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计算机化自适应测验中能力估计新方法 被引量:4
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作者 李佳 丁树良 《江西师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2019年第2期142-146,共5页
能力估计的极大似然估计方法(MLE)不能处理全0或全1的被试反应模式,若事先设置好能力估计的上下界,则会导致能力估计的有效范围缩小的后果;而贝叶斯估计方法需要选择先验分布,先验分布的选择必须很慎重.在原有似然函数的基础上,构建2个... 能力估计的极大似然估计方法(MLE)不能处理全0或全1的被试反应模式,若事先设置好能力估计的上下界,则会导致能力估计的有效范围缩小的后果;而贝叶斯估计方法需要选择先验分布,先验分布的选择必须很慎重.在原有似然函数的基础上,构建2个新的项目,提出了改进的MLE方法(NMLE).NMLE既不需要能力先验分布,也不会缩小能力估计范围,而且可以处理各种反应模式.蒙特卡洛实验结果表明新方法表现良好. 展开更多
关键词 贝叶斯众数估计方法 期望后验估计方法 改进的极大似然估计方法 能力估计效率
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CAT初始阶段被试能力估计方法改进探究 被引量:2
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作者 简小珠 张敏强 《心理科学》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2010年第6期1470-1472,共3页
在CAT初始阶段被试作答的信息较少,对被试能力进行合理和稳健的估计比较困难。本文设计CAT测试过程的代表性测验样例,使用不同能力估计方法比较CAT初始阶段的被试能力估计情况。在单参数模型下,在题量较少时,EAPE-N(0,0.5)方法的能力估... 在CAT初始阶段被试作答的信息较少,对被试能力进行合理和稳健的估计比较困难。本文设计CAT测试过程的代表性测验样例,使用不同能力估计方法比较CAT初始阶段的被试能力估计情况。在单参数模型下,在题量较少时,EAPE-N(0,0.5)方法的能力估计的合理性和稳健性要相对优于MLE、EAPE-N(0,2)、EAPE-N(0,1)方法。在CAT测试过程中可以先使用先验分布方差较小的EAPE方法进行估计,随着测试题量增加,逐步增大EAPE方法的先验分布方差,并可以和a分层选题策略结合起来使用。 展开更多
关键词 CAT 极大似然估计 期望后验估计 期望后验估计调整方法
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微地震资料贝叶斯理论差分进化反演方法 被引量:21
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作者 宋维琪 高艳珂 朱海伟 《地球物理学报》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2013年第4期1331-1339,共9页
微地震监测难以拾取准确初至,为了提高反演定位精度和减小多解性,研究了微地震贝叶斯差分进化反演方法.从分析讨论理论模型反演残差及其协方差分布特征出发,结合对比不加噪音和加入不同程度的噪音后残差协方差极小点位置移动、分布梯度... 微地震监测难以拾取准确初至,为了提高反演定位精度和减小多解性,研究了微地震贝叶斯差分进化反演方法.从分析讨论理论模型反演残差及其协方差分布特征出发,结合对比不加噪音和加入不同程度的噪音后残差协方差极小点位置移动、分布梯度变化特征,提出了先验信息解估计方法.针对后验估计中,由于难以获得先验信息解的方差估计致使无法计算加权系数问题,通过分析残差变化特征和解的变化关系,研究了利用残差求取加权系数的方法.为了加快寻优速度,讨论了差分进化反演方法,在变异操作方面使用差分策略,即利用种群中个体间的差分向量对个体进行扰动,实现个体变异,充分有效利用群体分布特性,提高算法的搜索能力,避免遗传算法中变异方式的不足.通过理论模型测试本方法的反演效果,并且和搜索方法反结果进行比较.测试结果证明本反演方法,对于不同程度初至干扰,反演结果向准确解逼近程度比搜索方法要好得多,实际资料的反演结果也好于搜索方法. 展开更多
关键词 微地震 残差分布特征 信息估计 差分进化方法 后验估计方法
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3-D direct current resistivity forward modeling by adaptive multigrid finite element method 被引量:9
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作者 汤井田 王飞燕 +1 位作者 任政勇 郭荣文 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第3期587-592,共6页
Based on the fact that 3-D model discretization by artificial could not always be successfully implemented especially for large-scaled problems when high accuracy and efficiency were required, a new adaptive multigrid... Based on the fact that 3-D model discretization by artificial could not always be successfully implemented especially for large-scaled problems when high accuracy and efficiency were required, a new adaptive multigrid finite element method was proposed. In this algorithm, a-posteriori error estimator was employed to generate adaptively refined mesh on a given initial mesh. On these iterative meshes, V-cycle based multigrid method was adopted to fast solve each linear equation with each initial iterative term interpolated from last mesh. With this error estimator, the unknowns were nearly optimally distributed on the final mesh which guaranteed the accuracy. The numerical results show that the multigrid solver is faster and more stable compared with ICCG solver. Meanwhile, the numerical results obtained from the final model discretization approximate the analytical solutions with maximal relative errors less than 1%, which remarkably validates this algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 adaptive multigrid a-posteriori error estimator unstructured mesh V-CYCLE finite element method
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Bilding Dmage Level Based According to Distance Image Contrast.
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作者 Liwei Chen 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2015年第10期76-79,共4页
Estimation method of building damage level was introduced for the accurate and effective estimation of damage extent and relief goods demand according to long-distance image contrast. In order to obtain completion deg... Estimation method of building damage level was introduced for the accurate and effective estimation of damage extent and relief goods demand according to long-distance image contrast. In order to obtain completion degree of building edge extracted from long-distance images before and after disaster, the concentration ratio was analyzed with Hough transformation. Based on the maximum posterior probability, estimation method of affected population was designed to accurately estimate victim population, which can be directly reflected by fugitive population. Moreover, on basis of escape route and fugitive population, demand assignment algorithm by backward calculation was designed to improve rescue efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 emergency rescue demand estimation Hough transformation maximum posterior probability
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A-Posteriori Error Estimation for the Legendre Spectral Galerkin Method in One-Dimension
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作者 Lijun Yi Benqi Guo 《Numerical Mathematics(Theory,Methods and Applications)》 SCIE 2010年第1期40-52,共13页
In this paper, a-posteriori error estimators are proposed for the Legendre spectral Galerkin method for two-point boundary value problems. The key idea is to postprocess the Galerkin approximation, and the analysis sh... In this paper, a-posteriori error estimators are proposed for the Legendre spectral Galerkin method for two-point boundary value problems. The key idea is to postprocess the Galerkin approximation, and the analysis shows that the postproeess improves the order of convergence. Consequently, we obtain asymptotically exact aposteriori error estimators based on the postprocessing results. Numerical examples are included to illustrate the theoretical analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Legendre spectral Galerkin method two-point boundary value problem SUPERCONVERGENCE a-posteriori error estimation.
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结合超分辨率重建的神经网络亚像元定位方法 被引量:3
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作者 吴柯 牛瑞卿 +2 位作者 沈焕峰 凌峰 陈涛 《中国图象图形学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2010年第11期1681-1687,共7页
遥感影像中普遍存在着混合像元,如何分析和解译混合像元一直是人们研究的热点。亚像元定位方法是将混合像元分解成为亚像元,并赋予不同的端元组分,以提高影像整体分类精度的一种技术。本文在神经网络亚像元定位模型的基础上,结合超分辨... 遥感影像中普遍存在着混合像元,如何分析和解译混合像元一直是人们研究的热点。亚像元定位方法是将混合像元分解成为亚像元,并赋予不同的端元组分,以提高影像整体分类精度的一种技术。本文在神经网络亚像元定位模型的基础上,结合超分辨率重建理论,提出一种新型的BPMAP模型,在每一个类别的组成分图像与亚像元定位图像之间建立起高、低分辨率的观测模型,采用最大后验估计(MAP)算法对BP神经网络的定位结果进行约束,最终确定混合像元内部各组分合适的空间位置。通过对模拟的简单图像和长江三峡地区的ETM影像进行实验,结果表明,与神经网络模型相比,本文方法能够更加有效地解决亚像元定位的问题,进一步消除定位过程中产生的误差,提高精度。 展开更多
关键词 混合像元 超分辨率 BP神经网络模型 最大后验估计方法 观测模型
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VARIATIONAL DISCRETIZATION FOR PARABOLIC OPTIMAL CONTROL PROBLEMS WITH CONTROL CONSTRAINTS 被引量:1
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作者 Yuelong TANG Yanping CHEN 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第5期880-895,共16页
This paper studies variational discretization for the optimal control problem governed by parabolic equations with control constraints. First of all, the authors derive a priori error estimates where|||u - Uh|||... This paper studies variational discretization for the optimal control problem governed by parabolic equations with control constraints. First of all, the authors derive a priori error estimates where|||u - Uh|||L∞(J;L2(Ω)) = O(h2 + k). It is much better than a priori error estimates of standard finite element and backward Euler method where |||u- Uh|||L∞(J;L2(Ω)) = O(h + k). Secondly, the authors obtain a posteriori error estimates of residual type. Finally, the authors present some numerical algorithms for the optimal control problem and do some numerical experiments to illustrate their theoretical results. 展开更多
关键词 A posteriori error estimates a priori error estimates optimal control problems PARABOLICEQUATIONS variational discretization.
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A POSTERIORI ERROR ANALYSIS OF NONCONFORMING METHODS FOR THE EIGENVALUE PROBLEM 被引量:2
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作者 Youai LiCollege of Computer and Information Engineering, Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing100048,China. 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第3期495-502,共8页
This paper extends the unifying theory for a posteriori error analysis of the nonconformingfinite element methods to the second order elliptic eigenvalue problem.In particular,the authorproposes the a posteriori error... This paper extends the unifying theory for a posteriori error analysis of the nonconformingfinite element methods to the second order elliptic eigenvalue problem.In particular,the authorproposes the a posteriori error estimator for nonconforming methods of the eigenvalue problems andprove its reliability and efficiency based on two assumptions concerning both the weak continuity andthe weak orthogonality of the nonconforming finite element spaces,respectively.In addition,the authorexamines these two assumptions for those nonconforming methods checked in literature for the Laplace,Stokes,and the linear elasticity problems. 展开更多
关键词 A posteriori error analysis eigenvalue problem nonconforming finite element.
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An adaptive time stepping method with efcient error control for second-order evolution problems 被引量:1
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作者 HUANG JianGuo LAI JunJiang TANG Tao 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2013年第12期2753-2771,共19页
This work is concerned with time stepping finite element methods for abstract second order evolution problems. We derive optimal order a posteriori error estimates and a posteriori nodal superconvergence error estimat... This work is concerned with time stepping finite element methods for abstract second order evolution problems. We derive optimal order a posteriori error estimates and a posteriori nodal superconvergence error estimates using the energy approach and the duality argument. With the help of the a posteriori error estimator developed in this work, we will further propose an adaptive time stepping strategy. A number of numerical experiments are performed to illustrate the reliability and efficiency of the a posteriori error estimates and to assess the effectiveness of the proposed adaptive time stepping method. 展开更多
关键词 a posteriori error analysis adaptive algorithm RECONSTRUCTION evolution problems
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A posteriori error estimator for eigenvalue problems by mixed finite element method 被引量:2
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作者 JIA ShangHui CHEN HongTao XIE HeHu 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2013年第5期887-900,共14页
In this paper,a residual type of a posteriori error estimator for the general second order elliptic eigenpair approximation by the mixed finite element method is derived and analyzed,based on a type of superconvergenc... In this paper,a residual type of a posteriori error estimator for the general second order elliptic eigenpair approximation by the mixed finite element method is derived and analyzed,based on a type of superconvergence result of the eigenfunction approximation.Its efficiency and reliability are proved by both theoretical analysis and numerical experiments. 展开更多
关键词 second order elliptic eigenvalue problem mixed finite element method Raviart-Thomas a pos- teriori error estimate ADAPTIVE
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Application of Bayesian approach to hydrological frequency analysis 被引量:7
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作者 LIANG ZhongMin LI BinQuan +1 位作者 YU ZhongBo CHANG Wen Juan 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第5期1183-1192,共10页
An existing Bayesian flood frequency analysis method is applied to quantile estimation for Pearson type three (P-III) probability distribution. The method couples prior and sample information under the framework of Ba... An existing Bayesian flood frequency analysis method is applied to quantile estimation for Pearson type three (P-III) probability distribution. The method couples prior and sample information under the framework of Bayesian formula, and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling approach is used to estimate posterior distributions of parameters. Different from the original sampling algorithm (i.e. the important sampling) used in the existing approach, we use the adaptive metropolis (AM) sampling technique to generate a large number of parameter sets from Bayesian parameter posterior distributions in this paper. Consequently, the sampling distributions for quantiles or the hydrological design values are constructed. The sampling distributions of quantiles are estimated as the Bayesian method can provide not only various kinds of point estimators for quantiles, e.g. the expectation estimator, but also quantitative evaluation on uncertainties of these point estimators. Therefore, the Bayesian method brings more useful information to hydrological frequency analysis. As an example, the flood extreme sample series at a gauge are used to demonstrate the procedure of application. 展开更多
关键词 Bayesian theory hydrological frequency analysis Markov Chain Monte Carlo prior distribution posterior distribution
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