy of Poly-and Single Crystal Silicon

Synchro-epitaxy is introduced and a “two periods epitaxy” process is proposed.The influence of the flows of SiH 4 N 1,N 2,deposition time t 1,t 2,and epitaxial temperature T on epilayer quality (embodied by α) is reported.The shorter initial inducing time t 1 and larger flows of SiH 4 are,the wider single crystal strips are.But the quality of epilayer may be poor.The optimum conditions are:N 1=13.1～17.5sccm,N 2=7.0～7.88sccm,and t 1=30～50s.The influence of temperature is complex:when T is lower than 980℃,single crystal strips increase with T ;when T is higher than 980℃,single crystal strips decrease with T.It reaches maximum near 980℃.

Accumulation in simultaneous interpretation： The development of a successful interpreter

Accumulation of vocabulary, knowledge and experience is the foundation of comprehension and expression in simultaneous interpretation. This paper suggests the importance of accumulation in the development of a successful interpreter.

Field analysis of metallogenic information and its application

Focusing on the issue to deal with inadequate extraction of metallogenic information especially geological information,a new method of extracting metallogenic information based on field model,i.e.the field analysis method of metallogenic information,was proposed.In addition,a case study by using the method of the extraction of metallogenic information from the west Guangxi and southeast Yunnan district as an example was performed.The representation method for the field models of metallogenic information,including the metallogenic influence field model and the metallogenic distance field model,was discussed by introducing the concept of the field theory,based on the characteristic analysis of the distance gradualness and the influence superposition of metallogenic information.According to the field theory superposition principle and the spatial distance analysis method,the mathematical models for the metallogenic influence field and the metallogenic distance field of point,line and area geological bodies were derived out by using parameter equation and calculus.Based on the metallogenic background analysis,the metallogenic information field models of synsedimentary faults and manganese sedimentary basins were built.The relationship between the metallogenic information fields and the manganese mineralization distribution was also investigated by using the method of metallogenic information field analysis.The instance study indicates that the proposed method of metallogenic information field analysis is valid and useful for extracting the ore-controlling information of synsedimentary faults and manganese sedimentary basins in the study area,with which the extraction results are significant both statistically and geologically.

Co-electrodeposition and properties evaluation of functionally gradient nickel coated ZrO_2 composite coating

For the first time,functionally electroless nickel plated ZrO2(NCZ)graded Ni-NCZ composite coating has been successfully co-electrodeposited from a bath with gradually increasing of stirring rate.Studies showed that co-electrodeposition in a bath with stirring rate of250r/min results in the maximum co-electrodeposited particle content and the best particle distribution.To produce NCZ graded Ni-NCZ composite coating,the stirring rate was continuously increased from0to250r/min.The electroplated coating had a continuous gradient increasing of co-electrodeposited NCZ content from substrate towards the surface.The results showed that with increasing the co-electrodeposited NCZ particles content in Ni matrix,microhardness increases from interface towards the surface of the coating.Little crystallite size of Ni matrix and higher co-electrodeposited hard particles content were recognized as the reasons of microhardness increasing.Bend test revealed that the functionally graded composite coating shows more excellent adhesion to the substrate compared with the ordinary distributed Ni-NCZ on the same substrate.This result is attributed to lower mechanical mismatch between coating and substrate in the functionally graded composite coating with respect to the uniformly distributed one.The results of wear resistance measurements reveal that wear resistance of functionally graded Ni-NCZ is higher than that of ordinary distributed composite coating.

Classical Completely Integrable System Generated through Nonlinearization of an Eigenvalue Problem

Under the Bargmann constrained condition, the spatial part of a new Lax pair of the higher order MkdV equation is nonlinearized to be a completely integrable system (R2N,dp^dq, H0=1/2F0)(F0= (^q,p) + (^p,p) + (p,q)2). While the nonlinearization of the time part leads to its N-involutive system (Fm).

Spatiotemporal interpolation of precipitation across Xinjiang, China using space-time CoKriging

In various environmental studies, geoscience variables not only have the characteristics of time and space, but also are influenced by other variables. Multivariate spatiotemporal variables can improve the accuracy of spatiotemporal estimation. Taking the monthly mean ground observation data of the period 1960–2013 precipitation in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China, the spatiotemporal distribution from January to December in 2013 was respectively estimated by space-time Kriging and space-time CoKriging. Modeling spatiotemporal direct variograms and a cross variogram was a key step in space-time CoKriging. Taking the monthly mean air relative humidity of the same site at the same time as the covariates, the spatiotemporal direct variograms and the spatiotemporal cross variogram of the monthly mean precipitation for the period 1960–2013 were modeled. The experimental results show that the space-time CoKriging reduces the mean square error by 31.46% compared with the space-time ordinary Kriging. The correlation coefficient between the estimated values and the observed values of the space-time CoKriging is 5.07% higher than the one of the space-time ordinary Kriging. Therefore, a space-time CoKriging interpolation with air humidity as a covariate improves the interpolation accuracy.

Provenance and salt structures of gypsum formations in Pb-Zn ore-bearing Lanping basin,Southwest China

Large-scale gypsum rocks associated with world-class Pb-Zn ore formations are widely distributed in the Lanping Basin,Sowthwest China.Geochemical studies alongside field investigations were conducted in this study to determine the source and evolutionary processes of the gypsum rocks in this area.The gypsum sequences in the Lanping Basin developed in two formations:the Triassic Sanhedong Formation and the Paleogene Yunlong Formation.The gypsum hosted in the former displays a primary thick-banded structure withδ34SV-CDT values in the range of 14.5‰−14.8‰.Combined with the 87Sr/86Sr values(0.707737−0.707783)of limestone,it can be suggested that the Sanhedong Formation is of marine origin.In contrast,the gypsum from the Paleogene Yunlong Formation is characterized by the dome,bead and diapiric salt structures,wider range of both 87Sr/86Sr(0.707695−0.708629)andδ34SV-CDT values(9.6‰−17‰),thus indicating a marine source but with the input of continental materials.The initial layered salt formations were formed by chemical deposition in a basin and were later intensely deformed by collisional orogeny during the Himalaya period.As a result,variable salt structures were formed.We hereby propose an evolutionary model to elucidate the genesis of the gypsum formations in the Lanping Basin.

Sedimentary Records of Mangrove Evolution During the Past one Hundred Years Based on Stable Carbon Isotope and Pollen Evidences in Maowei, SW China

Mangroves accumulate sedimentary sequences, where cores can provide historical records of mangrove evolution with past climate change and human activity. The study traced the history of mangrove evolution during the past one hundred years in a mangrove swamp of Maowei Sea, SW China. The sedimentation rates(0.38-0.95 cm yr^(-1)) were calculated on the basis of ln(^(210)Pb_(xs)/Al) and mass depth in the core sediments. Chemical tracers, such as δ^(13)C_(org) and C:N values, were utilized to trace the contribution of mangrove-derived organic matter using a ternary mixing model. Because of potential diagenetic alteration and / or overlap in the isotopic signatures of different components, simultaneous use of mangrove pollen diagrams can help to supplement some of these limitations. Combined with mangrove pollen, mangrove evolution was reconstructed and could be divided into three stages: flourishment(1886-1905 AD), slight degradation(1905-1949 AD) and rapid degradation period(1949-2007 AD), which was consistent with previous reports. The reclamation of mangrove swamps to shrimp ponds was the major reason for rapid degradation of mangrove ecosystems in recent years, rather than climate change in the region.

All Single Traveling Wave Solutions to （3＋1）-Dimensional Nizhnok-Novikov-Veselov Equation

Using elementary integral method, a complete classification of all possible exact traveling wave solutions to （3＋1）-dimensional Nizhnok-Novikov-Veselov equation is given. Some solutions are new.

Identifying the sources of organic matter in marine and riverine sediments of Bohai Bay and its catchment using carbon and nitrogen stable isotopes

Carbon and nitrogen stable isotopes are useful tracers for distinguishing marine and terrestrial plant sources of sedimentary organic matter(OM),and for identifying OM from different types of plants.By analyzing the carbon and nitrogen stable isotopes of marine and riverine sediments from Bohai Bay and its catchment,we were able to identify the source of OM in these sediments.The stable carbon isotope values of Bohai Bay sediments were between-22.94‰ and-23.90‰,while those of riverine sediments were from-24.45‰ to-32.50‰.Marine algae were the main source of OM in Bohai Bay sediments.However,lacustrine algae were the main source of riverine sediments,not terrestrial OM.The nitrogen isotopes in Bohai Bay sediments decreased in eastward direction,with increasing distance from the coastline,which suggested a higher degree of impact from human activities along the coast.

Paleoclimatic Change Inferred from Carbon Isotope Composition of Organic Matter in Sediments of Dabusu Lake, Jilin Province, China

Study on the organic compounds and stable isotope composition of a sediment section in Dabusu Lake revealed that the organic materials in the sediments came mainly from terrestrial plants brought into the lake by runoff. The δ 13 C of the organic materials had high values during warm-dry climatic stages and decreased in cold-wet stages. Analysis of data on carbonate content and 14 C age showed that the lake basin had experienced several wet-cold and warm-dry climatic cycles since 15000 a BP. Since 6700 a BP, the climate reached a relatively stable warm-dry stage, so that the lake water was gradually condensed and finally a saline lake was formed.

Anomalies of bromine in the estuarine sediments as a signal of floods associated with typhoons

X-ray fluorescence scanning with synchrotron radiation was performed to study sediment core records of floods in Amur Bay,Sea of Japan.Interlayers of 3–8 mm with abnormally low bromine content were formed by the Razdolnaya River discharge to the central part of the bay during extreme floods,accompanied by severe storms at sea.Such conditions in the region are typical for periods of deep tropical cyclones(typhoons),to which the distinguished interlayers were compared on the timescale.This approach was made possible thanks to the high rate of sedimentation in the bay(3–5 mm/a) and low bioturbation of sediments under anoxic conditions.